Short-Chance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$72

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 05-13 20:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 46% $-5

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	05-12 09:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	05-12 08:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	05-12 09:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	3	$3	4	2	+2	Up	$-1	05-12 13:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	05-12 13:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	05-12 09:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 09:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	05-12 14:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	05-12 13:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	05-12 10:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	05-12 13:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 09:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 08:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-13 09:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-12 14:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-13 09:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-12 10:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-13 09:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-13 09:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Down	$-0	05-12 08:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	2	$2	3	3	+0	Up	$-0	05-13 09:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	2	$2	3	3	+0	Up	$-0	05-13 09:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	2	$1	2	2	+0	Up	$-1	05-12 14:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	2	$1	4	4	+0	Down	$-1	05-12 11:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	2	$1	2	2	+0	Down	$-1	05-12 10:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	2	$1	2	2	+0	Up	$-1	05-12 10:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	1	$1	50	0	+50	Down	$-1	05-12 13:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-12 09:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-13 07:47
Will MrBeast say "Feastables" during his next YouTube video?	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	05-12 10:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 20:25:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xc178a4…
05-13 10:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x33ff26…
05-13 09:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	27¢	$1	0x6b5333…
05-13 09:55:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x6ecbb3…
05-13 09:53:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0xe23ffb…
05-13 09:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xb25ffa…
05-13 09:47:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xe9df52…
05-13 09:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4b6c90…
05-13 09:41:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	77¢	$1	0x8e1ee3…
05-13 09:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xce2fbe…
05-13 09:36:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0xbabcb7…
05-13 09:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x70b63d…
05-13 09:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x370f2c…
05-13 09:20:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xd7e912…
05-13 09:17:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	68¢	$2	0x3cf050…
05-13 09:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x40b21d…
05-13 09:12:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0x267325…
05-13 09:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x663523…
05-13 09:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x19c2e7…
05-13 09:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x2758ce…
05-13 07:47:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xe3c6d1…
05-12 14:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	22¢	$0	0xb730be…
05-12 14:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x61f2a1…
05-12 14:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x674c46…
05-12 14:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x58b112…
05-12 14:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	79¢	$1	0xb98683…
05-12 14:00:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x4101ed…
05-12 13:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x530137…
05-12 13:51:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	73¢	$2	0xa1cf99…
05-12 13:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xfbad59…
05-12 13:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0xcb8003…
05-12 13:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x00b03f…
05-12 13:38:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xf43808…
05-12 13:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0xdb8341…
05-12 13:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x4f9c88…
05-12 13:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	75¢	$2	0xb79127…
05-12 13:30:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x06ac5c…
05-12 11:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xb5148a…
05-12 11:09:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	4	6¢	$0	0xc8ab11…
05-12 11:05:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x6fe730…
05-12 10:55:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x44718e…
05-12 10:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xfd2a68…
05-12 10:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x597a05…
05-12 10:49:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa984f8…
05-12 10:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x16a64b…
05-12 10:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xc5b921…
05-12 10:37:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x266362…
05-12 10:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x1dfb87…
05-12 10:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xa0cd71…
05-12 10:26:27	Will MrBeast say "Feastables" during his next YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x4f53d7…
05-12 09:19:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0x94069b…
05-12 09:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xed6057…
05-12 09:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x89c62d…
05-12 09:07:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x672d70…
05-12 09:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x76d4cf…
05-12 09:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x9ff357…
05-12 08:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x788d0e…
05-12 08:51:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x7de7aa…
05-12 08:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x74e95d…
05-12 08:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x0c40b9…
05-12 08:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xf96ab8…
05-12 08:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0x697426…
05-12 08:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xffe3a7…
05-12 08:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xee14bd…
05-12 07:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x5b9aa8…