Ironclad-Smoking — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

14.4%

Resolved

Trades

126

lifetime

Volume

$19.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$153

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-19

last 05-28 00:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

93% 17% $-2

Sports

6% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$1.3K	668	668	+0	open	—	04-28 09:00
will davis thompson win the 2026 masters tournament	5	$1.3K	657	657	+0	open	—	03-24 13:45
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$1.2K	584	584	+0	open	—	04-06 20:58
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	6	$1.1K	546	546	+0	open	—	03-28 15:51
will charl schwartzel win the 2026 masters tournament	4	$1.1K	541	541	+0	open	—	04-04 17:21
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	2	$734	368	368	+0	No	$-0	04-11 10:22
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	2	$721	361	361	+0	open	—	04-13 15:31
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	2	$712	357	357	+0	open	—	04-10 14:12
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$710	357	357	+0	open	—	04-11 14:41
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	3	$706	354	354	+0	No	$-0	03-25 18:06
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$675	338	338	+0	open	—	04-19 11:09
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	2	$658	330	330	+0	open	—	04-13 07:40
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$658	329	329	+0	open	—	04-15 10:26
will byeong hun an win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$608	305	305	+0	open	—	03-24 19:01
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	2	$607	304	304	+0	open	—	03-19 13:26
Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$569	285	285	+0	No	$-0	04-07 10:38
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$568	285	285	+0	open	—	04-07 18:34
will zach johnson win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$557	279	279	+0	open	—	03-21 08:27
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	2	$548	275	275	+0	open	—	03-22 08:39
Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$548	275	275	+0	No	$-0	03-30 04:11
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$537	270	270	+0	open	—	03-23 10:28
will dustin johnson win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$532	267	267	+0	open	—	04-02 14:01
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$530	266	266	+0	No	$-0	04-08 16:25
Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	43	$517	259	259	+0	No	+$0	04-01 16:28
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$499	250	250	+0	open	—	04-08 06:03
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$482	242	242	+0	open	—	03-29 14:36
will max homa win the 2026 masters tournament	3	$407	204	204	+0	open	—	04-08 11:20
Will XRP reach $2.20 in May?	1	$67	67	0	+67	open	—	05-28 00:19
nba cle uta 2026 03 30	1	$20	22	0	+22	open	—	03-30 06:44
nhl mon nyr 2026 04 02	1	$15	26	0	+26	open	—	04-02 10:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-28 00:19:19	Will XRP reach $2.20 in May?	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0xa6862a…
04-28 09:00:34	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	332	100¢	$331	0xf5b4fa…
04-28 06:57:18	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	332	100¢	$331	0x46df34…
04-19 16:52:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in April?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x46ee1e…
04-19 11:09:42	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	338	100¢	$337	0x05308a…
04-19 07:07:40	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	338	100¢	$337	0x1f6ac8…
04-15 10:26:58	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	329	100¢	$329	0x87d6e1…
04-15 08:51:08	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	329	100¢	$329	0xc33415…
04-14 19:47:52	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	335	100¢	$334	0x913fdf…
04-14 16:56:14	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	335	100¢	$334	0x7c0e72…
04-13 15:31:17	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	361	100¢	$360	0xae6268…
04-13 14:02:21	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	361	100¢	$361	0x997828…
04-13 07:40:09	Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	330	99¢	$329	0xe815e2…
04-13 06:30:15	Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	330	100¢	$329	0x3ea140…
04-11 14:41:17	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	357	100¢	$355	0x715037…
04-11 12:41:31	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	357	100¢	$355	0xdbdfd1…
04-11 10:22:01	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	368	100¢	$367	0xd9c269…
04-11 09:33:37	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	368	100¢	$367	0xa368f2…
04-10 14:12:41	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	357	99¢	$356	0xbe8484…
04-10 09:44:15	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	357	100¢	$356	0xfef0de…
04-08 16:25:59	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	266	100¢	$265	0xf750c8…
04-08 14:59:59	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	266	100¢	$265	0x68db2c…
04-08 11:20:41	will max homa win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	204	100¢	$204	0x3a5130…
04-08 08:33:33	will max homa win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x21ea95…
04-08 07:59:29	will max homa win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	149	100¢	$149	0x7fd936…
04-08 07:18:01	nba atl cle 2026 04 08	Cavaliers	BUY	25	53¢	$13	0xf6a5ef…
04-08 06:03:39	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	250	100¢	$249	0x1e1657…
04-08 05:17:55	nhl wsh tor 2026 04 08	Capitals	BUY	12	59¢	$7	0xb770d9…
04-08 04:34:33	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0x495028…
04-08 03:49:35	nhl buf nyr 2026 04 08	Sabres	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x608fd0…
04-07 18:34:35	Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	285	99¢	$284	0x329220…
04-07 15:49:37	Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	285	100¢	$284	0x798455…
04-07 10:38:53	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	285	100¢	$285	0x725eb1…
04-07 08:39:41	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	285	100¢	$285	0x65ce87…
04-07 07:39:37	nhl cbj det 2026 04 07	Blue Jackets	BUY	29	49¢	$14	0x8bc20e…
04-07 06:13:39	nba cha bos 2026 04 07	Hornets	BUY	11	33¢	$4	0xa68872…
04-06 20:58:41	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	300	100¢	$299	0xb10daf…
04-06 20:09:01	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0x95aaf8…
04-04 17:21:37	will charl schwartzel win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	276	100¢	$275	0xaec38e…
04-04 13:24:17	will charl schwartzel win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	276	100¢	$276	0xfc47ab…
04-02 14:01:49	will dustin johnson win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	267	100¢	$266	0xaa25a7…
04-02 10:02:41	nhl mon nyr 2026 04 02	Canadiens	BUY	26	58¢	$15	0xa9888a…
04-02 07:54:55	will dustin johnson win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	267	100¢	$266	0xb220bc…
04-01 16:28:17	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	73	100¢	$72	0xf11226…
04-01 16:23:57	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x44139d…
04-01 16:23:43	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf23708…
04-01 16:23:31	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x873e33…
04-01 16:23:19	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x488bc1…
04-01 16:10:25	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xd744d3…
04-01 16:10:13	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf251e5…
04-01 16:10:01	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x0b3653…
04-01 16:09:47	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe3ff89…
04-01 16:09:35	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x90dd40…
04-01 16:09:19	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x25313a…
04-01 16:09:07	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x849201…
04-01 16:08:11	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf98215…
04-01 16:04:35	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x8913bd…
04-01 15:21:05	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x171ac1…
04-01 15:20:51	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd08886…
04-01 15:20:39	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x5125e8…
04-01 15:18:57	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x6e643c…
04-01 15:12:53	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x295483…
04-01 15:12:41	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x897de7…
04-01 15:12:29	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x0203e8…
04-01 15:12:15	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa214f0…
04-01 14:39:47	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb2e69a…
04-01 14:39:31	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xcbd19a…
04-01 14:39:17	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x465daa…
04-01 14:39:01	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xc52102…
04-01 14:35:37	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd3ecf9…
04-01 14:35:25	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x63ac8e…
04-01 14:35:13	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x9f9893…
04-01 14:34:17	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x55fae5…
04-01 14:33:21	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc15a77…
04-01 14:11:11	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x8a3266…
04-01 14:10:57	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xfd5405…
04-01 14:10:43	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x2e6509…
04-01 14:08:59	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf6aa5b…
04-01 14:07:43	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x4f9ce5…
04-01 13:34:31	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe105f6…
04-01 13:34:17	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x46aa62…
04-01 13:34:05	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa27af7…
04-01 13:33:53	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x5b40da…
04-01 13:33:39	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x264b7b…
04-01 13:33:27	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xa8a135…
04-01 10:02:15	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	259	100¢	$259	0x9e5497…
03-30 07:50:38	nhl tor ana 2026 03 30	Maple Leafs	BUY	29	36¢	$10	0xa42e4f…
03-30 06:44:36	nba cle uta 2026 03 30	Cavaliers	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x724ba2…
03-30 04:11:06	Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	275	100¢	$274	0x3986aa…
03-30 03:57:24	nhl pit nyi 2026 03 30	Islanders	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0x3a68eb…
03-30 02:40:36	Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	275	100¢	$274	0x53359a…
03-29 14:36:04	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	242	100¢	$241	0xfad216…
03-29 12:39:46	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	242	100¢	$241	0x32654f…
03-29 06:47:26	nhl dal phi 2026 03 29	Stars	BUY	16	60¢	$10	0xee7c48…
03-29 05:32:24	will charl schwartzel win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	265	100¢	$263	0xfe2808…
03-29 04:28:46	will charl schwartzel win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	265	100¢	$264	0x155732…
03-29 03:10:36	nba orl tor 2026 03 29	Raptors	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0x9a2183…
03-28 15:51:19	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x669c04…
03-28 15:51:11	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	No	SELL	122	100¢	$122	0x2908ae…
03-28 15:51:03	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	No	SELL	131	100¢	$130	0x5f282c…