Severe-Involvement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.94K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$64

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-04 12:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

52% 100% +$0

Other

35% — —

Politics

6% — —

Pop-Culture

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 8, 2026?	2	$180	90	90	+0	open	—	05-13 12:57
will opinion launch a token on march 4	1	$148	148	0	+148	open	—	03-04 12:24
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	1	$112	114	0	+114	open	—	03-01 12:55
bitcoin above 92k on january 18	1	$105	105	0	+105	open	—	01-18 13:41
will ethereum dip to 2500 december 29 january 4	1	$105	105	0	+105	open	—	01-03 11:18
will the price of bitcoin be between 84000 86000 on january 15	1	$105	105	0	+105	open	—	01-14 11:45
bitcoin above 88k on february 5	1	$105	105	0	+105	open	—	02-04 11:45
xrp above 1pt8 on january 8	1	$104	104	0	+104	open	—	01-08 12:54
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 9 994	1	$104	104	0	+104	open	—	01-09 11:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?	1	$90	90	0	+90	No	+$0	05-13 12:58
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	1	$90	90	0	+90	open	—	04-24 11:22
bitcoin above 78k on april 16	1	$90	90	0	+90	open	—	04-16 13:29
highest temperature in denver on april 13 2026 60 61f	1	$90	90	0	+90	open	—	04-12 12:19
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on april 22	1	$90	90	0	+90	open	—	04-22 12:26
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 27?	1	$90	90	0	+90	open	—	04-27 13:28
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 27-May 3?	1	$90	90	0	+90	open	—	05-03 11:51
bitcoin above 64k on march 11	1	$89	89	0	+89	open	—	03-11 10:51
elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 215 239	1	$89	89	0	+89	open	—	03-12 13:42
will ethereum reach 2400 march 30 april 5	1	$89	89	0	+89	open	—	04-05 06:22
elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 165 189	1	$89	89	0	+89	open	—	03-21 06:16
highest temperature in nyc on april 1 2026 88forhigher	1	$88	88	0	+88	open	—	04-01 12:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?	1	$88	88	0	+88	open	—	05-19 13:26
will the price of ethereum be less than 1600 on april 10	1	$88	88	0	+88	open	—	04-08 11:22
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$88	88	0	+88	open	—	03-17 12:58
bitcoin above 74k on march 24	1	$88	88	0	+88	open	—	03-24 13:18
bitcoin above 74k on june 5 2026	1	$86	86	0	+86	open	—	06-04 12:46
will scream 7 opening weekend box office be between 45m and 50m	1	$86	86	0	+86	open	—	03-01 12:35
will the bank of russia increase the key rate after the february meeting	1	$53	53	0	+53	open	—	02-09 11:33
will the us next strike iran on january 29 2026 et 159	1	$47	48	0	+48	open	—	01-27 12:44
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 400 419	1	$43	48	0	+48	open	—	01-27 12:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 12:46:37	bitcoin above 74k on june 5 2026	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x503ed9…
06-02 10:15:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	1,150	0¢	$2	0x3976f9…
05-19 13:26:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x0cc38c…
05-19 13:13:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	1,050	0¢	$2	0x7a1a03…
05-13 12:58:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xbb4582…
05-13 12:57:40	Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x474b91…
05-10 13:03:59	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb90992…
05-07 11:15:27	Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x6cf027…
05-03 11:51:46	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x611d41…
04-27 13:28:56	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 27?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xa9aba4…
04-24 11:22:06	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xda010b…
04-22 12:26:46	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on april 22	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x16df88…
04-16 13:29:56	bitcoin above 78k on april 16	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xe19f4c…
04-12 12:19:27	highest temperature in denver on april 13 2026 60 61f	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xccf9b0…
04-08 11:22:35	will the price of ethereum be less than 1600 on april 10	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x7e6cde…
04-05 06:22:17	will ethereum reach 2400 march 30 april 5	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0xf1e914…
04-01 12:20:13	highest temperature in nyc on april 1 2026 88forhigher	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x8b5d7e…
03-24 13:18:25	bitcoin above 74k on march 24	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x022ff8…
03-21 06:16:55	elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 165 189	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x6bc7c9…
03-17 12:58:47	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xfeaa9a…
03-12 13:42:19	elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 215 239	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x1e7761…
03-11 10:51:03	bitcoin above 64k on march 11	Yes	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0xbb879e…
03-04 12:41:09	lol c9 fur 2026 03 04	Cloud9	BUY	30	86¢	$26	0x3f7fb9…
03-04 12:35:39	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 180 199	Yes	BUY	201	13¢	$27	0x0611ce…
03-04 12:24:31	will opinion launch a token on march 4	No	BUY	148	100¢	$148	0x153bbe…
03-01 12:55:41	us x iran ceasefire by march 2	No	BUY	114	98¢	$112	0xe83c88…
03-01 12:42:29	bitcoin above 70k on march 1	Yes	BUY	750	0¢	$3	0xa20138…
03-01 12:36:17	will goat third weekend box office be less than 9m	Yes	BUY	345	0¢	$1	0x36d33f…
03-01 12:35:35	will scream 7 opening weekend box office be between 45m and 50m	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x2551fd…
02-09 12:28:03	ethereum above 2300 on february 9	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xb63b3b…
02-09 11:46:29	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	No	BUY	25	89¢	$22	0x45512d…
02-09 11:34:35	will a dozen eggs cost 4pt00 in january	Yes	BUY	360	0¢	$2	0x35c410…
02-09 11:33:57	will the bank of russia increase the key rate after the february meeting	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0xc9c5cd…
02-09 11:19:11	bitcoin above 80k on february 10	Yes	BUY	665	0¢	$1	0xa4d3e7…
02-09 11:17:31	elon musk of tweets february 7 february 9 115 139	Yes	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0x0974a9…
02-04 13:50:28	solana above 110 on february 4	Yes	BUY	171	1¢	$1	0xe3ec8c…
02-04 11:45:44	bitcoin above 88k on february 5	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x1d24b3…
01-27 12:49:23	si hit 70 low jan 2026 929 537 842	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xe845a2…
01-27 12:45:25	will there be at least 500 measles cases in the us by january 31 2026 onf	No	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0x9d2555…
01-27 12:44:43	will the us next strike iran on january 29 2026 et 159	No	BUY	48	99¢	$47	0xb18fa2…
01-27 12:10:29	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 400 419	No	BUY	48	89¢	$43	0x377897…
01-18 13:41:30	bitcoin above 92k on january 18	Yes	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xd6b33f…
01-14 11:45:50	will the price of bitcoin be between 84000 86000 on january 15	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x2aef4f…
01-09 11:11:56	will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 9 994	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x9d5f9c…
01-08 12:54:01	xrp above 1pt8 on january 8	Yes	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0xca20d6…
01-03 11:18:33	will ethereum dip to 2500 december 29 january 4	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xd05001…