Cylindrical-Anise — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

37.7%

Resolved

Trades

154

lifetime

Volume

$9.84K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$64

Open exposure

$24

1 position

First seen

2026-05-04

last 06-09 11:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

65% — —

Other

16% — —

Crypto

14% 50% $-18

Tech

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes		+38	$25	64¢	$24	$-1	06-09 11:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	12	$1.8K	1,180	980	+200	open	—	05-28 04:45
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	10	$1.6K	875	875	+0	open	—	05-23 15:11
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	14	$1.1K	1,833	1,005	+828	open	—	06-03 00:24
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	2	$1.0K	530	530	+0	open	—	05-22 21:11
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	6	$1.0K	1,867	1,450	+417	open	—	05-23 22:59
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	7	$618	400	400	+0	open	—	05-20 19:13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	2	$515	310	310	+0	open	—	05-24 21:45
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	6	$485	23	510	-487	open	—	05-31 23:59
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	2	$403	203	203	+0	open	—	05-24 05:51
Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	2	$338	393	0	+393	open	—	05-19 21:35
will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	5	$331	285	285	+0	open	—	06-09 11:31
will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	1	$105	375	0	+375	open	—	06-09 11:32
Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	11	$85	131	131	+0	open	—	05-19 15:02
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	2	$73	77	38	+38	open	—	06-09 11:32
Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	2	$50	60	0	+60	open	—	05-15 14:23
Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	2	$47	25	25	+0	open	—	05-19 21:30
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?	3	$25	55	0	+55	open	—	06-02 18:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$23	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	06-02 12:53
btc updown 5m 1780765500	2	$23	13	13	+0	open	—	06-06 17:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	2	$15	24	0	+24	Up	$-15	05-05 00:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	05-19 22:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	05-04 06:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	05-04 06:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	1	$10	14	0	+14	Up	+$4	05-04 23:54
btc updown 5m 1780765200	3	$9	14	11	+3	open	—	06-06 17:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	3	$7	11	0	+11	open	—	05-04 04:02
btc updown 5m 1780764900	3	$6	16	10	+6	open	—	06-06 16:58
btc updown 5m 1780766400	3	$6	7	2	+6	open	—	06-06 17:23
btc updown 5m 1780774800	3	$6	12	10	+2	open	—	06-06 19:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	2	$6	13	0	+13	Down	$-6	05-05 00:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 11:32:34	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	No	BUY	375	28¢	$105	0xff5c92…
06-09 11:32:12	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	SELL	38	63¢	$24	0x92d217…
06-09 11:31:19	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	No	SELL	146	57¢	$83	0x761eff…
06-07 21:11:52	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	77	64¢	$49	0x33e731…
06-06 20:17:12	btc updown 5m 1780776900	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x270f6d…
06-06 20:06:28	btc updown 5m 1780776300	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xd7a4b7…
06-06 20:00:04	btc updown 5m 1780776000	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x227cf8…
06-06 19:44:39	btc updown 5m 1780774800	Down	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xb64ca1…
06-06 19:42:01	btc updown 5m 1780774800	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x51a5c4…
06-06 19:40:27	btc updown 5m 1780774800	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x733849…
06-06 19:35:22	btc updown 5m 1780774500	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xffe501…
06-06 19:34:24	btc updown 5m 1780774200	Down	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x53f882…
06-06 19:31:21	btc updown 5m 1780774200	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x76ec9f…
06-06 19:27:21	btc updown 5m 1780773900	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x997993…
06-06 17:25:10	btc updown 5m 1780766700	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xade796…
06-06 17:23:36	btc updown 5m 1780766400	Up	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0x8c357a…
06-06 17:23:07	btc updown 5m 1780766400	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x85d107…
06-06 17:21:33	btc updown 5m 1780766400	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xe25242…
06-06 17:16:06	btc updown 5m 1780766100	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x96f25a…
06-06 17:14:01	btc updown 5m 1780765800	Down	BUY	65	1¢	$1	0x9ab6a3…
06-06 17:09:12	btc updown 5m 1780765800	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xd2a041…
06-06 17:08:45	btc updown 5m 1780765500	Down	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x38377f…
06-06 17:05:57	btc updown 5m 1780765500	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x96870a…
06-06 17:03:54	btc updown 5m 1780765200	Up	SELL	11	31¢	$3	0x9ea648…
06-06 17:02:42	btc updown 5m 1780765200	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xcac2d8…
06-06 16:59:51	btc updown 5m 1780765200	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x904bc0…
06-06 16:58:57	btc updown 5m 1780764900	Up	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x421a57…
06-06 16:57:31	btc updown 5m 1780764900	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xcaf305…
06-06 16:56:03	btc updown 5m 1780764900	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x901f37…
06-06 16:52:36	btc updown 5m 1780764600	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x6a9286…
06-06 16:50:03	btc updown 5m 1780764600	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xe40acf…
06-06 16:46:21	btc updown 5m 1780764300	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x9f5ec5…
06-06 16:36:43	btc updown 5m 1780763700	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xf183ed…
06-06 16:34:37	btc updown 5m 1780763700	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x86c3e9…
06-06 16:30:06	btc updown 5m 1780763400	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x54ab23…
06-03 00:24:50	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xfae088…
06-03 00:23:35	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x1e9075…
06-02 23:22:06	Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	146	75¢	$110	0x20fceb…
06-02 23:05:53	Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	139	51¢	$71	0x9401f9…
06-02 18:53:55	Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0xffb593…
06-02 18:43:19	Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	120	48¢	$58	0xf9c7b8…
06-02 18:06:59	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?	No	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0xbae637…
06-02 17:43:44	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?	No	BUY	36	45¢	$16	0xc444ca…
06-02 14:50:38	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?	No	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xe93168…
06-02 12:56:56	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xc81d3e…
06-02 12:53:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x07a045…
06-02 02:10:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xde7e41…
06-01 13:33:00	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0xc77568…
06-01 13:28:36	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0x934441…
06-01 13:27:57	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	238	30¢	$70	0x0d88c6…
06-01 13:27:31	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	132	29¢	$39	0xcc350d…
06-01 13:26:42	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0xcd59c5…
06-01 13:26:35	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	80	30¢	$24	0x146620…
06-01 12:57:32	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	452	42¢	$190	0xd2c08a…
06-01 12:57:29	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	42¢	$4	0x65c5e0…
06-01 12:17:50	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	103	84¢	$87	0xfbf2f0…
06-01 12:16:44	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	545	16¢	$88	0xacdad4…
06-01 00:00:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	545	88¢	$481	0x4d6b31…
05-31 23:59:50	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	SELL	510	92¢	$469	0xc98d83…
05-28 06:59:41	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x023831…
05-28 06:59:36	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0xf8a1e7…
05-28 06:58:50	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xec878b…
05-28 06:39:23	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xc6866b…
05-28 06:34:48	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x1b5ba9…
05-28 04:45:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	380	92¢	$350	0x3e47fb…
05-27 01:22:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	1,000	2¢	$22	0xeac068…
05-27 01:12:16	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xf13ee3…
05-26 14:56:06	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0xed5cbd…
05-24 22:09:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	380	77¢	$293	0x6464b1…
05-24 21:45:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	310	92¢	$285	0xa560e0…
05-24 05:52:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	310	74¢	$229	0x6bd618…
05-24 05:51:04	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	SELL	203	100¢	$203	0x2ce63c…
05-23 23:17:54	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	BUY	203	98¢	$200	0x465bc1…
05-23 22:59:14	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	SELL	273	50¢	$137	0xf53678…
05-23 22:58:58	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	BUY	417	48¢	$200	0x31f335…
05-23 22:58:37	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	SELL	177	57¢	$101	0x8ae1bb…
05-23 22:30:32	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	BUY	450	90¢	$405	0x1cdcbf…
05-23 22:30:32	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	SELL	1,000	10¢	$100	0x1cdcbf…
05-23 21:57:15	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	BUY	1,000	7¢	$70	0xb5a70e…
05-23 15:11:59	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	SELL	387	100¢	$387	0xebc430…
05-23 15:09:28	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	SELL	88	100¢	$88	0x0475c7…
05-23 00:26:29	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	BUY	167	94¢	$157	0x852eeb…
05-23 00:26:01	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	BUY	250	94¢	$235	0xdd627e…
05-23 00:25:40	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	BUY	59	94¢	$55	0xd67909…
05-22 23:46:52	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	SELL	56	88¢	$49	0xa91e80…
05-22 23:46:45	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	SELL	144	87¢	$126	0xd78032…
05-22 23:20:53	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	BUY	200	86¢	$172	0xe8f394…
05-22 23:13:42	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	SELL	200	83¢	$166	0x038bda…
05-22 23:09:01	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	BUY	200	82¢	$164	0xf3906e…
05-22 21:11:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	530	99¢	$525	0x243982…
05-20 23:26:09	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	530	94¢	$498	0x74f963…
05-20 23:18:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	79¢	$158	0x6f39f5…
05-20 22:25:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	76¢	$152	0x2867a0…
05-20 20:11:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	115	81¢	$93	0x068dfb…
05-20 20:10:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0x56f775…
05-20 20:10:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	81¢	$40	0xda6069…
05-20 20:07:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	81¢	$12	0x767d6d…
05-20 19:13:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	200	80¢	$160	0xb060fa…
05-20 19:00:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	80¢	$160	0x01a1e2…
05-20 18:53:48	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	80	78¢	$62	0xca7ce9…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	55	$94.6K	1,975	06-09 17:00
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	44	$72.5K	506	06-09 15:50
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	42	$27.2K	3,508	06-06 20:20
Aromatic-Freedom 0xc547…7b30	41	$14.9K	464	06-06 20:19
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	41	$13.3K	2,625	06-06 20:19
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	41	$12.3K	4,181	06-06 20:19
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	41	$11.3K	2,086	06-06 20:19
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	41	$9.64K	3,027	06-06 20:18