Nifty-Effective — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.56K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$111

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 05-28 08:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

93% — —

Crypto

7% 75% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
another us strike on venezuela on january 10	2	$1.0K	520	520	+0	open	—	01-11 06:26
will the next dutch government be vvd cda ja21	2	$761	381	381	+0	open	—	01-06 05:02
will mistral have the third best ai model at the end of january 2026	2	$761	381	381	+0	open	—	01-06 05:31
will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	2	$740	370	370	+0	open	—	01-06 04:29
bitcoin up or down on april 9 2026	1	$174	260	0	+260	open	—	04-09 05:51
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$16	8	8	+0	open	—	05-18 07:16
btc updown 15m 1767672900	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	01-06 04:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	2	$8	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	05-14 05:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	2	$8	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	05-13 09:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	2	$8	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	05-12 08:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-28 08:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	1	$4	0	4	-4	Up	$-0	05-12 08:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	1	$4	4	0	+4	Down	+$0	05-13 07:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	1	$4	4	0	+4	Up	+$0	05-13 08:42
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	1	$4	4	0	+4	Down	+$0	05-12 06:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	Down	$-0	05-14 05:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	05-28 08:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	05-18 03:08
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	05-28 08:21
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	05-18 03:01
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	05-18 03:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-28 08:44:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x3f939f…
05-28 08:21:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x4fc087…
05-28 08:19:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xd284cd…
05-28 08:18:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x288d5a…
05-18 07:16:51	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xeb0c4b…
05-18 03:12:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xf02934…
05-18 03:08:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x8a7605…
05-18 03:03:59	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xbc9871…
05-18 03:01:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x8ff5c5…
05-14 05:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0xae33d0…
05-14 05:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xbb7675…
05-14 05:55:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x2ca17d…
05-14 05:54:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x9d6638…
05-13 09:42:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xce4e96…
05-13 09:39:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x00d35e…
05-13 08:42:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xf2ae5d…
05-13 07:12:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0xa96a2a…
05-12 08:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x49dcf4…
05-12 08:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x9ff363…
05-12 08:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x5e24ce…
05-12 06:41:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xfeacf8…
04-09 05:51:41	bitcoin up or down on april 9 2026	Down	BUY	260	67¢	$174	0xfed1c1…
01-11 06:26:50	another us strike on venezuela on january 10	No	SELL	520	100¢	$519	0xa69d40…
01-11 05:19:12	another us strike on venezuela on january 10	No	BUY	520	100¢	$519	0x4865fa…
01-06 05:31:15	will mistral have the third best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	SELL	381	100¢	$380	0xd974e8…
01-06 05:07:07	will mistral have the third best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	381	100¢	$380	0x9d700c…
01-06 05:02:05	will the next dutch government be vvd cda ja21	No	SELL	381	100¢	$380	0x5cd70c…
01-06 04:44:45	will the next dutch government be vvd cda ja21	No	BUY	381	100¢	$381	0xbd3344…
01-06 04:29:47	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	SELL	370	100¢	$370	0x06da30…
01-06 04:29:25	btc updown 15m 1767672900	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xdd8647…
01-06 04:26:09	btc updown 15m 1767672900	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x32ebec…
01-06 04:00:55	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	BUY	370	100¢	$370	0xddf51a…