Unfortunate-Ceiling — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.8%

Resolved

Trades

217

lifetime

Volume

$1.32K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 06-12 17:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

59% 100% +$6

Crypto

34% 75% +$2

Politics

5% — —

Sports

2% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will melania say career during ai talk on friday	12	$273	68,333	68,333	+0	open	—	01-20 11:51
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	5	$255	465	465	+0	open	—	06-03 10:05
fif col fra 2026 03 29 fra	2	$30	56	0	+56	open	—	03-29 18:22
acn sen mar 2026 01 18 sen	11	$22	700	700	+0	open	—	01-18 21:36
fl1 pfc asm 2026 04 10 asm	1	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	04-10 16:46
uef kvx tur 2026 03 31 tur	1	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	03-31 16:42
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 rma1	1	$20	105	0	+105	open	—	04-15 08:43
uef cze den 2026 03 31 den	1	$20	42	0	+42	open	—	03-31 16:42
Will Marseille win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	5	$18	333	333	+0	open	—	02-07 21:25
will franck allisio win the marseille mayor election	4	$18	106	106	+0	open	—	03-17 10:47
acn sen mar 2026 01 18 mar	9	$17	4,000	2,000	+2,000	open	—	01-18 21:34
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	5	$16	831	31	+800	open	—	04-01 14:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	4	$16	40	0	+40	Down	+$4	05-06 12:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	3	$16	40	0	+40	Down	+$4	05-05 17:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	4	$16	40	0	+40	Up	+$4	05-05 17:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	7	$16	40	0	+40	Up	+$4	05-06 11:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	8	$16	40	0	+40	Down	+$4	05-11 18:58
will laure lavalette be the next mayor of toulon	2	$16	14	14	+0	open	—	03-15 19:54
ucl spo1 psg1 2026 01 20 psg1	2	$15	42	0	+42	open	—	01-20 21:40
fif usa bel 2026 03 28 bel	1	$15	31	0	+31	open	—	03-28 19:43
Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	5	$14	28	28	+0	open	—	06-07 14:35
Roland Garros ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Moise Kouame	3	$14	72	0	+72	open	—	05-28 14:02
uef bih ita 2026 03 31 bih	1	$12	109	0	+109	open	—	03-31 16:38
fif mex prt 2026 03 28 prt	1	$11	20	0	+20	open	—	03-28 23:05
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	2	$11	26	26	+0	open	—	01-13 19:21
fif lit geo 2026 03 29 geo	3	$10	24	0	+24	open	—	03-29 14:09
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev	1	$10	50	0	+50	open	—	06-02 12:54
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	04-27 14:17
Roland Garros WTA: Diane Parry vs Amanda Anisimova	1	$10	24	0	+24	open	—	05-30 13:48
epl sun not 2026 04 24 sun	1	$10	29	0	+29	open	—	04-24 17:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 17:22:55	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	Yes	BUY	55	7¢	$4	0xaa6fe4…
06-12 11:30:39	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	Yes	BUY	141	4¢	$6	0x0b3e85…
06-11 20:52:06	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	Yes	BUY	79	4¢	$4	0xadac43…
06-07 17:36:00	atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x6980cc…
06-07 14:35:36	Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	28	37¢	$11	0xbe886a…
06-07 14:12:40	Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x8f2af9…
06-07 12:51:28	Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xdd5f12…
06-07 12:49:37	Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0xc21a54…
06-07 12:29:49	Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x948812…
06-03 22:30:19	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 4 2026	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x32677a…
06-03 20:56:40	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 3 2026	No	SELL	80	0¢	$0	0x9bdaa9…
06-03 15:09:07	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 3, 2026?	No	BUY	80	5¢	$4	0x7a0ffa…
06-03 10:05:59	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$1	0xb83f7c…
06-02 16:44:12	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	1¢	$2	0x75aa29…
06-02 12:54:50	Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev	Rafael Jodar	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xf3655f…
06-02 11:21:55	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	215	99¢	$213	0xa326d2…
06-01 22:36:42	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 2, 2026?	No	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xcb2922…
06-01 22:21:58	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 2, 2026?	No	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x67c7ff…
06-01 12:58:37	Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Diane Parry	Diane Parry	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x3ac23a…
06-01 12:15:15	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	111	18¢	$20	0x8328af…
06-01 12:14:19	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0x865ca2…
05-30 13:48:19	Roland Garros WTA: Diane Parry vs Amanda Anisimova	Diane Parry	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x1fc5b6…
05-28 18:20:17	Roland Garros ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Brandon Nakashima	Luca Van Assche	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x9c4ce8…
05-28 14:02:25	Roland Garros ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Moise Kouame	Adolfo Vallejo	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1e55a6…
05-28 13:11:40	Roland Garros ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Moise Kouame	Moise Kouame	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x3d940d…
05-28 12:43:44	Roland Garros ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Moise Kouame	Moise Kouame	BUY	22	32¢	$7	0xe74243…
05-28 12:39:51	Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Hugo Gaston	Hugo Gaston	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0x2addf2…
05-11 21:41:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	16	40¢	$6	0xdccd46…
05-11 21:41:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x4ad2b3…
05-11 18:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xc3fae3…
05-11 18:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x3b5c4b…
05-11 18:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	40¢	$4	0x3443e3…
05-11 18:55:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xbd986e…
05-11 18:55:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	40¢	$1	0x9d62fa…
05-11 18:55:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x113d16…
05-11 18:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0xd64490…
05-11 18:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x98ce6d…
05-11 12:03:57	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Iva Jovic	Coco Gauff	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xd1bd7d…
05-06 13:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	16	40¢	$6	0xaf45ad…
05-06 13:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0x1d72e0…
05-06 13:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0xe9220f…
05-06 13:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xa118ec…
05-06 13:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x6a379b…
05-06 13:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	40¢	$5	0x030d47…
05-06 12:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xae7fa1…
05-06 12:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0x1a3c61…
05-06 12:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x19aa72…
05-06 12:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xe34d24…
05-06 11:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$3	0xaab597…
05-06 11:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	14	40¢	$5	0x036a49…
05-06 11:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0xf42f4e…
05-06 11:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xd5b5e1…
05-06 11:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x78bc2d…
05-06 11:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0x316994…
05-06 11:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0x04fddf…
05-06 10:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x08cdbf…
05-06 10:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x9587e3…
05-06 09:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x6d7630…
05-06 09:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xb2aa70…
05-06 09:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	40¢	$1	0x92b76f…
05-06 09:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	40¢	$1	0xa8f72a…
05-06 09:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x91c090…
05-06 09:36:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x387fa6…
05-06 09:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x3c18f7…
05-06 09:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x904fca…
05-06 09:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0x84a6eb…
05-06 09:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	40¢	$4	0x6802ea…
05-05 18:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x011932…
05-05 17:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	18	40¢	$7	0xdcae5f…
05-05 17:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x7b3deb…
05-05 17:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x8c3379…
05-05 17:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xc28e20…
05-05 17:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0x4e3215…
05-05 17:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0xee9b7b…
05-05 17:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x6a2764…
05-05 16:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xcba256…
05-05 16:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0xdb64ab…
05-05 16:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	40¢	$4	0xcecb69…
05-05 16:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x377d7e…
05-05 16:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xe0f2c5…
05-05 16:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xa02168…
05-05 16:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x31b4c2…
05-05 16:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x73aa43…
05-05 16:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x7e5ca4…
05-05 16:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x19d34b…
05-05 15:10:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x8f4696…
05-05 15:10:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x6b820f…
05-05 15:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x171548…
05-05 15:04:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x96deff…
05-05 15:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xb4ebd4…
05-05 14:56:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x051b94…
05-05 14:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x110fcc…
04-28 18:49:54	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x0c2f3a…
04-27 14:17:06	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xc51dba…
04-24 17:25:28	epl sun not 2026 04 24 sun	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x21d0c9…
04-15 08:43:02	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 rma1	Yes	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0x2e419a…
04-14 15:32:17	will donk be said during the pgl bucharest 2026 grand final	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0x19f572…
04-14 15:02:35	ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 psg1	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x3e848e…
04-13 20:17:09	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8108c9…
04-11 15:31:19	lal sev mad 2026 04 11 mad	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x9772c9…