Messy-Beast — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.7%

Resolved

115

Trades

240

lifetime

Volume

$580

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 05-22 03:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 88% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	2	$11	25	25	+0	open	—	05-22 00:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-15 07:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	$-0	05-13 04:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-15 05:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-19 05:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-15 05:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-15 04:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-15 06:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-19 05:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-19 02:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	05-19 05:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	05-19 05:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	2	$8	21	21	+0	open	—	05-22 03:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	05-19 03:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	2	$6	6	0	+6	Up	+$0	05-11 01:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	2	$6	6	0	+6	Down	+$0	05-11 05:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	1	$5	500	0	+500	open	—	05-15 06:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-16 05:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	05-13 03:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	+$1	05-13 02:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-19 05:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-19 07:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-16 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-19 00:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-19 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-15 05:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-19 06:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-22 01:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-19 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-16 05:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 03:16:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	SELL	21	15¢	$3	0x7bba35…
05-22 03:15:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x28db64…
05-22 02:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x81267b…
05-22 02:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x9d86b1…
05-22 02:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x44e65a…
05-22 02:02:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x89a46d…
05-22 02:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x43bfe5…
05-22 01:54:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x9431f9…
05-22 01:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x4dbc34…
05-22 01:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe498ae…
05-22 01:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x86f651…
05-22 01:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x1767f0…
05-22 01:19:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0xda9443…
05-22 01:16:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x6123ca…
05-22 00:06:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	25	23¢	$6	0x423a08…
05-22 00:06:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xd629c1…
05-21 23:09:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x427357…
05-21 22:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	50¢	$1	0x0395c1…
05-21 22:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x641cd3…
05-21 22:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x7becf2…
05-20 07:28:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x99fe9b…
05-20 05:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x37aa95…
05-20 03:27:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x0d4240…
05-20 02:32:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x252a0a…
05-20 02:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf52e21…
05-20 01:33:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf9d2e8…
05-20 00:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x487627…
05-20 00:12:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xd22bf9…
05-19 20:56:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x6f5892…
05-19 20:32:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	49¢	$2	0x74ea39…
05-19 20:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x051d0d…
05-19 08:26:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x2d6fc6…
05-19 08:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x164cff…
05-19 08:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa10aa5…
05-19 08:08:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb62334…
05-19 07:08:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0f1c82…
05-19 06:34:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1cfd2c…
05-19 06:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe95ab8…
05-19 05:34:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x103701…
05-19 05:34:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3c91da…
05-19 05:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb233ce…
05-19 05:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0xa94a86…
05-19 05:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6eae7f…
05-19 05:09:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x4e5fcd…
05-19 05:09:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x118846…
05-19 05:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xe9c903…
05-19 05:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xcc1b29…
05-19 03:19:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xcd3d2f…
05-19 03:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x766461…
05-19 03:13:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x191fa8…
05-19 03:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4eb0f6…
05-19 02:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x8b7254…
05-19 02:52:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa2cdfd…
05-19 02:44:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0x5e5df8…
05-19 02:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x45e091…
05-19 02:34:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xdf0e05…
05-19 02:27:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x64ba85…
05-19 02:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x082d37…
05-19 02:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x0b8db4…
05-19 02:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb0dd6d…
05-19 02:07:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x05275d…
05-19 02:03:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe915a9…
05-19 01:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb94b89…
05-19 01:54:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0e1990…
05-19 00:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x64793c…
05-19 00:49:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xcf6944…
05-19 00:39:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xbf71bd…
05-19 00:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xaa1ff0…
05-19 00:21:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5d4422…
05-19 00:18:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x93b3d9…
05-19 00:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x70912e…
05-19 00:08:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5198fb…
05-16 06:23:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5cc703…
05-16 06:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x76b06a…
05-16 06:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x875664…
05-16 06:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd58209…
05-16 05:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd8d8f5…
05-16 05:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa6d70e…
05-16 05:09:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x0783a8…
05-16 04:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xcac971…
05-16 04:39:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x529393…
05-16 04:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x465d40…
05-15 08:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x97586e…
05-15 07:59:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x042bbb…
05-15 07:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xdbcea5…
05-15 06:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x2ebd00…
05-15 06:24:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x4c8523…
05-15 06:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf4c225…
05-15 06:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf92a01…
05-15 06:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8abfb1…
05-15 05:58:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd0d009…
05-15 05:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x2d803a…
05-15 05:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xee0dca…
05-15 05:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x94209c…
05-15 05:36:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x2798ca…
05-15 05:36:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa72b41…
05-15 05:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x810dde…
05-15 05:28:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x15e068…
05-15 05:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xed90c2…
05-15 05:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x86deeb…