Sizzling-Dilapidation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$255

Unrealized P&L

+$12

Hit rate

55.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$6.77K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$226

Open exposure

$424

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 06-23 02:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

39% — —

Politics

36% 67% $-255

Crypto

21% — —

Tech

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	+204	$198	100¢	$203	+$5	06-03 06:29
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	+164	$160	100¢	$164	+$4	06-03 06:27
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	+57	$54	100¢	$57	+$3	06-17 15:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will solana dip to 20 in february 2026	2	$680	436	250	+186	open	—	02-16 07:49
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	1	$450	465	0	+465	open	—	01-08 10:24
Netanyahu out by April 30?	1	$433	438	0	+438	open	—	04-14 07:59
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	2	$408	235	178	+57	open	—	06-17 15:35
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	1	$340	343	0	+343	open	—	05-09 08:52
US strike on Mexico by March 31?	1	$300	302	0	+302	open	—	03-24 05:09
will the ecb announce no change at the march 2026 meeting	1	$288	292	0	+292	open	—	03-10 07:00
Will Solana dip to $40 in April?	1	$270	272	0	+272	open	—	04-14 07:57
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	1	$260	269	0	+269	Yes	$-260	05-08 10:08
Trump out as President by May 31?	1	$247	249	0	+249	open	—	05-08 10:11
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	1	$241	246	0	+246	open	—	02-16 07:51
Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	1	$222	225	0	+225	No	+$3	05-08 10:11
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$211	214	0	+214	open	—	03-24 05:09
elon musk of tweets march 9 march 11 0 39	1	$211	214	0	+214	open	—	03-10 07:00
us strike on colombia by march 31	1	$210	213	0	+213	open	—	03-10 06:57
russia x ukraine ceasefire by june 30 2026 631	1	$200	202	0	+202	open	—	06-23 02:33
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	1	$200	206	0	+206	open	—	02-07 05:13
Netanyahu out by June 30?	1	$198	204	0	+204	open	—	06-03 06:29
si hit 150 high jan 2026	1	$180	182	0	+182	open	—	01-08 10:22
fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 total 0pt5	1	$169	180	0	+180	open	—	06-17 16:19
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	1	$160	164	0	+164	open	—	06-03 06:27
will xrp dip to 0pt2 in february 2026	1	$154	155	0	+155	open	—	02-07 05:14
us recognizes machado as leader of venezuela by january 31	1	$150	151	0	+151	open	—	01-27 07:07
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 420 439	1	$140	141	0	+141	open	—	01-08 10:22
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	1	$125	133	0	+133	open	—	04-18 12:42
ethereum above 2200 on april 14	1	$120	121	0	+121	open	—	04-14 07:58
will elon musk be richest person on march 31	1	$102	103	0	+103	open	—	03-10 06:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	1	$100	102	0	+102	No	+$2	05-08 10:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-23 02:33:13	russia x ukraine ceasefire by june 30 2026 631	No	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x2c2b41…
06-17 16:19:08	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	180	94¢	$169	0x6eeec6…
06-17 15:35:52	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	178	99¢	$177	0x798ba7…
06-03 06:29:53	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	235	98¢	$231	0x430f67…
06-03 06:29:16	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	BUY	204	97¢	$198	0xe23835…
06-03 06:27:40	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	164	97¢	$160	0x30eb17…
05-09 08:52:26	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	BUY	343	99¢	$340	0x55dd0c…
05-08 10:11:53	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	225	99¢	$222	0x36874e…
05-08 10:11:25	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	249	99¢	$247	0x2c7017…
05-08 10:10:09	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xfccc40…
05-08 10:08:14	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	269	97¢	$260	0x35da78…
04-18 12:42:10	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	133	94¢	$125	0xaea365…
04-14 07:59:03	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	438	99¢	$433	0xa40da0…
04-14 07:58:27	ethereum above 2200 on april 14	Yes	BUY	121	99¢	$120	0xa8722b…
04-14 07:57:57	Will Solana dip to $40 in April?	No	BUY	272	99¢	$270	0x48c95d…
03-24 05:09:29	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	214	99¢	$211	0x41e548…
03-24 05:09:07	US strike on Mexico by March 31?	No	BUY	302	99¢	$300	0x116743…
03-10 07:00:43	elon musk of tweets march 9 march 11 0 39	No	BUY	214	99¢	$211	0xde0faa…
03-10 07:00:03	will the ecb announce no change at the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	292	99¢	$288	0xc805d4…
03-10 06:58:53	will elon musk be richest person on march 31	Yes	BUY	103	99¢	$102	0xc3280a…
03-10 06:57:59	us strike on colombia by march 31	No	BUY	213	98¢	$210	0xebe776…
02-16 07:51:05	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	BUY	246	98¢	$241	0x4b7836…
02-16 07:49:27	will solana dip to 20 in february 2026	No	SELL	250	99¢	$248	0x739263…
02-07 05:14:59	will xrp dip to 0pt2 in february 2026	No	BUY	155	99¢	$154	0x6c6751…
02-07 05:13:39	russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	No	BUY	206	97¢	$200	0xc8eb41…
02-07 05:13:01	will solana dip to 20 in february 2026	No	BUY	436	99¢	$432	0xc0a034…
01-27 07:07:11	us recognizes machado as leader of venezuela by january 31	No	BUY	151	100¢	$150	0x0906cf…
01-08 10:24:29	russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	No	BUY	465	97¢	$450	0xf2e2cf…
01-08 10:22:47	elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 420 439	No	BUY	141	99¢	$140	0x7bef8d…
01-08 10:22:13	si hit 150 high jan 2026	No	BUY	182	99¢	$180	0x5c8168…