Unwilling-Misreading — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

110

lifetime

Volume

$4.45K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$40

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-12

last 05-10 10:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

43% 0% $-0

Sports

38% — —

Crypto

11% — —

Politics

5% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	6	$250	125	125	+0	open	—	03-29 01:17
Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$182	91	91	+0	open	—	03-14 14:16
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	4	$182	91	91	+0	open	—	04-20 21:09
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$180	90	90	+0	open	—	03-31 07:05
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$176	88	88	+0	open	—	03-26 00:29
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	4	$170	85	85	+0	open	—	03-21 00:23
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$162	81	81	+0	No	$-0	04-17 12:13
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	4	$162	81	81	+0	No	$-0	04-12 14:34
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$134	67	67	+0	open	—	03-11 15:23
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	2	$114	57	57	+0	open	—	02-13 07:35
will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	2	$108	54	54	+0	open	—	03-03 10:33
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	2	$108	54	54	+0	open	—	02-14 07:19
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	2	$108	54	54	+0	open	—	03-12 03:43
will denny mccarthy win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$106	53	53	+0	open	—	03-30 07:48
Will Valencia win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$106	53	53	+0	open	—	02-12 19:20
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	04-19 03:32
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$96	48	48	+0	open	—	04-04 07:43
will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	2	$94	47	47	+0	open	—	03-29 19:06
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$94	47	47	+0	open	—	04-07 05:29
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	2	$94	47	47	+0	open	—	04-14 23:08
Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?	2	$92	46	46	+0	open	—	04-12 22:54
will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	2	$90	45	45	+0	open	—	03-16 06:02
Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$90	45	45	+0	open	—	03-03 02:15
will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	2	$88	44	44	+0	open	—	03-28 08:06
Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$88	44	44	+0	No	$-0	04-03 12:37
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	2	$86	43	43	+0	open	—	03-28 03:05
Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$86	43	43	+0	open	—	02-25 08:04
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$84	42	42	+0	open	—	03-14 01:17
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?	2	$82	41	41	+0	open	—	05-10 10:16
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 560 579	2	$80	40	40	+0	open	—	03-01 21:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 10:16:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0xe078c8…
05-10 04:31:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0xd6ffad…
04-20 21:09:02	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x8527da…
04-20 16:59:00	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x5a5ff5…
04-19 03:32:00	Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x1b62d4…
04-18 18:31:12	Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x35f585…
04-18 14:22:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0xc36093…
04-18 07:04:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0xf23af9…
04-17 17:02:18	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0xaf6528…
04-17 13:33:22	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xc9323c…
04-17 12:13:34	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x62f920…
04-17 06:47:38	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x5d908a…
04-15 22:25:40	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0x118462…
04-15 18:34:18	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0xeeac8c…
04-14 23:08:46	Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0x6e6522…
04-14 18:14:58	Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0xdb6057…
04-12 22:54:13	Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	46	99¢	$46	0xac1827…
04-12 16:24:03	Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0xb88d9a…
04-12 14:34:51	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0x47e0f8…
04-12 11:50:37	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xabd5a8…
04-07 05:29:19	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0x17ab8e…
04-07 02:03:13	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0xa53542…
04-06 21:23:25	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0x5527af…
04-06 19:33:05	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x3957ae…
04-04 07:43:57	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0x1ced5a…
04-04 05:59:15	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x09777a…
04-03 12:37:25	Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0xef7088…
04-03 08:17:19	Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x4db610…
04-02 09:01:17	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0xfa12c4…
04-02 06:18:51	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0xee8cca…
04-01 19:36:05	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0xd93c4c…
04-01 15:22:25	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x38ce8a…
03-31 11:23:27	will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xe4fcbf…
03-31 07:05:23	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0x778ade…
03-31 03:05:07	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x8aa7bd…
03-30 07:48:34	will denny mccarthy win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0x8d2d59…
03-30 03:33:50	will denny mccarthy win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x78adc8…
03-29 19:06:38	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	No	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0xdc9327…
03-29 14:49:52	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x80a741…
03-29 01:17:10	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0xf35092…
03-28 21:02:18	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xbe7ea5…
03-28 08:06:59	will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	No	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x9a97fe…
03-28 03:05:21	will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0xc8998e…
03-28 03:05:03	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	43	99¢	$43	0x5c89b8…
03-27 20:18:59	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0xe92ff5…
03-27 16:40:57	will ethereum reach 3200 in march 2026	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x15f4e9…
03-27 10:00:51	will ethereum reach 3200 in march 2026	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xacfe36…
03-26 00:29:45	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0xeba7a4…
03-25 17:40:23	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x75e61b…
03-25 10:58:43	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0x6592a5…
03-25 04:20:59	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x332e3e…
03-23 18:40:03	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x296c93…
03-23 11:59:33	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x7e28e8…
03-23 05:22:19	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x748dc4…
03-22 22:40:07	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x26b065…
03-22 15:58:15	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x597c7b…
03-22 09:19:15	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xd55f59…
03-21 00:23:49	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0xbc24ab…
03-20 17:30:49	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x203706…
03-19 07:45:57	will baidu have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 986	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x78414b…
03-19 01:07:37	will baidu have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 986	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xd63dda…
03-19 01:07:19	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x1e7dd6…
03-18 18:20:25	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x561cb1…
03-17 22:02:25	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x0c9abe…
03-17 15:16:57	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x31de66…
03-16 06:02:29	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x86cdcc…
03-15 23:21:37	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x725331…
03-15 16:41:33	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0x00397b…
03-15 10:05:31	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x60582a…
03-14 14:16:27	Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x99a77e…
03-14 07:48:25	Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x3a2171…
03-14 01:17:35	Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x277141…
03-13 18:48:27	Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x50fa65…
03-13 00:51:27	nba chi lal 2026 03 12	Bulls	BUY	36	18¢	$6	0x01a53a…
03-13 00:50:57	nba bos okc 2026 03 12	Celtics	BUY	51	26¢	$13	0x1c2ecd…
03-12 03:43:13	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	No	SELL	54	100¢	$54	0x17fd3b…
03-11 22:00:17	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0xd5d113…
03-11 15:23:03	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0xf181c9…
03-11 08:41:27	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0x5f2ca5…
03-10 20:50:25	nba was mia 2026 03 10	Wizards	BUY	49	10¢	$5	0xc00b93…
03-10 20:49:55	nba phx mil 2026 03 10	Suns	BUY	55	53¢	$29	0xfd5385…
03-07 11:44:11	will xrp dip to 0pt7 march 2 8	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc235c8…
03-05 13:00:59	Paradex FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x4988c4…
03-04 20:43:57	nba por mem 2026 03 04	Trail Blazers	BUY	54	80¢	$43	0x45d85f…
03-04 13:56:29	Will Osasuna win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x3942ad…
03-04 05:52:25	Will Osasuna win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x7c9b4a…
03-03 19:58:03	nba sas phi 2026 03 03	76ers	BUY	49	27¢	$13	0x0f807d…
03-03 10:34:17	nba bkn mia 2026 03 03	Nets	BUY	37	15¢	$5	0x63a62a…
03-03 10:33:55	will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	No	SELL	54	100¢	$54	0x33d2f4…
03-03 02:16:01	will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0xf2471f…
03-03 02:15:43	Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x35a7ab…
03-02 19:25:47	Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x7a6656…
03-01 21:17:43	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 560 579	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x4d0111…
03-01 14:13:23	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 560 579	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xef064f…
02-27 12:07:19	Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0x9cb029…
02-27 03:56:20	Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x5eaca5…
02-27 03:56:00	Will Brentford win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0xacd8aa…
02-26 12:26:32	Will Brentford win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x296e26…
02-26 10:41:06	nba por chi 2026 02 26	Trail Blazers	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x713d9c…
02-26 10:40:40	nba nop uta 2026 02 26	Jazz	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x944cc8…