Neat-Bias — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$175

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 05-08 10:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

42% 50% $-4

Other

42% 100% +$1

Politics

17% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 April 27-May 3?	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	04-29 17:50
Katana FDV above $800M one day after launch?	1	$20	21	0	+21	No	+$1	02-28 10:23
us iran nuclear deal by march 31	2	$15	8	8	+0	open	—	03-30 07:02
will hotschedules be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 31	1	$12	12	0	+12	open	—	03-30 20:22
Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?	1	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	05-08 10:04
cs2 ice bmb 2026 03 30	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	03-30 20:18
Will the US strike Iran next?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	02-28 10:24
Francavilla: Gustavo Heide vs Martin Krumich	1	$9	10	0	+10	Gustavo Heide	+$1	05-08 10:05
will coldplay have the greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month 671	1	$9	9	0	+9	open	—	02-28 10:23
highest temperature in beijing on march 30 2026 23corhigher	1	$8	8,000	0	+8,000	open	—	03-30 07:04
will clavicular get frame mogged by gorlock the destroyer on stream during mog world order	1	$8	9	0	+9	open	—	03-30 20:22
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	1	$8	9	0	+9	open	—	01-20 11:33
val srg sad 2026 03 30	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	03-30 20:19
Will XRP reach $1.50 May 4-10?	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	$-5	05-08 10:04
will israel strike gaza on february 25 2026	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	02-28 10:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 10:05:14	Francavilla: Gustavo Heide vs Martin Krumich	Gustavo Heide	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x73d63c…
05-08 10:04:35	Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x8003b8…
05-08 10:04:25	Will XRP reach $1.50 May 4-10?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2f5624…
04-29 17:50:14	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x802bee…
03-30 20:22:29	will clavicular get frame mogged by gorlock the destroyer on stream during mog world order	No	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0xabcf0a…
03-30 20:22:07	will hotschedules be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 31	No	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x1a585b…
03-30 20:19:25	val srg sad 2026 03 30	SaD Esports	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x8d2882…
03-30 20:18:41	cs2 ice bmb 2026 03 30	Inner Circle Esports	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xd2d244…
03-30 07:04:36	highest temperature in beijing on march 30 2026 23corhigher	Yes	BUY	8,000	0¢	$8	0x487ded…
03-30 07:02:40	us iran nuclear deal by march 31	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xf0fcf6…
02-28 10:25:15	will israel strike gaza on february 25 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x56334b…
02-28 10:24:31	us iran nuclear deal by march 31	No	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x68d168…
02-28 10:24:25	Will the US strike Iran next?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x162ff1…
02-28 10:23:49	Katana FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xaef3e6…
02-28 10:23:13	will coldplay have the greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month 671	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x44e4e6…
01-20 11:33:08	First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	Gold	BUY	9	87¢	$8	0xe00825…