Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

26.1%

Resolved

Trades

846

lifetime

Volume

$17.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 04-11 18:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

64% — —

Other

35% 50% $-5

Sports

1% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	26	$1.1K	3,128	3,127	+1	open	—	03-03 19:26
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	30	$803	1,504	1,504	+0	open	—	03-05 21:47
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	33	$780	1,025	991	+34	open	—	04-03 23:30
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 8 163	2	$756	583	583	+0	open	—	03-08 09:47
us strikes iraq by march 7	5	$706	777	777	+0	open	—	03-06 03:51
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	12	$581	1,194	1,194	+0	open	—	01-23 23:30
us strikes iraq by february 28	15	$565	1,403	1,380	+23	open	—	03-03 10:56
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	7	$416	316	316	+0	open	—	03-08 21:08
Iran leadership change by April 30?	22	$415	1,257	1,257	+0	open	—	04-06 01:04
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	14	$402	682	682	+0	open	—	01-31 19:42
will any eu country strike iran by march 31	5	$394	220	220	+0	open	—	03-15 06:34
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be less than 400m by january 31	12	$379	203	336	-132	open	—	01-15 20:32
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	18	$337	383	383	+0	open	—	01-06 11:15
will france strike iran by march 31	4	$321	194	194	+0	open	—	03-03 06:32
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	16	$313	967	469	+498	open	—	02-28 08:07
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	15	$301	211	211	+0	open	—	01-10 09:53
will scream 7 opening weekend box office be greater than 65m	5	$301	236	236	+0	open	—	03-01 22:01
will israel strike lebanon on march 4 2026	1	$300	311	0	+311	open	—	03-02 11:48
Will a new Cabinet of the Netherlands be sworn in by June 30, 2026?	2	$293	149	149	+0	open	—	02-16 17:14
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	6	$290	285	285	+0	open	—	03-24 14:33
maduro out by january 31 2026 318	3	$255	265	265	+0	open	—	01-03 08:03
will the next dutch government be vvd cda d66	4	$241	99	164	-64	open	—	01-20 12:37
israeli parliament dissolved by march 31 932	1	$240	252	0	+252	open	—	03-06 00:16
will avatar fire and ash 3rd weekend box office be less than 40m	6	$218	210	210	+0	open	—	01-03 14:00
hezbollah strike on israel by march 31 737 523	4	$207	339	30	+309	open	—	03-01 22:37
will iran strike cyprus in march	11	$202	323	323	+0	open	—	03-02 14:35
will scream 7 opening weekend box office be between 25m and 30m	3	$198	100	100	+0	open	—	02-28 01:49
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	8	$197	158	158	+0	Yes	$-8	04-07 18:51
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?	8	$191	90	106	-16	open	—	02-18 13:19
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	15	$183	339	339	+0	open	—	01-14 23:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-11 18:29:01	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	SELL	19	81¢	$15	0x8e32f7…
04-09 10:45:23	Will Michael have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	No	SELL	36	99¢	$36	0x13d19b…
04-07 21:50:53	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	Yes	SELL	22	72¢	$15	0x6dda63…
04-07 18:51:21	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	SELL	158	60¢	$95	0xb20174…
04-07 11:00:25	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	No	SELL	23	58¢	$13	0x46c08c…
04-07 10:45:07	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	No	BUY	23	62¢	$14	0xc75493…
04-06 18:39:29	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	22	66¢	$15	0x093119…
04-06 17:55:13	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x945074…
04-06 17:54:39	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xff6327…
04-06 17:46:15	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	23	64¢	$15	0xcb0130…
04-06 17:46:13	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	23	64¢	$15	0xe9a4bb…
04-06 17:46:11	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	23	64¢	$15	0x9daff0…
04-06 17:46:03	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	28	52¢	$14	0x9bd3e6…
04-06 08:41:59	Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xccf907…
04-06 08:40:33	Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x115f56…
04-06 01:15:53	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	19	78¢	$15	0x24e1ef…
04-06 01:04:45	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	SELL	158	14¢	$22	0x9b6973…
04-06 01:04:43	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	SELL	66	14¢	$9	0x58339b…
04-06 01:04:23	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0x49c5f0…
04-06 01:04:19	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x729606…
04-06 01:04:17	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1,022	14¢	$141	0x522053…
04-06 00:59:05	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	74	19¢	$14	0x32b38d…
04-06 00:59:03	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	74	19¢	$14	0xdfb0b7…
04-06 00:59:03	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	74	19¢	$14	0x5f73f4…
04-06 00:59:01	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	74	19¢	$14	0x739316…
04-06 00:58:59	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	74	19¢	$14	0xddbff7…
04-06 00:58:57	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	74	19¢	$14	0xc5d045…
04-06 00:58:55	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	71	20¢	$14	0xa52870…
04-06 00:58:53	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	72	20¢	$14	0x0e9bb0…
04-06 00:58:51	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	71	20¢	$14	0xc2ab69…
04-06 00:58:51	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	72	20¢	$14	0xa4b25c…
04-06 00:58:47	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	69	21¢	$14	0x55d545…
04-06 00:58:47	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	64	22¢	$14	0x23da64…
04-06 00:58:45	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	71	20¢	$14	0x958085…
04-06 00:58:43	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	71	20¢	$14	0xf230e3…
04-06 00:58:41	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	83	17¢	$14	0x7a6f00…
04-06 00:58:39	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	83	17¢	$14	0x9da00a…
04-06 00:58:37	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	83	17¢	$14	0xd390fc…
04-05 18:43:21	Will Iran successfully target shipping on April 5, 2026?	No	BUY	19	74¢	$14	0xd0110c…
04-05 18:39:19	Will Iran successfully target shipping on April 5, 2026?	No	BUY	20	72¢	$15	0xde5e82…
04-05 16:34:45	Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xa2724f…
04-05 16:25:19	Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xd07e39…
04-05 14:07:15	Will Iran successfully target shipping on April 5, 2026?	No	BUY	18	84¢	$15	0x556ec4…
04-05 12:37:03	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	74	32¢	$24	0xaaf6f4…
04-05 09:17:47	Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xbb4132…
04-04 17:43:53	houthi military action against israel by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	18	81¢	$15	0x74cc5e…
04-04 17:42:05	houthi strike on israel by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x84e8a4…
04-04 17:42:01	houthi strike on israel by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	19	77¢	$15	0x3bed51…
04-04 17:41:55	houthi strike on israel by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	23	64¢	$15	0xabc7e6…
04-04 17:41:49	Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0x5ba956…
04-04 17:41:43	Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0xfa25c8…
04-04 17:41:33	houthi strike on israel by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	26	55¢	$15	0x332393…
04-04 17:41:29	Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0x526691…
04-04 17:41:25	Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0x46a3cf…
04-04 17:41:23	houthi military action against israel by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	19	77¢	$15	0xc7406f…
04-04 17:39:59	houthi military action against israel by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	25	58¢	$15	0x57e0b0…
04-04 17:39:55	Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	56¢	$15	0x3457ac…
04-04 16:03:33	Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x49dcab…
04-04 09:17:21	will iran strike oman again in march	Yes	BUY	54	27¢	$14	0x3de9d9…
04-04 00:28:37	Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x410e32…
04-03 23:30:21	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	633	12¢	$76	0x95b8e3…
04-03 22:39:47	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0x7808ff…
04-03 22:27:39	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	108	13¢	$14	0x41f389…
04-03 22:27:33	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	108	13¢	$14	0x6db84d…
04-03 22:27:31	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	108	13¢	$14	0xc2dae5…
04-03 22:27:19	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	108	13¢	$14	0x057880…
04-03 22:27:17	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	108	13¢	$14	0xf2b4ec…
04-03 22:27:15	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	108	13¢	$14	0x2aeca6…
04-03 16:22:09	Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xa4b210…
04-03 16:06:15	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	102	88¢	$90	0x7bf011…
04-03 15:58:43	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0x276751…
04-03 15:58:35	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0x9e5333…
04-03 15:56:43	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0x571711…
04-03 15:56:41	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0xf42f0b…
04-03 15:56:39	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0x121cae…
04-03 15:56:37	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0xb17c36…
04-03 15:26:09	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	233	85¢	$198	0xc7e499…
04-03 15:24:13	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0x8fbe9f…
04-03 15:22:23	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	18	84¢	$15	0x868c61…
04-03 15:22:21	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	18	84¢	$15	0xf9ccea…
04-03 15:22:19	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	18	84¢	$15	0xdfac83…
04-03 15:22:17	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	18	84¢	$15	0xcd6ed1…
04-03 15:22:13	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0xe3ba23…
04-03 15:21:47	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0x28a1f9…
04-03 15:21:45	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0x20bad9…
04-03 15:21:43	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0x62dad2…
04-03 15:21:41	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0x2b6aa9…
04-03 15:21:33	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	18	81¢	$15	0x62f211…
04-03 15:21:29	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	18	80¢	$15	0xd86de6…
04-03 15:21:17	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	18	80¢	$15	0x8775cf…
04-03 13:18:15	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	19	80¢	$15	0x37b0ac…
04-03 12:42:33	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	74	19¢	$14	0xa561b5…
04-03 12:39:29	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	19	77¢	$15	0x0cb73a…
04-03 01:59:21	Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 1, 2026?	No	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0x49266c…
04-01 15:35:57	Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xbc5901…
04-01 15:23:53	Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x0c93f5…
04-01 15:23:51	Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb89b22…
03-31 20:37:35	will israel take military action in gaza on march 28 2026	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x7b6f69…
03-31 11:20:59	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	4	63¢	$2	0x8a7614…
03-30 17:29:15	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	4	69¢	$2	0x1fbb68…