Long-Tale — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$55

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.7%

Resolved

Trades

40,864

lifetime

Volume

$329.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-13

last 06-04 14:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

85% 78% $-55

Other

13% — —

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 2828 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cs2 m80 aur1 2026 03 31	344	$2.6K	4,749	260	+4,489	open	—	03-31 21:15
cs2 all fnc 2026 03 31	251	$2.6K	4,314	937	+3,377	open	—	03-31 21:27
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	19	$2.5K	3,308	0	+3,308	open	—	04-26 13:44
btc updown 5m 1773441900	2	$2.4K	1,240	1,240	+0	open	—	03-13 22:50
atp bellucc bennani 2026 03 30	103	$2.3K	5,046	930	+4,116	open	—	03-31 13:40
btc updown 5m 1773455700	6	$2.3K	1,613	1,603	+10	open	—	03-14 02:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	18	$2.3K	4,807	0	+4,807	open	—	04-26 13:39
lol gal sly 2026 03 31	375	$2.1K	5,758	0	+5,758	open	—	03-31 18:02
eth updown 5m 1777055100	9	$2.1K	2,431	0	+2,431	open	—	04-24 18:29
cs2 mnte pssnua 2026 03 31	270	$1.8K	3,362	547	+2,815	open	—	03-31 20:52
nba phx orl 2026 03 31	166	$1.6K	2,892	0	+2,892	open	—	04-01 01:02
nba phx orl 2026 03 31 total 224pt5	244	$1.5K	2,909	0	+2,909	open	—	04-01 01:26
cs2 bst 3dmax 2026 03 31	208	$1.5K	2,990	0	+2,990	open	—	03-31 15:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	8	$1.4K	1,473	0	+1,473	open	—	04-26 01:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	10	$1.4K	1,464	0	+1,464	open	—	04-26 00:54
lol t1 kt 2026 04 01	252	$1.3K	2,281	291	+1,991	open	—	04-01 11:54
cs2 o49 boss 2026 03 31	272	$1.3K	2,399	0	+2,399	open	—	04-01 05:06
btc updown 5m 1773455100	5	$1.3K	1,998	1,982	+16	open	—	03-14 02:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	8	$1.3K	1,713	0	+1,713	open	—	04-26 13:05
btc updown 5m 1773456000	2	$1.2K	1,619	1,554	+64	open	—	03-14 02:44
btc updown 5m 1776965100	4	$1.2K	1,432	0	+1,432	open	—	04-23 17:29
cs2 ww ill 2026 04 01	362	$1.2K	2,288	44	+2,244	open	—	04-01 10:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	15	$1.2K	1,321	0	+1,321	open	—	04-25 02:49
lol g2nord big1 2026 03 31	140	$1.1K	1,897	99	+1,798	open	—	03-31 19:01
cs2 tyloo sfe 2026 04 01	225	$1.1K	2,090	0	+2,090	open	—	04-01 08:27
eth updown 5m 1774155300	5	$1.0K	1,019	1,003	+15	open	—	03-22 04:57
btc updown 5m 1776972000	5	$1.0K	1,183	0	+1,183	open	—	04-23 19:24
nba gsw den 2026 03 29	183	$1.0K	1,974	30	+1,944	open	—	03-30 04:24
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	6	$1.0K	1,053	0	+1,053	open	—	04-25 19:45
eth updown 5m 1774185900	39	$976	838	817	+21	open	—	03-22 13:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 14:23:39	btc updown 5m 1780582800	Down	BUY	30	76¢	$23	0x934625…
06-04 14:04:24	btc updown 5m 1780581600	Down	BUY	30	87¢	$26	0x44c3ff…
06-04 12:03:37	btc updown 5m 1780574400	Up	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0xff44dc…
06-04 12:03:37	btc updown 5m 1780574400	Up	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xcd4cdb…
06-04 11:28:49	btc updown 5m 1780572300	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$5	0xa0667e…
06-04 11:28:49	btc updown 5m 1780572300	Up	BUY	25	87¢	$21	0x3295e7…
06-04 10:53:51	btc updown 5m 1780570200	Up	BUY	30	74¢	$22	0x1db6af…
06-04 06:43:34	btc updown 5m 1780555200	Down	BUY	30	86¢	$26	0x216ede…
06-04 06:23:33	btc updown 5m 1780554000	Down	BUY	30	87¢	$26	0xaedac6…
06-04 04:53:37	btc updown 5m 1780548600	Up	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x3fd921…
06-04 03:49:10	btc updown 5m 1780544700	Down	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x88745c…
06-04 03:49:10	btc updown 5m 1780544700	Down	BUY	8	83¢	$6	0x65c74e…
06-04 03:49:10	btc updown 5m 1780544700	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x1e83b1…
06-04 02:59:01	btc updown 5m 1780541700	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xf19e2d…
06-04 02:59:01	btc updown 5m 1780541700	Down	BUY	19	82¢	$16	0x767a21…
06-04 02:58:33	btc updown 5m 1780541700	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xa962f7…
06-04 02:48:36	btc updown 5m 1780541100	Up	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x9fb2d2…
06-04 01:59:07	btc updown 5m 1780538100	Down	BUY	30	73¢	$22	0x8a5213…
06-03 23:44:42	btc updown 5m 1780530000	Down	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x4d44bd…
06-03 23:23:45	btc updown 5m 1780528800	Down	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0xf29fb8…
06-03 19:43:36	btc updown 5m 1780515600	Up	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x044e97…
06-03 19:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	87¢	$26	0x08cd46…
06-03 18:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x6a1548…
06-03 16:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0xd015dc…
06-03 16:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x2b0938…
06-03 14:23:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	30	81¢	$24	0xe57d6d…
06-03 14:08:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x9be530…
06-03 10:49:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	18	91¢	$16	0xa31faf…
06-03 10:49:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x052f27…
06-03 08:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x7e80fb…
06-03 08:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	30	86¢	$26	0xcddbd1…
06-03 06:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	30	87¢	$26	0x9e281e…
06-03 05:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0x3af53a…
06-03 02:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x8c4875…
06-03 01:48:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xa9b13b…
06-03 01:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0xbc0d2e…
06-03 01:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x7b7558…
06-03 01:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x5d7445…
06-03 01:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x0d484e…
06-03 00:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x90e9f0…
06-02 23:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	30	86¢	$26	0x63f526…
06-02 22:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0xfab7bc…
06-02 22:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x6fa7ee…
06-02 18:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x51785e…
06-02 18:28:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0xbcb04a…
06-02 17:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x4d9eaf…
06-02 16:33:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	25	87¢	$22	0x9da6ee…
06-02 15:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	25	82¢	$20	0x0b4d36…
06-02 14:53:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xbf1f0e…
06-02 14:53:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	19	87¢	$17	0x57ecec…
06-02 13:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	25	74¢	$18	0xe26381…
06-02 10:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	88¢	$22	0x051164…
06-02 10:09:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$9	0x988a5e…
06-02 10:09:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$6	0x75a1fe…
06-02 10:09:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x72602a…
06-02 08:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0xfd6086…
06-02 08:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	93¢	$23	0xb062c8…
06-02 06:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	90¢	$22	0x360c2e…
06-02 03:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x5878b8…
06-02 03:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	15	79¢	$12	0xbe8014…
06-02 03:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	92¢	$7	0xdcc53e…
06-02 03:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	18	92¢	$16	0x719a81…
06-02 03:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xe60595…
06-02 03:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	13	85¢	$11	0x0571ac…
06-02 01:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	25	93¢	$23	0x610a7c…
06-02 01:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	86¢	$22	0x5551b4…
06-02 00:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0xc539e4…
06-02 00:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0x98602c…
06-01 22:43:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x350ecd…
06-01 20:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0xe06f0d…
06-01 19:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	86¢	$22	0x57abbf…
06-01 19:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	25	82¢	$20	0x80b09e…
06-01 18:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	25	78¢	$20	0xd904eb…
06-01 17:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	86¢	$22	0x68b5f4…
06-01 17:53:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	25	77¢	$19	0x67255f…
06-01 17:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	25	82¢	$20	0xb79ad3…
06-01 16:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xf196f1…
06-01 16:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x64a5d5…
06-01 16:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x7a516c…
06-01 16:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	84¢	$11	0x2547f2…
06-01 16:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xe5c66f…
06-01 16:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	0	84¢	$0	0xcd6d10…
06-01 16:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	0	84¢	$0	0x3e943d…
06-01 15:54:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0x3e4b51…
06-01 15:44:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	88¢	$22	0x3108cb…
06-01 14:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x9b1176…
06-01 14:24:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x7da094…
06-01 13:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x79af0b…
06-01 13:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x5acb77…
06-01 12:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x59f77f…
06-01 12:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x08068e…
06-01 09:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xc132bc…
06-01 08:08:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x58be66…
06-01 08:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xf2c6ff…
06-01 07:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x165e74…
06-01 06:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x49a606…
06-01 06:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x17d087…
06-01 05:54:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x3cf4cc…
06-01 03:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x63b3c4…
06-01 00:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xbc27e1…