Educated-Thickness — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$27

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.3%

Resolved

Trades

114

lifetime

Volume

$440

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-28

last 05-11 09:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

75% 14% $-26

Politics

14% — —

Other

11% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	4	$30	26	26	+0	Up	+$22	05-11 00:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	3	$25	70	20	+50	open	—	05-03 01:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	2	$24	33	33	+0	open	—	05-04 11:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	8	$22	117	0	+117	open	—	05-04 05:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	3	$18	18	18	+0	open	—	05-03 01:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	5	$17	312	0	+312	open	—	05-04 12:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	6	$17	76	0	+76	open	—	05-04 05:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	4	$16	299	0	+299	open	—	05-04 05:09
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	4	$15	421	421	+0	open	—	05-04 12:08
Will Trump say "Windsor" during King Charles visit?	2	$15	895	0	+895	open	—	04-28 16:23
Will Trump say "Free World" during King Charles visit?	2	$15	267	0	+267	open	—	04-28 16:46
Will Trump say "Queen" during King Charles visit?	3	$15	269	0	+269	open	—	04-28 16:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	2	$14	67	10	+57	open	—	05-03 01:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	4	$13	539	0	+539	open	—	04-28 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	5	$12	220	11	+210	Down	+$0	05-11 00:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	3	$11	48	0	+48	open	—	05-04 12:17
Jiujiang: Cody Wong vs Xinxin Yao	3	$11	152	68	+85	open	—	05-04 05:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	2	$10	750	0	+750	open	—	05-04 10:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	1	$10	24	0	+24	open	—	05-03 01:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	2	$10	255	0	+255	Down	$-10	05-11 00:29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	4	$10	662	662	+0	open	—	05-04 12:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	3	$8	1,877	0	+1,877	open	—	05-04 10:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	3	$7	400	400	+0	open	—	05-10 23:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	3	$7	103	0	+103	Down	$-7	05-11 00:18
Will Trump say "Elizabeth" during King Charles visit?	3	$6	133	133	+0	open	—	04-28 16:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	3	$6	36	36	+0	open	—	04-28 22:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	1	$6	19	0	+19	open	—	05-04 10:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	1	$5	15	0	+15	open	—	05-04 04:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	1	$5	42	0	+42	open	—	05-04 10:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	2	$5	511	0	+511	open	—	05-04 10:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 09:52:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x09d3c1…
05-11 00:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	229	2¢	$5	0xecb186…
05-11 00:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x71a3fb…
05-11 00:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xc02335…
05-11 00:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x783352…
05-11 00:17:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x7c8ae1…
05-11 00:15:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x28f19c…
05-11 00:09:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4b8c54…
05-11 00:07:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xa9a128…
05-11 00:04:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1e8797…
05-11 00:04:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf72dc5…
05-11 00:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xd58a34…
05-11 00:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	11	60¢	$6	0xad7b78…
05-11 00:01:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	20¢	$2	0x93b937…
05-11 00:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0xfc5fde…
05-10 23:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xe1f5ac…
05-10 23:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x2b4e34…
05-10 23:56:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x0bee35…
05-10 23:54:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0603b7…
05-10 23:51:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x1f0336…
05-10 23:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x10f243…
05-10 23:49:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	400	1¢	$3	0xe13674…
05-10 22:06:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x20cfef…
05-10 22:05:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x9f8f1d…
05-10 22:04:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xbe556d…
05-10 22:02:19	Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Isurus (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Playoffs	Isurus	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x505326…
05-10 21:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x8d5a28…
05-10 21:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x78ff23…
05-10 21:20:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xe6002a…
05-10 21:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x156e89…
05-10 21:11:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xbdd9a4…
05-10 21:07:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x989bc4…
05-10 20:51:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x85cbd9…
05-04 12:17:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0xbea350…
05-04 12:17:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	37	23¢	$9	0xbdbb1f…
05-04 12:17:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x4531f6…
05-04 12:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	33	4¢	$1	0x28491a…
05-04 12:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x4ea11e…
05-04 12:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x380201…
05-04 12:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x4a2067…
05-04 12:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x0ac30d…
05-04 12:09:02	Istanbul: Cagla Buyukakcay vs Polina Kudermetova	Cagla Buyukakcay	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xb4fca7…
05-04 12:08:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	Yes	SELL	562	1¢	$3	0xf53ee6…
05-04 12:08:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	Yes	SELL	263	2¢	$5	0x57e6df…
05-04 11:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	SELL	33	56¢	$19	0x482ea7…
05-04 11:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x12bf15…
05-04 10:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	42	13¢	$5	0x8e0698…
05-04 10:58:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	Yes	BUY	263	2¢	$5	0x92f899…
05-04 10:58:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	Yes	BUY	562	1¢	$5	0x78307c…
05-04 10:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	19	29¢	$6	0xd189ee…
05-04 10:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	3¢	$0	0xded9eb…
05-04 10:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xfd5dac…
05-04 10:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x53d3b7…
05-04 10:07:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xda32e8…
05-04 10:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x0d76e0…
05-04 10:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	287	1¢	$2	0x93f1e2…
05-04 10:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	590	1¢	$5	0x7eac6c…
05-04 05:49:42	Jiujiang: Cody Wong vs Xinxin Yao	Cody Wong	BUY	77	5¢	$4	0x5dffd5…
05-04 05:48:08	Jiujiang: Cody Wong vs Xinxin Yao	Cody Wong	SELL	68	6¢	$4	0x1518bb…
05-04 05:46:32	Jiujiang: Cody Wong vs Xinxin Yao	Cody Wong	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0x3f717b…
05-04 05:44:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	Yes	SELL	158	2¢	$3	0xd5a518…
05-04 05:25:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	Yes	BUY	158	2¢	$3	0xb66eab…
05-04 05:19:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	44	11¢	$5	0x5b5c2c…
05-04 05:18:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x7bfc07…
05-04 05:16:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xc64d4d…
05-04 05:16:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x777bfb…
05-04 05:16:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x482223…
05-04 05:16:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x0a1a1b…
05-04 05:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0xc02ce8…
05-04 05:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	28	10¢	$3	0xa293de…
05-04 05:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0x9acac8…
05-04 05:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x198374…
05-04 05:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x270033…
05-04 05:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	27	34¢	$9	0x2634a4…
05-04 05:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0xca2620…
05-04 05:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x4dca46…
05-04 05:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x64c364…
05-04 05:08:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x3240fe…
05-04 05:08:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x3a06a0…
05-04 05:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x059858…
05-04 04:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	36¢	$5	0x2c8984…
05-03 01:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x2291d6…
05-03 01:32:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0xef1adf…
05-03 01:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x778dab…
05-03 01:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xa53fcd…
05-03 01:28:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x4e75b0…
05-03 01:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x0683f9…
05-03 01:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x064c1a…
05-03 01:22:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	16	66¢	$10	0x0678fb…
05-03 01:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xe9d9ab…
05-03 01:17:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x860d60…
05-03 01:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xbd6ac0…
05-03 00:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x07caef…
05-03 00:50:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x198fbf…
05-03 00:14:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x555b20…
04-28 22:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	36	2¢	$1	0xcad6fd…
04-28 22:19:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	13	3¢	$0	0x7a75e5…
04-28 22:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x35658c…
04-28 22:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xb6c6bd…
04-28 22:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x75a3bf…