Menacing-Armament — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

37.2%

Resolved

689

Trades

1,009

lifetime

Volume

$1.81K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 05-21 07:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 23% $-16

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 279 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	10	$27	341	0	+341	Down	$-27	05-10 18:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	7	$23	108	0	+108	Down	$-23	05-10 18:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	3	$18	53	53	+0	Up	+$14	05-09 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	3	$17	13	8	+5	Down	+$2	05-09 17:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	3	$15	15	15	+0	Down	+$9	05-10 12:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	6	$14	198	0	+198	Down	$-14	05-10 18:08
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	2	$14	38	38	+0	Down	+$8	05-10 10:33
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	3	$13	43	35	+7	Up	+$15	05-10 13:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	3	$13	27	24	+4	Up	+$11	05-10 13:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	3	$13	33	33	+0	Up	+$7	05-10 11:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	3	$12	25	21	+4	Down	+$6	05-10 14:11
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	3	$12	25	21	+4	Up	+$10	05-10 14:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	4	$12	12	12	+0	Up	$-0	05-09 18:02
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	2	$12	41	38	+3	Down	+$6	05-10 10:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	3	$11	50	41	+9	Up	+$5	05-10 13:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	3	$10	30	25	+5	Down	+$4	05-10 14:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	3	$10	25	25	+0	Down	+$4	05-10 11:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	3	$10	57	39	+18	Down	+$4	05-10 14:18
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	3	$10	25	22	+3	Down	+$4	05-10 12:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	3	$9	19	19	+0	Up	+$3	05-10 11:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	3	$9	12	11	+1	Down	+$5	05-10 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	2	$9	30	30	+0	Up	+$3	05-10 09:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	2	$9	38	33	+5	Down	+$3	05-10 10:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	3	$9	16	14	+2	Down	+$3	05-10 14:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	5	$9	167	67	+100	Up	+$1	05-08 11:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	2	$9	21	10	+12	Up	+$3	05-10 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	2	$8	24	24	+0	Down	+$4	05-12 11:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	2	$8	20	20	+0	Up	+$2	05-10 09:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	5	$8	14	14	+0	Up	+$2	05-08 12:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	3	$7	15	15	+0	Down	$-5	05-09 15:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 07:53:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x7f84e8…
05-20 08:19:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x1e17f9…
05-18 08:09:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x976a77…
05-18 08:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x401ea2…
05-18 07:56:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xb24cf0…
05-18 07:51:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	50¢	$6	0x2b2ebc…
05-16 20:23:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x036bad…
05-16 20:13:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x4e0889…
05-16 20:04:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xfc926c…
05-16 20:00:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x955b0c…
05-16 19:53:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x35a063…
05-16 19:51:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x651d5f…
05-16 19:43:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xb6054d…
05-16 19:43:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xff8aee…
05-16 19:40:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x2d6ff0…
05-16 19:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xb1b728…
05-16 19:32:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x55904c…
05-16 19:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x434441…
05-16 19:21:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x05be26…
05-16 19:11:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x2acc41…
05-16 19:09:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x0b8360…
05-16 19:02:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x13b6d0…
05-16 18:58:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xa32a76…
05-16 18:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x3ca7b4…
05-16 18:37:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xbbe48c…
05-16 18:28:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x7607a1…
05-16 18:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xf8b9ae…
05-16 18:07:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x93fa7d…
05-16 17:52:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x9a2e95…
05-16 17:51:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x3d42bd…
05-16 17:38:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x5052e0…
05-16 17:33:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x275b27…
05-16 17:27:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x34d1e5…
05-16 17:04:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xd5b0bb…
05-16 17:03:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x0bfc23…
05-16 16:59:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xafa624…
05-16 16:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x13fcd1…
05-16 16:54:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x9cc9fa…
05-16 16:48:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xd28d99…
05-16 16:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x9b5226…
05-16 16:39:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xa80ace…
05-16 16:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xdc85ac…
05-16 16:27:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x9edbc5…
05-16 16:25:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x784147…
05-16 16:22:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x74b05a…
05-16 16:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xbfabc7…
05-16 16:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xa6354f…
05-16 16:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x1f9bc8…
05-16 15:58:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x073d87…
05-16 15:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x33bc71…
05-16 15:42:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xf55e6d…
05-16 15:32:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x559baf…
05-16 15:14:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0xf7e593…
05-16 15:13:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xed5ab8…
05-16 15:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x3805b4…
05-16 14:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xe32e4d…
05-16 14:52:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xc5cf7f…
05-16 14:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x452b9f…
05-16 14:48:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xe2e943…
05-16 14:29:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x3e679e…
05-16 14:24:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x43d870…
05-16 14:23:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x01bc59…
05-16 14:18:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xd1449b…
05-16 14:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x168b10…
05-16 14:08:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x34bc4b…
05-16 14:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x49fe09…
05-16 13:59:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xa45547…
05-16 13:49:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xb76ec5…
05-16 13:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x828db5…
05-16 12:53:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x68c734…
05-16 12:39:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x537569…
05-16 12:37:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xa54a2b…
05-16 12:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x098328…
05-16 12:08:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x92714b…
05-16 12:02:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x193c8e…
05-16 11:44:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x635200…
05-16 09:14:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6c9bdb…
05-16 09:03:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xc1823c…
05-16 09:02:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xeb59d1…
05-16 09:02:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xc3eaf6…
05-16 08:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x45c5e5…
05-16 08:47:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x48591a…
05-16 08:47:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x7fb947…
05-16 08:18:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xb8f497…
05-15 21:07:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x03ab35…
05-15 20:57:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x97601a…
05-15 20:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x605634…
05-15 20:47:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xcbf32f…
05-15 20:42:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x3beb42…
05-15 20:32:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x82912f…
05-15 20:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xc253fa…
05-15 20:22:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xdcbfd5…
05-15 20:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x616841…
05-15 19:52:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x7451ed…
05-15 19:47:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x14ae74…
05-15 19:39:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x8941c9…
05-15 19:29:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x203079…
05-15 18:58:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xec4a59…
05-15 18:44:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xa2276b…
05-15 17:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x6cd397…