Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

432

lifetime

Volume

$47.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$109

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-11 05:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

46% 100% +$14

Other

41% — —

Crypto

10% — —

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	10	$4.9K	2,718	2,718	+0	open	—	03-12 06:09
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$2.6K	2,671	0	+2,671	open	—	04-03 02:58
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	4	$2.4K	3,231	0	+3,231	open	—	03-12 06:10
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	10	$1.8K	1,014	1,014	+0	open	—	01-27 02:42
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$1.1K	645	645	+0	open	—	04-21 17:59
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	6	$1.1K	600	600	+0	open	—	01-16 00:41
will russia announce a christmas truce	5	$1.1K	500	607	-107	open	—	01-06 15:51
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 4 844 575	6	$941	1,189	0	+1,189	open	—	03-04 05:57
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	20	$900	1,600	1,100	+500	open	—	03-08 09:08
will another country strike iran by march 7 528	15	$872	1,204	0	+1,204	open	—	03-05 18:56
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	15	$866	500	500	+0	open	—	02-14 03:33
israel strikes iran by january 16 2026 418	5	$778	670	200	+470	open	—	01-16 11:57
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	2	$775	400	400	+0	open	—	02-01 03:54
will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	4	$758	400	400	+0	open	—	03-03 03:57
will no government funding bill be passed by january 31 2026 823	5	$723	400	400	+0	open	—	01-31 09:47
will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	10	$719	400	400	+0	open	—	03-04 04:50
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 8 163	3	$673	878	0	+878	open	—	03-08 15:59
will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on january 31	20	$663	600	600	+0	open	—	01-31 15:37
bitcoin above 90k on january 27	5	$635	700	0	+700	open	—	01-27 07:07
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	3	$621	633	480	+153	open	—	03-10 06:50
will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by january 4	3	$603	320	320	+0	open	—	01-05 10:02
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	9	$598	400	400	+0	open	—	02-01 03:48
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	3	$569	696	696	+0	open	—	01-24 14:51
us forces enter iran by march 7	2	$566	600	0	+600	open	—	03-06 04:25
bitcoin above 86k on january 28	8	$566	300	300	+0	open	—	01-28 03:32
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$556	300	300	+0	open	—	02-14 04:00
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	2	$553	300	300	+0	open	—	03-04 05:51
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 2 645 466 285 492	4	$553	300	300	+0	open	—	03-03 03:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	3	$519	300	300	+0	open	—	04-23 13:29
gc hit 5500 high jan 2026	3	$517	500	500	+0	open	—	01-30 05:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 05:27:12	will xauusd reach 4500 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	95	73¢	$69	0xe6e507…
08-11 05:26:27	will xauusd reach 4500 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x38984b…
08-11 05:26:24	will xauusd reach 4500 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	104	73¢	$76	0xb5984c…
08-11 05:26:24	will xauusd reach 4500 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	78	73¢	$57	0x20f588…
08-07 15:50:18	will xauusd reach 4400 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	200	66¢	$132	0x6b2a02…
08-07 09:07:52	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	No	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0x807505…
06-14 04:20:42	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	275	19¢	$52	0x95d384…
06-14 04:14:37	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	200	19¢	$38	0x6366bf…
06-14 04:07:57	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	105	19¢	$20	0xc9c5b3…
06-14 04:06:40	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	158	19¢	$30	0x4535d0…
06-14 03:40:00	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0x6c2eb4…
06-14 03:07:25	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x28c0a5…
06-14 01:35:46	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1,247	19¢	$237	0xe14cdb…
06-12 10:49:13	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	193	33¢	$64	0x7e74f1…
06-12 10:47:31	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	33¢	$2	0x702e49…
06-03 20:14:33	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	400	86¢	$344	0x2decc2…
05-21 18:20:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	200	87¢	$174	0xfb1204…
05-15 06:31:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	354	80¢	$283	0x897353…
05-15 06:27:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x750391…
05-15 05:48:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	46	80¢	$37	0x6773da…
05-14 02:36:54	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	200	86¢	$172	0xb0cdb3…
05-09 11:32:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0x0cee0d…
05-06 05:31:46	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	400	88¢	$352	0x2207bf…
05-06 03:53:28	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	164	97¢	$159	0x432519…
05-06 03:38:40	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xdb592e…
05-06 03:37:06	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0xf3bdf6…
05-06 03:36:32	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0xee1b3d…
04-27 09:28:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	251	85¢	$213	0xe08ef5…
04-24 08:03:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	No	BUY	200	81¢	$162	0xa3aa6f…
04-24 03:41:30	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	154	89¢	$137	0x88b701…
04-24 03:30:34	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x8a71d8…
04-24 03:27:50	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	89¢	$36	0x7b9702…
04-23 13:29:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	260	97¢	$252	0xdb191f…
04-23 13:27:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	40	97¢	$39	0xccc4fb…
04-22 12:16:46	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	91	85¢	$77	0xab690a…
04-22 12:16:26	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	109	85¢	$93	0x358be6…
04-21 17:59:44	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	645	96¢	$616	0xd6fda2…
04-16 15:36:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	No	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0x5ef191…
04-16 15:27:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	300	76¢	$228	0x0b5586…
04-16 08:15:22	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	645	78¢	$503	0x081e06…
04-03 02:58:49	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	1,671	98¢	$1,644	0x543153…
04-01 12:25:37	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	No	BUY	500	90¢	$450	0x5f05e9…
04-01 11:49:33	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	No	BUY	400	90¢	$360	0x58ec3c…
04-01 10:57:37	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	1,000	93¢	$930	0x526ce3…
03-12 06:10:37	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	2,768	74¢	$2,048	0xfd8647…
03-12 06:09:59	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	1,067	95¢	$1,011	0xec3b8a…
03-12 06:09:57	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	1,067	95¢	$1,012	0x80e2f4…
03-12 03:18:07	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	324	73¢	$236	0xf42e3d…
03-12 03:14:21	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	118	73¢	$86	0xe6e756…
03-12 03:10:11	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	22	73¢	$16	0x52fbe9…
03-12 03:05:05	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	383	95¢	$363	0x199819…
03-10 06:50:01	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	BUY	153	76¢	$117	0x262ca5…
03-10 06:49:49	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	SELL	480	24¢	$115	0x778881…
03-09 02:44:31	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	BUY	480	81¢	$389	0x207e46…
03-08 17:20:11	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	369	71¢	$261	0xf984e0…
03-08 15:59:07	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 8 163	No	BUY	376	84¢	$316	0x1da5a9…
03-08 15:58:07	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 8 163	No	BUY	2	84¢	$1	0xdb1eb6…
03-08 15:54:05	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	780	90¢	$700	0x7a76c6…
03-08 09:08:01	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	24	34¢	$8	0x464749…
03-08 09:05:41	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	55	34¢	$19	0x98221b…
03-08 09:05:37	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0xa4e4b8…
03-08 09:05:19	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	413	34¢	$142	0xf6c908…
03-08 09:01:53	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 8 163	No	BUY	500	71¢	$355	0xd1f27c…
03-07 21:06:39	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	417	89¢	$370	0x8b4a53…
03-07 21:06:15	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	40	89¢	$36	0x407db0…
03-07 21:02:11	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	80	89¢	$71	0x93e971…
03-06 13:38:25	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	No	BUY	168	94¢	$158	0xe90600…
03-06 08:48:23	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	1,200	87¢	$1,043	0xf03d16…
03-06 07:57:45	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	No	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x348e52…
03-06 07:31:57	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	Yes	BUY	150	71¢	$107	0xf7da47…
03-06 07:31:51	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	Yes	BUY	17	71¢	$12	0x549b85…
03-06 07:25:33	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	Yes	BUY	15	71¢	$10	0x7d6dfb…
03-06 07:21:33	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	Yes	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x2bab8e…
03-06 07:19:15	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xdc1e3a…
03-06 07:18:37	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	Yes	BUY	17	71¢	$12	0x9ee409…
03-06 07:06:41	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	Yes	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0xabbcb0…
03-06 07:06:33	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	Yes	BUY	82	71¢	$58	0x64bdbe…
03-06 05:21:09	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	No	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0xc91fea…
03-06 04:25:15	us forces enter iran by march 7	No	BUY	300	97¢	$291	0xb83fd4…
03-05 18:56:57	will another country strike iran by march 7 528	No	BUY	491	72¢	$353	0xb07117…
03-05 18:36:27	us forces enter iran by march 7	No	BUY	300	92¢	$275	0x33abb1…
03-05 18:24:49	will another country strike iran by march 7 528	No	BUY	9	72¢	$7	0xdb28a6…
03-05 17:58:57	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	SELL	350	43¢	$150	0x097532…
03-05 15:46:41	will another country strike iran by march 7 528	No	BUY	221	73¢	$161	0x9d9d05…
03-05 15:32:01	will another country strike iran by march 7 528	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x491a62…
03-05 15:31:37	will another country strike iran by march 7 528	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xd352ba…
03-05 15:31:37	will another country strike iran by march 7 528	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xb1c898…
03-05 15:31:25	will another country strike iran by march 7 528	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xfabf51…
03-05 15:31:19	will another country strike iran by march 7 528	No	BUY	56	73¢	$41	0xe2ab4a…
03-05 15:31:19	will another country strike iran by march 7 528	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x360514…
03-05 09:49:27	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	SELL	1	34¢	$0	0xa9ccae…
03-05 09:49:23	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0x0b6c1b…
03-05 09:48:33	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0x6a6294…
03-05 09:48:23	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	SELL	195	34¢	$66	0x8215c0…
03-05 09:39:17	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	SELL	550	33¢	$184	0x8b7d63…
03-04 12:33:37	will another country strike iran by march 7 528	No	BUY	339	75¢	$254	0xa8877a…
03-04 10:45:31	will another country strike iran by march 7 528	No	BUY	17	62¢	$10	0xa3c37e…
03-04 10:22:59	will another country strike iran by march 7 528	No	BUY	14	62¢	$8	0x1c8fd8…
03-04 10:20:43	will another country strike iran by march 7 528	No	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0xee2c21…
03-04 09:41:59	will another country strike iran by march 7 528	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x114c46…