Blue-Ectodermal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

1.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$10.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$169

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 06-12 01:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

59% 50% +$2

Other

32% — —

Politics

7% — —

Tech

2% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$3.1K	1,575	1,575	+0	open	—	03-23 09:51
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$3.0K	1,529	1,529	+0	No	$-3	03-12 06:22
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$3.0K	1,526	1,526	+0	open	—	03-08 09:34
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	1	$174	206	0	+206	open	—	06-12 01:24
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$136	155	0	+155	open	—	05-28 01:43
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	2	$62	47	47	+0	open	—	04-28 06:41
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	2	$61	36	36	+0	open	—	02-05 06:00
Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?	1	$60	0	62	-62	open	—	05-28 01:43
will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	1	$56	61	0	+61	open	—	01-19 12:54
will henrique gouveia e melo win the 2026 portugal presidential election	2	$55	28	28	+0	open	—	01-19 12:54
Will Tyrese Maxey win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$52	26	26	+0	open	—	03-12 06:22
will gold gc hit high 7000 by end of february 271 168 354 381 713	2	$41	21	21	+0	open	—	02-19 02:55
Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	2	$41	22	22	+0	open	—	05-14 09:22
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	2	$39	21	21	+0	open	—	03-31 05:41
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$39	22	22	+0	Yes	+$5	04-28 06:42
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	2	$37	19	19	+0	open	—	04-28 06:41
GPT-5.6 released by May 22, 2026?	2	$34	18	18	+0	open	—	05-18 02:31
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	2	$33	17	17	+0	open	—	03-26 05:38
maduro out by march 31 2026 187 483	1	$31	46	0	+46	open	—	01-03 08:20
will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	2	$30	16	16	+0	open	—	03-23 10:00
will israel strike lebanon on february 18 2026	1	$28	29	0	+29	open	—	02-19 02:57
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	1	$26	34	0	+34	open	—	04-10 02:29
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	1	$26	30	0	+30	open	—	05-28 01:43
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	1	$25	0	25	-25	open	—	01-19 12:54
will the new england patriots win super bowl 2026	1	$25	0	27	-27	open	—	01-02 05:05
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$24	19	19	+0	open	—	04-21 10:44
us strikes iran by february 14 2026	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	02-13 05:59
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$22	28	0	+28	open	—	04-28 06:42
will the virginia redistricting referendum pass	1	$22	25	0	+25	open	—	04-21 10:44
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	1	$22	26	0	+26	open	—	05-18 02:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 01:24:39	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	206	84¢	$174	0xa6ce78…
06-03 01:25:46	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	22	93¢	$21	0x1548fc…
05-28 01:43:40	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0x312bf6…
05-28 01:43:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	155	88¢	$136	0xbe1579…
05-28 01:43:12	Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	62	98¢	$60	0x3b181b…
05-18 02:32:10	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	26	86¢	$22	0x089fc4…
05-18 02:31:42	GPT-5.6 released by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	18	89¢	$16	0x8df752…
05-14 09:23:31	GPT-5.6 released by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x9e7201…
05-14 09:22:16	Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	22	98¢	$22	0xe1a996…
05-08 01:47:49	Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	22	86¢	$19	0x2d99d6…
04-28 06:43:40	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xdb8780…
04-28 06:43:28	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by April 30?	No	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0x18cc71…
04-28 06:43:08	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	19	96¢	$18	0x3ce441…
04-28 06:42:48	Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	80¢	$22	0x426705…
04-28 06:42:14	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x2c07c3…
04-28 06:41:54	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xcdec03…
04-28 06:41:42	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	SELL	47	51¢	$24	0x093376…
04-21 10:45:38	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	BUY	47	83¢	$39	0xbeb1a7…
04-21 10:45:24	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	19	95¢	$18	0x4dc762…
04-21 10:44:58	will the virginia redistricting referendum pass	Yes	BUY	25	87¢	$22	0x733f4a…
04-21 10:44:44	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	19	41¢	$8	0x1f4550…
04-10 02:29:07	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	34	76¢	$26	0x15c67d…
04-08 05:30:59	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	BUY	23	94¢	$22	0xdea226…
04-08 05:30:47	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	Yes	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x2c19f9…
03-31 05:42:41	will russia enter ternuvate again by march 31	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x5f79c9…
03-31 05:41:49	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x553d58…
03-26 05:38:53	will st johns win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	16	98¢	$15	0x53211a…
03-26 05:38:31	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x6a2a44…
03-23 10:00:59	will russia enter verkhnia tersa by march 31 2026	No	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0x35491f…
03-23 10:00:45	will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	Yes	SELL	16	98¢	$15	0x618176…
03-23 09:51:47	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x8dc145…
03-23 09:51:21	Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	1,575	99¢	$1,552	0x6a2d63…
03-18 06:37:33	will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	Yes	BUY	16	97¢	$15	0x948249…
03-18 06:37:17	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	19	90¢	$17	0x43e648…
03-18 06:34:53	Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	1,575	98¢	$1,547	0x9ad2da…
03-12 06:22:43	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	21	86¢	$18	0x60da2d…
03-12 06:22:05	Will Tyrese Maxey win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xa2ded0…
03-12 06:22:01	Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	1,529	99¢	$1,519	0xb29b38…
03-08 09:35:39	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0xb9a824…
03-08 09:35:11	Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	1,529	99¢	$1,522	0xcab912…
03-08 09:34:49	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	1,526	100¢	$1,521	0xff84f0…
03-06 01:55:01	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	22	78¢	$17	0xa08bc5…
03-02 09:04:25	nhl col lak 2026 03 02	Avalanche	BUY	9	62¢	$5	0xe45552…
03-02 08:32:35	Will Tyrese Maxey win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xbcd87b…
03-02 08:31:45	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1,526	99¢	$1,518	0xc4d916…
03-02 08:29:09	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 2 645 466 285 492	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xb87ddf…
02-27 12:03:45	will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x08c26b…
02-19 02:57:56	will israel strike lebanon on february 18 2026	No	BUY	29	96¢	$28	0x872eaa…
02-19 02:57:18	highest temperature in nyc on february 18 2026 38 39f	Yes	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0x8836d0…
02-19 02:55:46	will gold gc hit high 7000 by end of february 271 168 354 381 713	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xe660b6…
02-13 06:00:07	will the government shutdown last 30 days or more 321 977 231 512 671 595	No	BUY	13	87¢	$11	0x399506…
02-13 05:59:39	us strikes iran by february 14 2026	No	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0xe90e01…
02-05 06:01:51	will khamenei leave iran by february 28 2026 713 559	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xa10f4a…
02-05 06:00:37	Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	36	76¢	$27	0x76e138…
02-01 08:57:30	highest temperature in seoul on february 1 0c	Yes	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x3bd5a6…
02-01 08:56:28	will gold gc hit high 7000 by end of february 271 168 354 381 713	No	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0x6dae0c…
01-19 12:54:56	will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	Yes	BUY	61	91¢	$56	0xab4fae…
01-19 12:54:24	Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x843b44…
01-19 12:54:16	will henrique gouveia e melo win the 2026 portugal presidential election	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x80f974…
01-09 02:26:00	Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	36	92¢	$33	0x57809a…
01-05 08:16:23	will henrique gouveia e melo win the 2026 portugal presidential election	No	BUY	28	95¢	$27	0x540ba9…
01-03 08:20:15	maduro out by march 31 2026 187 483	Yes	BUY	46	68¢	$31	0x7e0345…
01-02 05:05:11	will the new england patriots win super bowl 2026	No	SELL	27	92¢	$25	0x062e62…