Merry-Modernist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

37.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$303

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-06

last 05-16 22:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

54% 33% +$3

Politics

46% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	3	$75	59	59	+0	open	—	05-16 22:40
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	2	$50	129	0	+129	open	—	03-27 14:34
Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$32	40	0	+40	open	—	05-16 17:24
Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$20	30	0	+30	open	—	05-16 17:21
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Fenerbahce	1	$20	39	0	+39	Fenerbahce	+$19	05-08 09:53
Will Lithuania advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	3	$18	26	26	+0	Yes	$-2	05-12 20:18
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Fenerbahce	1	$15	31	0	+31	Zalgiris Kaunas	$-15	05-06 07:38
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	1	$15	28	0	+28	open	—	03-08 20:37
Will Romania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$15	20	0	+20	open	—	05-16 07:30
Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$13	20	0	+20	open	—	05-16 21:43
Will Latvia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$7	20	0	+20	open	—	05-14 20:38
euroleague kaunas barcelon 2026 04 02	1	$5	13	0	+13	open	—	04-02 11:43
euroleague kaunas paris 2026 04 17	1	$5	22	0	+22	open	—	04-17 15:05
euroleague kaunas dubai 2026 04 07	1	$4	14	0	+14	open	—	04-07 17:00
euroleague partizan kaunas 2026 04 10	3	$3	8	0	+8	open	—	04-10 16:15
euroleague kaunas olympiac 2026 02 25	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	02-24 13:54
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	1	$2	10	0	+10	open	—	04-12 14:12
Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$1	71	0	+71	open	—	05-14 20:38
Will Albania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$1	9	0	+9	open	—	05-14 20:47
euroleague efes kaunas 2026 02 06	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	02-06 10:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 22:40:09	Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xd88374…
05-16 22:39:41	Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	57	59¢	$33	0x3ca0dc…
05-16 21:43:29	Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xbb57c6…
05-16 17:24:08	Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	80¢	$32	0x3dc97b…
05-16 17:21:25	Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xa033df…
05-16 17:03:36	Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	68¢	$40	0x685ab5…
05-16 07:30:48	Will Romania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x7c58ae…
05-14 20:47:32	Will Albania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xf289b8…
05-14 20:38:38	Will Latvia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xfb87f1…
05-14 20:38:21	Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0x6ea1e8…
05-12 20:18:24	Will Lithuania advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	SELL	0	32¢	$0	0xcd49b4…
05-12 20:14:01	Will Lithuania advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	SELL	26	32¢	$8	0x0be7a9…
05-08 09:53:30	Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Fenerbahce	Fenerbahce	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x1f2386…
05-06 07:38:02	Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Fenerbahce	Fenerbahce	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0x9be4e9…
04-17 15:05:04	euroleague kaunas paris 2026 04 17	Paris Basketball	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x9d33b8…
04-12 14:12:55	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x69806d…
04-10 16:15:55	euroleague partizan kaunas 2026 04 10	Partizan	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x0a01ae…
04-10 16:09:41	euroleague partizan kaunas 2026 04 10	Partizan	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0xb62962…
04-10 16:01:09	euroleague partizan kaunas 2026 04 10	Partizan	BUY	4	39¢	$1	0xbeb5fa…
04-07 17:00:15	euroleague kaunas dubai 2026 04 07	BC Dubai	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0xb2524e…
04-02 11:43:13	euroleague kaunas barcelon 2026 04 02	Barcelona	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x01782b…
03-27 14:34:27	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x63e908…
03-08 20:37:15	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0xea06fb…
03-08 20:32:57	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x8aa135…
03-06 13:02:35	Will Lithuania advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xc1bd6a…
02-24 13:54:02	euroleague kaunas olympiac 2026 02 25	Olympiacos B.C.	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xf51e50…
02-06 10:56:55	euroleague efes kaunas 2026 02 06	Anadolu Efes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x4f4258…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Understated-Opossum 0x7a5d…54db	14	$18.2K	162	05-16 22:06
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	13	$49.7K	3,866	05-16 22:56
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	12	$21.6K	1,961	05-01 10:18
Yawning-Chicken 0xe911…3d4e	12	$4.62K	168	05-16 22:33
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	11	$39.8K	213	05-16 18:05
Scaly-Surge 0x6a68…6679	11	$13.3K	202	05-16 22:56
Adventurous-Safari 0xcb14…5358	11	$2.93K	140	05-16 19:12
Determined-Mug 0xff4b…d019	11	$809	44	05-16 23:00