Criminal-Ball — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

20.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$10.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$187

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-05

last 06-25 14:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

65% 25% $-1

Sports

22% — —

Crypto

13% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$790	396	396	+0	No	$-0	04-05 15:29
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	2	$598	300	300	+0	open	—	03-19 21:52
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$588	295	295	+0	open	—	03-25 04:09
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$582	292	292	+0	open	—	03-22 17:34
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$562	281	281	+0	open	—	03-27 05:42
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$552	276	276	+0	open	—	03-24 22:57
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$536	268	268	+0	open	—	04-08 13:32
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	2	$516	259	259	+0	No	$-0	04-17 03:18
will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	2	$506	253	253	+0	open	—	03-28 13:32
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$496	248	248	+0	open	—	04-05 03:50
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$492	246	246	+0	open	—	03-26 14:13
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	2	$490	245	245	+0	open	—	03-29 15:44
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$472	236	236	+0	open	—	04-12 22:39
will denny mccarthy win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$466	233	233	+0	open	—	03-24 08:11
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$462	232	232	+0	open	—	03-25 14:42
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in April?	2	$452	227	227	+0	open	—	04-06 20:10
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	3	$442	221	221	+0	No	+$0	03-25 18:18
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$422	212	212	+0	open	—	04-16 22:11
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$368	184	184	+0	No	$-0	04-20 01:53
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	2	$362	181	181	+0	open	—	04-17 10:30
will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in june 2026	1	$42	42	0	+42	open	—	06-24 18:22
nba mem atl 2026 03 23	1	$39	44	0	+44	open	—	03-23 21:49
nba bkn por 2026 03 23	1	$35	38	0	+38	open	—	03-23 21:48
will wti reach 140 in june 2026 374	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	06-25 14:56
nba atl det 2026 03 25	1	$27	45	0	+45	open	—	03-25 21:05
nba cha bkn 2026 03 31	1	$27	29	0	+29	open	—	03-31 22:47
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	06-25 14:55
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	06-25 14:56
nba tor min 2026 03 05	1	$26	39	0	+39	open	—	03-05 10:14
nba gsw hou 2026 03 05	1	$22	28	0	+28	open	—	03-05 10:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-25 14:56:29	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x6274b4…
06-25 14:56:04	will wti reach 140 in june 2026 374	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xc80b9e…
06-25 14:55:38	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xa716f4…
06-24 18:22:34	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x3147a2…
04-20 01:53:14	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	184	100¢	$184	0xe159ff…
04-19 23:02:52	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	184	100¢	$184	0x2ff63b…
04-17 10:30:30	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	SELL	181	100¢	$181	0x3240be…
04-17 05:05:50	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	181	100¢	$181	0xeb07d7…
04-17 03:18:50	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	259	100¢	$258	0xf784ed…
04-16 22:12:08	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	259	100¢	$258	0x113eaf…
04-16 22:11:50	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	212	100¢	$211	0xda82ea…
04-16 17:30:06	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	212	100¢	$211	0x84f756…
04-12 22:39:47	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	236	100¢	$236	0x5115c9…
04-12 14:56:21	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	236	100¢	$236	0xea6720…
04-08 13:32:07	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	268	100¢	$268	0xc08dce…
04-08 08:59:25	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	268	100¢	$268	0x6a8109…
04-06 20:10:33	Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in April?	No	SELL	227	100¢	$226	0x54e441…
04-06 17:22:17	Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in April?	No	BUY	227	100¢	$226	0xd8dd6d…
04-05 15:29:49	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	184	100¢	$184	0x451bef…
04-05 10:10:51	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	184	100¢	$184	0xf9f942…
04-05 03:50:35	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	248	100¢	$248	0x1ef4d6…
04-04 22:39:01	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	248	100¢	$248	0x46ee03…
03-31 22:47:21	nba cha bkn 2026 03 31	Hornets	BUY	29	93¢	$27	0x434230…
03-30 21:01:45	nba chi sas 2026 03 30	Bulls	BUY	45	6¢	$3	0x9413fd…
03-29 15:44:40	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	No	SELL	245	100¢	$245	0x8fa327…
03-29 11:48:44	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	No	BUY	245	100¢	$245	0x21e87a…
03-28 13:32:31	will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	No	SELL	253	100¢	$253	0x852553…
03-28 12:12:39	will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	No	BUY	253	100¢	$253	0x4ed851…
03-27 23:18:59	nba chi okc 2026 03 27	Bulls	BUY	37	6¢	$2	0x607843…
03-27 23:18:31	nba bkn lal 2026 03 27	Nets	BUY	38	6¢	$2	0x6441e9…
03-27 05:42:53	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	281	100¢	$281	0x814cd2…
03-27 00:36:43	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	281	100¢	$281	0xf1fe78…
03-26 14:13:29	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	246	100¢	$246	0x6a777d…
03-26 08:50:09	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	246	100¢	$246	0x2fb2c1…
03-25 21:05:55	nba atl det 2026 03 25	Pistons	BUY	45	60¢	$27	0xc2d86c…
03-25 18:18:07	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0xdccde4…
03-25 18:16:39	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	116	100¢	$116	0x82470b…
03-25 14:43:11	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	221	100¢	$221	0x0f5e2f…
03-25 14:42:51	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	232	100¢	$231	0x5c4a52…
03-25 09:29:07	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	232	100¢	$231	0x734223…
03-25 04:09:15	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	295	99¢	$294	0x16acd9…
03-24 22:58:05	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	295	100¢	$294	0x0001a1…
03-24 22:57:47	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	276	100¢	$276	0x89f2f0…
03-24 18:47:49	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	276	100¢	$276	0x1ca5a8…
03-24 08:11:47	will denny mccarthy win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	233	100¢	$233	0x97844c…
03-24 02:49:33	will denny mccarthy win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	233	100¢	$233	0xa478a9…
03-23 21:49:07	nba mem atl 2026 03 23	Hawks	BUY	44	88¢	$39	0x681fe9…
03-23 21:48:35	nba bkn por 2026 03 23	Trail Blazers	BUY	38	91¢	$35	0x72a877…
03-22 22:07:39	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	211	100¢	$211	0xad115e…
03-22 17:35:09	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	211	100¢	$211	0x13a08c…
03-22 17:34:51	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	292	100¢	$291	0xe5b25c…
03-22 13:05:03	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	292	100¢	$291	0xb8b01b…
03-19 21:52:01	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	300	100¢	$299	0xc86a6e…
03-16 16:29:11	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0x035868…
03-05 10:14:51	nba tor min 2026 03 05	Timberwolves	BUY	39	68¢	$26	0xccc24f…
03-05 10:14:21	nba gsw hou 2026 03 05	Rockets	BUY	28	77¢	$22	0x434ca7…