Dependent-Welfare — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$52

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

41.7%

Resolved

150

Trades

1,334

lifetime

Volume

$4.80K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-01

last 05-18 14:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 43% $-52

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 375 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	22	$84	95	95	+0	open	—	05-04 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	18	$82	187	187	+0	Up	$-5	05-10 08:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	20	$76	77	77	+0	open	—	05-04 10:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	14	$70	81	81	+0	Down	+$0	05-10 08:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	18	$69	76	76	+0	open	—	05-04 10:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	12	$58	40	40	+0	Up	$-2	05-10 07:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	12	$58	59	59	+0	open	—	05-14 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	17	$55	62	62	+0	open	—	05-04 11:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	14	$53	47	47	+0	open	—	05-04 10:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	10	$51	45	28	+17	Down	$-1	05-11 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	12	$49	48	48	+0	open	—	05-14 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	19	$48	104	102	+2	Up	$-2	05-11 14:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	18	$46	73	70	+3	Up	$-0	05-11 20:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	10	$46	50	50	+0	open	—	05-14 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	10	$44	48	48	+0	open	—	05-18 14:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	11	$44	49	42	+7	Up	$-4	05-06 10:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	10	$43	43	43	+0	Up	+$3	05-06 09:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	10	$40	38	38	+0	open	—	05-04 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	9	$39	49	49	+0	Down	$-1	05-13 14:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	11	$38	62	49	+14	Down	$-1	05-11 14:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	10	$38	50	50	+0	Up	+$2	05-10 07:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	9	$38	66	66	+0	open	—	05-01 18:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	9	$37	40	34	+6	open	—	05-04 15:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	8	$36	72	72	+0	Down	$-4	05-13 10:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	8	$36	30	30	+0	Down	$-1	05-10 08:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	10	$33	36	36	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 10:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	4	$31	112	112	+0	open	—	05-01 12:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	6	$30	16	16	+0	Up	+$0	05-13 21:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	8	$30	34	34	+0	Up	$-2	05-06 09:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	8	$30	34	34	+0	open	—	05-04 12:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-18 14:17:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	15	28¢	$4	0x3d3c88…
05-18 14:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0xd1e027…
05-18 14:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	6	61¢	$4	0x76e23f…
05-18 14:17:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0xb12e98…
05-18 14:17:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0x3bd4ea…
05-18 14:17:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0xd44045…
05-18 14:17:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0x0d058c…
05-18 14:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x948137…
05-18 14:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	15	32¢	$5	0x557abd…
05-18 14:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0xcaa6be…
05-18 10:02:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	SELL	7	67¢	$5	0xf3e2db…
05-18 10:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xb8f62d…
05-18 09:54:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x3f87b5…
05-18 09:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x75db46…
05-18 09:37:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	15	16¢	$2	0x387f8e…
05-18 09:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x7ef0c7…
05-18 09:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	SELL	7	71¢	$5	0x8feec9…
05-18 09:33:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x6bd888…
05-18 08:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	75¢	$5	0x38fc1b…
05-18 08:58:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x7c97a7…
05-18 08:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	7	68¢	$5	0x7aa3ac…
05-18 08:57:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x428c99…
05-15 10:37:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	SELL	22	8¢	$2	0x242d31…
05-15 10:37:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xf87be1…
05-15 10:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	10	57¢	$6	0x2576c9…
05-15 10:02:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x13265d…
05-15 09:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	6	69¢	$4	0x395c1e…
05-15 09:37:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x0fd07b…
05-15 08:07:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	SELL	9	39¢	$4	0xa1e91f…
05-15 08:07:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	49¢	$5	0xa1bc80…
05-15 05:42:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	7	59¢	$4	0xd5bade…
05-15 05:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0xad397a…
05-15 05:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x91b409…
05-15 05:13:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x72a3ae…
05-15 04:47:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	SELL	11	48¢	$5	0xa863c6…
05-15 04:47:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xe63142…
05-15 04:47:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	SELL	6	61¢	$4	0x19167f…
05-15 04:47:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x3e189b…
05-15 04:37:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	SELL	6	78¢	$5	0x551ef4…
05-15 04:37:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x470a08…
05-15 04:33:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	13	38¢	$5	0x8c9352…
05-15 04:33:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	13	35¢	$5	0x212dea…
05-15 03:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	SELL	11	43¢	$5	0xafbffa…
05-15 03:47:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0x350dba…
05-15 03:47:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	SELL	7	67¢	$5	0x17f3cb…
05-15 03:47:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x700661…
05-15 03:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	SELL	9	52¢	$5	0x06823b…
05-15 03:37:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x1a79c2…
05-15 03:03:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	SELL	7	54¢	$4	0x76ea73…
05-15 03:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	64¢	$5	0x9341d0…
05-15 03:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	6	74¢	$4	0x92a94f…
05-15 03:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0xbede94…
05-15 02:47:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x4a302b…
05-15 02:47:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	0	73¢	$0	0xfc751b…
05-15 02:23:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	SELL	8	63¢	$5	0x391f01…
05-15 02:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0x8658d5…
05-15 02:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	9	52¢	$5	0xf3b9bb…
05-15 02:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x2f972c…
05-15 02:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	11	47¢	$5	0x755676…
05-15 02:22:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xa169df…
05-15 02:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	SELL	11	47¢	$5	0x58a99d…
05-15 02:18:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x2f9ea5…
05-15 02:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	SELL	8	59¢	$5	0x0f4c85…
05-15 02:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x0eb71e…
05-15 02:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	SELL	8	48¢	$4	0x224e50…
05-15 02:17:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xdcb7ac…
05-15 02:04:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	SELL	3	90¢	$2	0x1b021d…
05-15 02:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xeead82…
05-15 02:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	SELL	8	59¢	$5	0x74531c…
05-15 02:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x2decb4…
05-15 02:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	SELL	7	63¢	$4	0x3215a7…
05-15 02:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x17c4c8…
05-15 01:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	8	65¢	$5	0x0af6f5…
05-15 01:43:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	55¢	$5	0xd9c28a…
05-15 01:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	6	60¢	$4	0xf65a2b…
05-15 01:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x61ccd1…
05-15 01:17:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	8	55¢	$5	0xbe925f…
05-15 01:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0xa68707…
05-15 01:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	66¢	$4	0xc4084f…
05-15 01:13:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xff60ce…
05-15 00:52:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0x445663…
05-15 00:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0x3b31f8…
05-15 00:37:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	7	63¢	$5	0x61f31e…
05-15 00:37:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	62¢	$4	0x91a570…
05-15 00:23:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	11	38¢	$4	0x60d5f6…
05-15 00:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0x52ea11…
05-15 00:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	11	64¢	$7	0x0207ab…
05-15 00:02:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x0e401e…
05-14 22:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	7	65¢	$5	0x9f3e0d…
05-14 22:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0xe72ba5…
05-14 22:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	15	36¢	$6	0xf8f778…
05-14 22:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	15	31¢	$5	0x094d04…
05-14 21:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0x905dea…
05-14 21:32:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x7bfe94…
05-14 21:07:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	13	50¢	$7	0xb41cec…
05-14 21:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0xa69bc2…
05-14 21:03:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	8	71¢	$5	0xc08127…
05-14 21:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x80a251…
05-14 20:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	12	29¢	$4	0xbfd8dc…
05-14 20:22:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	37¢	$5	0xb6a2fc…