Mealy-Extinction — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.19K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 06-12 13:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

87% 100% +$0

Politics

8% — —

Other

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	4	$58	30	30	+0	open	—	03-11 14:28
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	12	$35	4,334	4,334	+0	open	—	03-09 16:06
us forces enter iran by march 7	2	$32	33	0	+33	open	—	03-06 09:30
bitcoin above 74k on april 12	1	$32	32	0	+32	open	—	04-12 12:36
ethereum above 2400 on april 11	1	$32	32	0	+32	open	—	04-11 14:10
bitcoin above 76k on april 10	1	$32	32	0	+32	open	—	04-10 09:04
bitcoin above 74k on april 9	1	$32	32	0	+32	open	—	04-09 14:06
bitcoin above 76k on april 8	1	$32	32	0	+32	open	—	04-08 10:03
bitcoin above 74k on april 7	1	$32	32	0	+32	open	—	04-07 10:25
bitcoin above 76k on april 6	1	$31	32	0	+32	open	—	04-05 18:36
will bitcoin reach 72k on april 4	1	$31	31	0	+31	open	—	04-04 15:14
bitcoin above 74k on april 1	1	$31	31	0	+31	open	—	04-01 04:04
bitcoin above 72k on march 31	1	$31	31	0	+31	open	—	03-31 07:56
ethereum above 2300 on march 30	1	$31	31	0	+31	open	—	03-30 11:08
bitcoin above 60k on march 28	1	$31	31	0	+31	open	—	03-28 06:18
bitcoin above 76k on march 26	1	$31	31	0	+31	open	—	03-26 00:50
ethereum above 1900 on march 25	1	$31	31	0	+31	open	—	03-25 07:27
bitcoin above 76k on march 24	1	$31	31	0	+31	open	—	03-24 09:35
bitcoin above 74k on march 23	1	$31	31	0	+31	open	—	03-23 09:45
bitcoin above 72k on march 22	1	$31	31	0	+31	open	—	03-22 15:12
bitcoin above 68k on march 21	1	$31	31	0	+31	open	—	03-21 13:40
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	1	$31	31	0	+31	open	—	03-11 10:21
bitcoin above 66k on march 20	1	$31	31	0	+31	open	—	03-20 09:18
bitcoin above 74k on march 19	1	$31	31	0	+31	open	—	03-19 13:05
will bitcoin reach 82k on march 18	1	$31	31	0	+31	open	—	03-18 14:50
bitcoin above 80k on march 17	1	$29	29	0	+29	open	—	03-17 08:34
will us or israel strike iran on march 4 2026	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	03-04 10:24
bitcoin above 62k on march 16	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	03-16 04:42
will bitcoin reach 82k on march 17	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	03-17 14:55
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?	2	$19	19	0	+19	No	+$0	05-10 12:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 13:42:36	ethereum above 1800 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x106e82…
06-11 00:57:12	bitcoin above 68k on june 11 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x55a2d6…
06-07 12:12:33	ethereum above 1800 on june 7 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x3d19b5…
06-07 12:10:55	ethereum above 1800 on june 7 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x7ce31e…
06-06 11:58:52	ethereum above 1800 on june 6 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xd9de98…
05-28 06:41:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x62a373…
05-23 12:06:29	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 23?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xd397c2…
05-21 12:34:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xb73cf3…
05-19 15:28:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x25d0ec…
05-14 09:30:43	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa7b51e…
05-13 13:23:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb0dc21…
05-10 12:35:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x575b4c…
05-10 12:33:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$9	0xecfeb1…
05-03 10:26:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x42f78d…
04-27 10:46:14	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x2aa332…
04-24 10:42:50	bitcoin above 82k on april 24	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x95b973…
04-23 12:02:02	bitcoin above 82k on april 23	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6650b7…
04-22 13:29:12	bitcoin above 82k on april 22	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x9cbb4b…
04-19 13:28:32	bitcoin above 78k on april 19	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x44478c…
04-17 15:35:36	bitcoin above 80k on april 17	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x7a82ab…
04-15 09:48:24	bitcoin above 78k on april 15	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x1b3986…
04-14 12:42:05	bitcoin above 78k on april 14	No	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0xd5d407…
04-13 09:47:21	bitcoin above 74k on april 13	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x09f0a4…
04-13 01:34:33	will bitcoin reach 76k april 6 12	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x8e65e8…
04-12 12:36:27	bitcoin above 74k on april 12	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x9ed5a3…
04-11 14:10:29	ethereum above 2400 on april 11	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x32153e…
04-10 09:04:45	bitcoin above 76k on april 10	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x81981f…
04-09 14:06:09	bitcoin above 74k on april 9	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xbdea97…
04-08 10:03:27	bitcoin above 76k on april 8	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xef0d0d…
04-07 10:25:39	bitcoin above 74k on april 7	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xd25ef5…
04-05 18:36:05	bitcoin above 76k on april 6	No	BUY	32	100¢	$31	0xf23b73…
04-04 15:14:45	will bitcoin reach 72k on april 4	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x4f361c…
04-01 04:04:35	bitcoin above 74k on april 1	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x5e9321…
03-31 07:56:51	bitcoin above 72k on march 31	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x86cc18…
03-30 11:08:34	ethereum above 2300 on march 30	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xa43c0b…
03-28 06:18:33	bitcoin above 60k on march 28	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x049b65…
03-26 00:50:07	bitcoin above 76k on march 26	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xca7687…
03-25 07:27:27	ethereum above 1900 on march 25	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xeeabc5…
03-24 09:35:25	bitcoin above 76k on march 24	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x854357…
03-23 09:45:07	bitcoin above 74k on march 23	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xd077cd…
03-22 15:12:55	bitcoin above 72k on march 22	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x0d30ae…
03-21 13:40:47	bitcoin above 68k on march 21	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xa7f033…
03-20 09:18:35	bitcoin above 66k on march 20	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x0c452c…
03-19 13:05:07	bitcoin above 74k on march 19	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x1eef78…
03-18 14:50:09	will bitcoin reach 82k on march 18	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x9a9ae9…
03-17 14:55:43	will bitcoin reach 82k on march 17	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xa18366…
03-17 08:34:23	bitcoin above 80k on march 17	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xd3aec2…
03-16 13:34:33	will bitcoin reach 81k on march 16	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x178bc1…
03-16 04:42:37	bitcoin above 62k on march 16	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x25e6c4…
03-11 14:28:27	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0xfe21e4…
03-11 14:28:07	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x5b01a1…
03-11 10:21:51	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xfdefdc…
03-09 16:06:29	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	SELL	2,064	0¢	$8	0x014e73…
03-09 08:53:41	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	945	0¢	$4	0x6fb3a6…
03-09 08:52:03	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xa576c9…
03-09 08:51:23	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	45	0¢	$0	0xd0ef4f…
03-09 08:46:57	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$2	0xebdd63…
03-09 08:46:21	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	34	0¢	$0	0x69a35d…
03-09 08:45:55	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x7a68ad…
03-09 08:35:29	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x0bba99…
03-09 08:30:19	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	213	0¢	$1	0x7ba2d0…
03-09 08:30:03	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	422	0¢	$2	0x27c4ae…
03-07 16:26:33	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	13	96¢	$13	0xa7feff…
03-07 15:59:53	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	17	96¢	$16	0x2df29d…
03-06 09:30:15	us forces enter iran by march 7	No	BUY	10	96¢	$9	0x881931…
03-06 08:38:03	us forces enter iran by march 7	No	BUY	23	96¢	$22	0x2d42ac…
03-04 10:24:37	will us or israel strike iran on march 4 2026	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x36dadc…
03-04 08:34:33	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	SELL	2,270	0¢	$9	0x7d000b…
03-04 04:30:01	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	2,270	0¢	$9	0x2eff91…