Modest-Neighbor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$20.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$453

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-19

last 06-12 08:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

46% 100% +$6

Other

38% 100% +$2

Sports

17% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	12	$6.9K	6,093	6,093	+0	open	—	03-20 23:31
Will Liverpool finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	4	$3.4K	1,743	1,743	+0	open	—	03-20 22:57
will waldo albarracn win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	2	$3.4K	1,831	1,831	+0	open	—	03-20 09:08
will miguel roca win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	3	$3.1K	1,727	1,727	+0	open	—	03-20 14:16
Will Casey Putsch win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	4	$3.1K	1,606	1,606	+0	No	+$6	03-20 14:47
elon musk of tweets march 2026 1280 1319	6	$356	1,873	1,873	+0	open	—	03-21 00:38
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	5	$335	1,763	1,763	+0	open	—	03-20 14:34
Will Elon Musk post 1400-1439 tweets in April 2026?	3	$222	1,260	1,260	+0	open	—	03-20 22:10
nhl mon det 2026 03 19 spread home 1pt5	1	$44	156	0	+156	open	—	03-19 11:44
nba lal mia 2026 03 19 points bam adebayo 19pt5	1	$38	148	0	+148	open	—	03-19 14:49
Spread: Valencia CF (-2.5)	1	$19	20	0	+20	open	—	05-14 06:20
fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 spread home 2pt5	1	$15	17	0	+17	open	—	06-12 08:17
Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Ghazl El Mahalla SC: O/U 3.5	1	$15	17	0	+17	Under	+$2	05-07 10:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$13	14	0	+14	open	—	05-30 05:02
Academia Puerto Cabello vs. CA Juventud: O/U 4.5	1	$13	14	0	+14	open	—	05-21 06:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 08:17:51	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 spread home 2pt5	Bosnia and Herzegovina	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0x844619…
05-30 05:02:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	96¢	$13	0x20aabe…
05-21 06:14:28	Academia Puerto Cabello vs. CA Juventud: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	14	92¢	$13	0x9669fd…
05-14 06:20:14	Spread: Valencia CF (-2.5)	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xfb64bd…
05-07 10:26:49	Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Ghazl El Mahalla SC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0xb35223…
03-21 00:38:43	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1280 1319	Yes	SELL	7	9¢	$1	0xfc47d9…
03-21 00:38:31	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1280 1319	Yes	SELL	996	9¢	$94	0x8043b4…
03-21 00:38:31	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1280 1319	Yes	SELL	870	9¢	$82	0x52a531…
03-21 00:28:57	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1280 1319	Yes	BUY	637	10¢	$61	0xf9b1e4…
03-21 00:28:57	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1280 1319	Yes	BUY	1,144	10¢	$110	0xebcf75…
03-21 00:28:57	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1280 1319	Yes	BUY	92	10¢	$9	0x610b59…
03-20 23:31:55	will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	No	SELL	1,725	91¢	$1,566	0xc6a87d…
03-20 23:21:41	will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	No	BUY	1,725	91¢	$1,565	0x8a1fb5…
03-20 22:57:15	Will Liverpool finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	1,743	97¢	$1,696	0x76ec63…
03-20 22:50:07	Will Liverpool finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	172	97¢	$167	0xb006b5…
03-20 22:50:07	Will Liverpool finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	1,130	97¢	$1,097	0x2a4937…
03-20 22:50:07	Will Liverpool finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	441	97¢	$428	0x005586…
03-20 22:23:13	will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	No	SELL	1,836	91¢	$1,667	0x1473fa…
03-20 22:17:45	will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	No	BUY	1,241	91¢	$1,124	0x80b051…
03-20 22:17:45	will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	No	BUY	243	91¢	$220	0x1e0635…
03-20 22:17:45	will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	No	BUY	352	91¢	$319	0x046a54…
03-20 22:10:29	Will Elon Musk post 1400-1439 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	290	9¢	$25	0x9872ac…
03-20 22:10:29	Will Elon Musk post 1400-1439 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	970	9¢	$83	0x397aa5…
03-20 22:01:51	Will Elon Musk post 1400-1439 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,260	9¢	$113	0x092c12…
03-20 14:47:47	Will Casey Putsch win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	No	SELL	1,606	96¢	$1,539	0xdb42b9…
03-20 14:41:43	Will Casey Putsch win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	231	95¢	$220	0x3baa9f…
03-20 14:41:41	Will Casey Putsch win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	731	95¢	$697	0xbead0e…
03-20 14:41:41	Will Casey Putsch win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	644	95¢	$614	0x7f5a71…
03-20 14:34:15	will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	No	SELL	713	9¢	$67	0xf32947…
03-20 14:34:15	will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	No	SELL	1,050	9¢	$99	0x101958…
03-20 14:24:57	will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	No	BUY	1,157	10¢	$111	0xebd514…
03-20 14:24:57	will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	No	BUY	498	10¢	$48	0xb190d5…
03-20 14:24:57	will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	No	BUY	108	10¢	$10	0x42c0fb…
03-20 14:16:21	will miguel roca win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	No	SELL	1,727	91¢	$1,565	0x9ed0c2…
03-20 14:09:51	will miguel roca win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	No	BUY	1,202	90¢	$1,079	0xfd2ea5…
03-20 14:09:51	will miguel roca win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	No	BUY	525	90¢	$471	0x546f69…
03-20 09:08:29	will waldo albarracn win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	No	SELL	1,831	92¢	$1,686	0x006216…
03-20 09:02:25	will waldo albarracn win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	No	BUY	1,831	91¢	$1,666	0x8b6d9d…
03-20 08:54:09	will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	Yes	SELL	1,609	8¢	$124	0x62abb9…
03-20 08:54:09	will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	Yes	SELL	923	8¢	$71	0x4ceb55…
03-20 08:45:53	will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	Yes	BUY	479	8¢	$37	0xc2b7af…
03-20 08:45:53	will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	Yes	BUY	816	8¢	$63	0xa2fc3f…
03-20 08:45:51	will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	Yes	BUY	1,180	8¢	$91	0xe9b177…
03-20 08:45:51	will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	Yes	BUY	57	8¢	$4	0x7b4b95…
03-19 14:49:15	nba lal mia 2026 03 19 points bam adebayo 19pt5	No	BUY	148	26¢	$38	0xb37f52…
03-19 11:44:33	nhl mon det 2026 03 19 spread home 1pt5	Red Wings	BUY	156	28¢	$44	0xe6bb4f…