Tiny-Cross — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$62

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,901

lifetime

Volume

$2.06K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-25

last 05-13 13:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

35% — —

Crypto

33% 74% $-53

Other

23% 0% $-9

Sports

10% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 57 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran meeting by march 31 2026 363	76	$313	215	171	+44	open	—	04-01 07:23
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	559	$186	18,701	16,010	+2,691	open	—	04-02 01:18
netanyahu out by march 31 854	188	$158	13,897	13,575	+322	open	—	03-30 23:35
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	485	$91	888	842	+45	open	—	03-31 04:55
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	239	$78	10,327	7,546	+2,781	open	—	03-31 16:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	2	$74	77	77	+0	Up	+$14	05-13 08:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	2	$64	64	64	+0	Down	+$4	05-13 08:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	2	$64	62	62	+0	Down	+$4	05-13 07:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	2	$63	62	62	+0	Up	+$3	05-13 07:30
will trump talk to mark rutte in march 855	20	$49	78	78	+0	open	—	04-03 06:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	2	$43	43	43	+0	Down	+$3	05-13 06:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	1	$30	73	0	+73	Up	$-30	05-13 08:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	1	$30	63	0	+63	Up	$-30	05-13 07:40
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$30	81	0	+81	open	—	03-29 20:29
nhl pit wsh 2026 04 12	3	$30	69	0	+69	open	—	04-12 19:59
will the dhs shutdown end between march 28 31 2026	11	$27	40	37	+3	open	—	03-27 17:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	2	$27	21	21	+0	Down	+$7	05-13 11:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	2	$20	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	05-13 11:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	1	$20	42	0	+42	Up	$-20	05-13 09:25
nhl phi nyi 2026 04 03	2	$20	34	0	+34	open	—	04-03 17:59
will the dhs shutdown end after march 31 2026	36	$17	15	14	+1	open	—	03-30 22:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	2	$16	11	11	+0	Down	+$6	05-13 11:15
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	26	$13	9	9	+0	open	—	04-07 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	Up	+$3	05-13 13:00
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	22	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	04-07 19:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	2	$13	12	12	+0	Down	+$3	05-13 11:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	2	$13	11	11	+0	Down	+$3	05-13 11:23
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	8	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	04-07 21:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	2	$12	11	11	+0	Down	+$2	05-13 11:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-13 13:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 13:34:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x611645…
05-13 13:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	7	93¢	$6	0xdafaaf…
05-13 13:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x345808…
05-13 13:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	SELL	8	75¢	$6	0x4e8ce4…
05-13 13:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x400c4b…
05-13 13:12:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x82cba3…
05-13 13:11:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xc9cf85…
05-13 13:07:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x1710d8…
05-13 13:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xa98f4a…
05-13 12:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x870b87…
05-13 12:50:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x09ad0f…
05-13 12:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0xdfca43…
05-13 12:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x128521…
05-13 12:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x98d647…
05-13 12:30:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x029700…
05-13 12:16:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x2c85dc…
05-13 12:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xbe3ceb…
05-13 11:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xe4c976…
05-13 11:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x526209…
05-13 11:53:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x4dea97…
05-13 11:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	12	65¢	$8	0x15d97b…
05-13 11:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x6ae207…
05-13 11:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xe0d8ab…
05-13 11:27:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	21	80¢	$17	0x390c0a…
05-13 11:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x3384a7…
05-13 11:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	SELL	11	72¢	$8	0xb1dca1…
05-13 11:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x6c7787…
05-13 11:15:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x446edd…
05-13 11:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x808a52…
05-13 11:10:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x797620…
05-13 11:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	11	61¢	$7	0x18bc6f…
05-13 11:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xe31134…
05-13 10:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	54¢	$6	0x4fc3cc…
05-13 10:56:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x9e21b5…
05-13 10:50:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	10	54¢	$6	0x57fd0d…
05-13 10:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xde0905…
05-13 10:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	11	48¢	$5	0x6d92a6…
05-13 10:45:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x43b998…
05-13 10:41:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	53¢	$6	0x2ffb64…
05-13 10:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x6e2ffc…
05-13 09:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x82a89d…
05-13 09:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	11	52¢	$6	0xbc8cda…
05-13 09:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xf35176…
05-13 09:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	12	50¢	$6	0xf6cfe5…
05-13 09:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x68223e…
05-13 08:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	64	53¢	$34	0x0b4e13…
05-13 08:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	64	47¢	$30	0x438776…
05-13 08:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	73	41¢	$30	0xaf0720…
05-13 08:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	77	57¢	$44	0x159567…
05-13 08:35:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	77	39¢	$30	0x7e5ea3…
05-13 07:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	63	47¢	$30	0xc05e5b…
05-13 07:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	62	54¢	$34	0x33fb65…
05-13 07:35:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	62	48¢	$30	0xbe6bec…
05-13 07:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	SELL	62	53¢	$33	0x8aba94…
05-13 07:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	62	48¢	$30	0x6e9404…
05-13 06:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	SELL	43	52¢	$23	0x07e5cb…
05-13 06:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x92b74b…
04-25 16:59:12	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x0e7287…
04-13 20:33:43	Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0x63bf3b…
04-12 21:38:41	nba orl bos 2026 04 12 spread away 12pt5	Magic	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xbf18b0…
04-12 19:59:47	nhl pit wsh 2026 04 12	Penguins	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xe2f061…
04-12 19:59:39	nhl pit wsh 2026 04 12	Penguins	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x575494…
04-12 19:58:39	nhl pit wsh 2026 04 12	Penguins	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xab9e95…
04-12 03:58:35	nhl van sj 2026 04 11	Canucks	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x386601…
04-11 23:37:07	nhl cbj mon 2026 04 11	Blue Jackets	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x51ffbd…
04-11 18:27:41	mls mim phi 2026 04 11 phi	Yes	BUY	12	36¢	$4	0xfb7b3e…
04-11 14:31:59	Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x9fa80a…
04-10 22:48:11	nba mia was 2026 04 10 spread away 15pt5	Wizards	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x2a31c1…
04-08 23:32:21	nhl buf nyr 2026 04 08	Rangers	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x3b6b65…
04-08 02:02:35	nba sac gsw 2026 04 07 spread home 14pt5	Kings	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x277fdc…
04-07 21:53:29	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	0	66¢	$0	0x4e7878…
04-07 21:53:17	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	2	66¢	$2	0x9064d8…
04-07 21:53:07	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	3	66¢	$2	0xbaa578…
04-07 21:52:57	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0xc8d7ab…
04-07 21:52:27	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0x418670…
04-07 21:49:53	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	0	71¢	$0	0xbcd793…
04-07 21:49:51	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0xb597a3…
04-07 21:24:03	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	8	81¢	$7	0x944c25…
04-07 21:03:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in April?	No	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xb655c5…
04-07 20:39:05	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	SELL	0	68¢	$0	0x4a70c4…
04-07 20:37:35	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0xa0057b…
04-07 20:37:03	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	0	66¢	$0	0xbd58b7…
04-07 20:12:37	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x478dcb…
04-07 20:04:21	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0xd8f9c1…
04-07 19:49:09	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x5a742a…
04-07 19:48:53	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	SELL	0	57¢	$0	0x7336e5…
04-07 19:48:45	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0xebcdb3…
04-07 19:47:53	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	SELL	0	56¢	$0	0x90ff85…
04-07 19:47:43	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0x1ae279…
04-07 19:46:25	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x9744d6…
04-07 15:33:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	BUY	21	53¢	$11	0xa96286…
04-07 00:51:25	nba por den 2026 04 06 spread home 7pt5	Trail Blazers	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x989ae6…
04-07 00:45:29	nba por den 2026 04 06 spread home 7pt5	Trail Blazers	BUY	3	54¢	$1	0x5bf702…
04-07 00:42:09	nba por den 2026 04 06 spread home 7pt5	Trail Blazers	BUY	3	54¢	$1	0x8611fd…
04-07 00:39:27	nba por den 2026 04 06 spread home 7pt5	Trail Blazers	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x35a66d…
04-07 00:28:29	nba por den 2026 04 06 spread home 7pt5	Trail Blazers	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xfb88d9…
04-06 23:29:55	nhl chi sj 2026 04 06	Blackhawks	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x357e36…
04-06 03:06:27	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0x6d77ce…
04-06 03:06:07	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x94f391…
04-06 03:05:13	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	SELL	1	72¢	$0	0x82f4b4…