Moral-Disclosure — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$231

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.6%

Resolved

Trades

812

lifetime

Volume

$6.16K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 07-01 05:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 69% $-231

Politics

3% — —

Other

2% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 175 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	4	$342	402	242	+161	Up	+$103	05-09 11:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	4	$119	104	104	+0	Up	+$19	05-07 19:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	6	$118	120	120	+0	Up	+$8	05-07 18:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	1	$100	126	0	+126	Down	+$26	05-09 11:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	1	$100	154	0	+154	Down	$-100	05-09 11:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	1	$100	179	0	+179	Up	$-100	05-09 11:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	1	$100	111	0	+111	Up	+$11	05-09 11:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	1	$100	185	0	+185	Up	$-100	05-09 11:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	7	$100	286	0	+286	open	—	05-15 07:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	10	$100	108	0	+108	open	—	05-14 19:58
tyler robinson convicted of homicide	5	$98	100	100	+0	open	—	06-28 07:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	9	$91	103	0	+103	open	—	05-14 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	8	$83	52	52	+0	Up	+$3	05-08 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	3	$70	165	0	+165	open	—	05-15 19:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	6	$70	75	0	+75	open	—	05-14 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	7	$70	77	0	+77	open	—	05-14 21:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	3	$70	71	0	+71	open	—	05-14 20:48
iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062	6	$68	60	60	+0	open	—	06-28 16:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	4	$64	40	40	+0	Up	+$4	05-08 07:18
btc updown 5m 1782490500	6	$64	56	56	+0	open	—	06-26 16:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	4	$63	42	42	+0	Up	+$3	05-07 19:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	4	$61	63	0	+63	open	—	05-16 06:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	4	$61	39	39	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	11	$60	45	37	+7	Up	+$0	05-07 21:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	2	$60	64	0	+64	open	—	05-14 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	2	$60	65	0	+65	open	—	05-14 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	2	$60	66	0	+66	open	—	05-14 18:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	1	$60	61	0	+61	open	—	05-14 17:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	6	$60	63	0	+63	open	—	05-14 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	6	$60	61	0	+61	open	—	05-14 20:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 05:41:47	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	SELL	7	92¢	$7	0xab0968…
07-01 05:41:46	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	7	80¢	$6	0xbd4c43…
07-01 05:41:46	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	SELL	7	89¢	$6	0x07d9ba…
06-29 05:58:04	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x7f49a5…
06-29 05:58:01	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0x7f3faf…
06-29 05:58:01	israel closes its airspace by july 31	No	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x2879de…
06-29 05:08:56	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	SELL	22	30¢	$7	0x451f0d…
06-29 05:08:56	will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637	No	SELL	22	64¢	$14	0x03a9ac…
06-28 17:04:22	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	1	43¢	$0	0x42f210…
06-28 17:03:34	will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637	No	BUY	4	65¢	$3	0x743b5b…
06-28 17:03:34	will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637	No	BUY	18	65¢	$12	0x4ec302…
06-28 17:03:16	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	21	43¢	$9	0xfee57d…
06-28 16:03:08	will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637	Yes	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0x759d1c…
06-28 16:03:08	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062	No	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x730434…
06-28 16:03:07	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	SELL	25	45¢	$11	0xfabd37…
06-28 15:35:56	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x8dc3cd…
06-28 13:10:41	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x947abd…
06-28 10:38:28	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x141d0a…
06-28 10:38:10	will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x943581…
06-28 07:09:50	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	Yes	SELL	25	81¢	$20	0x7f3638…
06-28 07:09:50	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	SELL	45	46¢	$21	0x65bbd7…
06-28 07:09:49	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	SELL	50	53¢	$26	0xaef3a5…
06-28 07:08:23	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x877347…
06-28 06:59:59	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	Yes	BUY	25	84¢	$21	0x7e4c9e…
06-28 06:40:22	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0x2c818c…
06-28 05:43:52	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0xd0afef…
06-27 03:49:13	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062	Yes	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0x984d35…
06-27 03:49:13	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062	No	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x717d7e…
06-27 03:49:13	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	No	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0x1ebe47…
06-26 22:27:29	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x606d83…
06-26 22:13:07	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xc23bde…
06-26 18:17:38	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x3c1218…
06-26 16:19:43	btc updown 5m 1782490500	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x5689d2…
06-26 16:18:53	btc updown 5m 1782490500	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x888aa9…
06-26 16:18:37	btc updown 5m 1782490500	Up	SELL	12	27¢	$3	0x1bfbbc…
06-26 16:18:26	btc updown 5m 1782490500	Down	SELL	30	55¢	$17	0xbbe582…
06-26 16:18:10	btc updown 5m 1782490500	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x6c09d5…
06-26 16:17:10	btc updown 5m 1782490500	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x5455be…
06-26 16:02:11	btc updown 5m 1782489600	Up	BUY	16	70¢	$11	0x2c9f00…
06-26 16:01:35	btc updown 5m 1782489600	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xc88adc…
06-26 15:58:53	btc updown 5m 1782489300	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x04b688…
06-26 15:57:53	btc updown 5m 1782489300	Up	SELL	13	85¢	$11	0xcaf811…
06-26 15:57:41	btc updown 5m 1782489300	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xaadc89…
06-26 15:44:56	btc updown 5m 1782488400	Down	BUY	38	96¢	$37	0x4d71e8…
06-26 15:38:19	btc updown 5m 1782488100	Up	BUY	37	97¢	$36	0xcbbfcc…
06-26 15:37:56	btc updown 5m 1782488100	Up	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0x4e2f7f…
06-26 15:37:35	btc updown 5m 1782488100	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x878b52…
06-26 15:27:07	btc updown 5m 1782487500	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x9fe028…
06-19 18:42:58	Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x1817f1…
06-17 19:59:49	sol updown 5m 1781726100	Down	BUY	35	11¢	$4	0xe47486…
06-17 18:00:02	sol updown 5m 1781718900	Down	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x632810…
06-16 15:56:34	Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x2d01d6…
06-14 21:09:13	btc updown 5m 1781471100	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x3a1f20…
06-14 20:53:37	btc updown 5m 1781470200	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x178456…
06-14 20:34:06	btc updown 5m 1781469000	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xecbfc2…
06-14 20:33:40	btc updown 5m 1781469000	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x20c95e…
06-14 20:13:06	btc updown 5m 1781467800	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x3a8fc2…
06-14 20:07:04	btc updown 5m 1781467500	Up	BUY	8	43¢	$3	0x8268c9…
06-14 20:05:52	btc updown 5m 1781467500	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xe5ac35…
06-14 20:00:39	btc updown 5m 1781467200	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x4ee59c…
06-14 20:00:27	btc updown 5m 1781467200	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x631fb8…
06-14 19:56:46	btc updown 5m 1781466900	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x13a33f…
06-14 19:56:37	btc updown 5m 1781466900	Up	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0xafbdce…
06-14 19:56:27	btc updown 5m 1781466900	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x531810…
06-14 19:56:10	btc updown 5m 1781466900	Up	SELL	2	79¢	$1	0xc306ea…
06-14 19:55:54	btc updown 5m 1781466900	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xae30c4…
06-14 19:39:03	btc updown 5m 1781465700	Down	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0x467c52…
06-14 19:38:51	btc updown 5m 1781465700	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x908d0a…
06-14 19:38:24	btc updown 5m 1781465700	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x05ba1b…
06-14 19:38:15	btc updown 5m 1781465700	Down	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x083d4c…
06-14 19:37:34	btc updown 5m 1781465700	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x8e1991…
06-14 18:55:48	btc updown 5m 1781463000	Up	SELL	21	99¢	$20	0x22fe02…
06-14 18:54:19	btc updown 5m 1781463000	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xb24c0e…
06-14 18:50:55	btc updown 5m 1781463000	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x23b262…
06-14 18:47:46	btc updown 5m 1781462700	Down	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0xdf1640…
06-14 18:47:18	btc updown 5m 1781462700	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x139149…
06-14 18:44:22	btc updown 5m 1781462400	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x87e188…
06-14 18:44:01	btc updown 5m 1781462400	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x4d72a5…
06-14 18:41:40	btc updown 5m 1781462400	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x76d3b3…
06-14 13:44:22	cs2 mnte nem 2026 07 01	Team Nemesis	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x08ab96…
06-14 13:44:06	cs2 paina odk 2026 06 15	paiN Academy	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x22111d…
06-14 13:43:49	cs2 ruby1 inox 2026 06 14	ex-RUBY	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x05784a…
06-13 21:52:49	cs2 inf6 ruby1 2026 06 15	Infinite	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xff30ce…
06-13 21:38:58	cs2 paina odk 2026 06 15	paiN Academy	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x505d22…
06-13 21:36:39	cs2 ts7 9z 2026 06 13	9z	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x7bdefa…
06-13 21:32:43	cs2 bmb all 2026 06 14	BASEMENT BOYS	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xc90013…
06-13 21:28:37	cs2 prv all 2026 07 01	Alliance	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x93377e…
06-13 21:27:46	cs2 ts7 9z 2026 06 13	9z	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x90bd0d…
06-13 21:23:45	cs2 mnte nem 2026 07 01	Team Nemesis	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x1a07ed…
06-13 21:23:06	cs2 ruby1 inox 2026 06 14	ex-RUBY	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x7352e4…
06-13 21:22:48	cs2 k271 wal2 2026 06 14	Walczaki	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xf0c08f…
06-13 21:22:42	cs2 ts7 9z 2026 06 13	9z	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x0ec3da…
06-13 16:55:30	btc updown 5m 1781369700	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x8eb638…
06-13 16:45:42	btc updown 5m 1781369100	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x6d2b51…
06-13 16:45:42	btc updown 5m 1781369100	Up	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x42ba1b…
06-13 16:40:28	btc updown 5m 1781368800	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x1d1dfd…
06-13 16:11:07	btc updown 5m 1781367000	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xd87999…
06-13 16:11:07	btc updown 5m 1781367000	Down	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x34dc86…
06-13 15:58:24	btc updown 5m 1781366100	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x5dd7a7…
06-13 15:51:24	btc updown 5m 1781365800	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x5228f3…