Stiff-Butane — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$93

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.0%

Resolved

155

Trades

363

lifetime

Volume

$19.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$54

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 05-31 13:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 54% +$101

Other

0% 0% $-2

Politics

0% 0% $-1

Sports

0% 0% $-5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 153 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	5	$653	543	318	+225	Down	+$78	05-10 14:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	8	$530	391	391	+0	Down	+$30	05-11 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	4	$492	429	418	+11	Up	+$89	05-09 05:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	3	$477	283	283	+0	Down	+$77	05-09 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	7	$466	310	271	+39	Down	+$39	05-09 06:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	6	$462	258	258	+0	Up	+$30	05-11 14:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	4	$429	276	276	+0	Down	+$29	05-10 07:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	3	$427	232	232	+0	Down	+$27	05-10 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	2	$415	219	219	+0	Up	+$15	05-10 15:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	5	$321	304	177	+127	Up	$-89	05-10 14:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	8	$315	355	129	+226	Up	+$100	05-10 09:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	5	$302	169	169	+0	Down	+$22	05-10 14:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	8	$297	293	193	+100	Down	$-25	05-11 14:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	2	$284	159	159	+0	Down	+$24	05-09 04:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	3	$277	394	250	+144	Up	$-143	05-10 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	4	$268	141	141	+0	Up	+$8	05-10 14:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	3	$268	152	152	+0	Up	+$28	05-09 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	4	$258	276	29	+246	Down	+$16	05-10 13:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	2	$250	153	153	+0	Down	+$50	05-09 07:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	2	$246	169	169	+0	Down	+$46	05-09 05:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	2	$242	169	169	+0	Up	+$42	05-09 07:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	2	$238	161	161	+0	Down	+$38	05-09 04:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	2	$236	142	142	+0	Down	+$36	05-09 08:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$234	139	139	+0	Down	+$34	05-09 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	5	$231	204	204	+0	Down	$-19	05-11 10:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	2	$231	139	139	+0	Down	+$31	05-11 10:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	4	$229	157	150	+7	Down	+$9	05-10 14:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	2	$228	143	143	+0	Down	+$28	05-09 06:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	4	$227	154	109	+45	Down	$-17	05-11 14:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	2	$227	143	143	+0	Up	+$27	05-10 08:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-31 13:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xd8d2cd…
05-31 13:23:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xa5aa1e…
05-31 13:21:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x4edb44…
05-31 13:19:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xad6a3c…
05-31 13:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x64a355…
05-31 13:16:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xa8d3e3…
05-19 09:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x3a1c5b…
05-19 08:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x41a217…
05-19 08:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x2e0115…
05-19 08:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x4dd5fb…
05-16 07:00:07	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	58	9¢	$5	0xe48bfe…
05-16 06:59:07	Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?	No	SELL	27	53¢	$14	0x8e0611…
05-11 15:02:58	Will Jared Kushner attend Trump’s Xi summit?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x739da5…
05-11 15:02:53	Will Elon Musk attend Trump’s Xi summit?	No	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x4909e7…
05-11 15:02:42	Will any of Trump’s sons attend Trump’s Xi summit?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xcd93b8…
05-11 15:01:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	SELL	122	10¢	$12	0xdacf4a…
05-11 15:01:18	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xe19917…
05-11 15:01:13	Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x30dff7…
05-11 15:01:08	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	No	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0xdd7c51…
05-11 14:59:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xf4da60…
05-11 14:59:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	108	5¢	$5	0xafee21…
05-11 14:57:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x4a07b2…
05-11 14:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xd5de16…
05-11 14:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x7fa95f…
05-11 14:50:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0x53888c…
05-11 14:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0xd2be46…
05-11 14:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0xa6b769…
05-11 14:44:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	128	95¢	$122	0xfb8d97…
05-11 14:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x50d715…
05-11 14:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	26	90¢	$23	0x12c0e9…
05-11 14:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x9705cd…
05-11 14:43:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	45	78¢	$35	0x8eb7cc…
05-11 14:41:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	45	66¢	$30	0xb639ef…
05-11 14:40:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	192	52¢	$100	0x0b7d53…
05-11 14:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0xe94ef6…
05-11 14:38:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	105	97¢	$101	0x9073cd…
05-11 14:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	105	96¢	$100	0xb95bb2…
05-11 14:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	154	94¢	$145	0xcc9f41…
05-11 14:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x0e1395…
05-11 14:36:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0x56768d…
05-11 14:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xc41c03…
05-11 14:33:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x268246…
05-11 14:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	47	1¢	$0	0x25850b…
05-11 14:33:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	116	97¢	$113	0x74b72c…
05-11 14:32:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xaa7a52…
05-11 14:32:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xd6fc25…
05-11 14:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	47	64¢	$30	0xb773cc…
05-11 14:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	30	76¢	$23	0xa8a2d3…
05-11 14:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xf4b18b…
05-11 14:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	109	97¢	$105	0x48b384…
05-11 14:27:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x2aec0d…
05-11 14:27:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x89b1e4…
05-11 14:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x43d5cb…
05-11 14:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	24	95¢	$23	0x1d34b5…
05-11 14:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x720109…
05-11 14:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	32¢	$6	0x07853d…
05-11 14:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x3e3055…
05-11 14:11:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	34	83¢	$28	0xd76cd1…
05-11 14:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x36f20c…
05-11 14:09:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	43	44¢	$19	0x19e94b…
05-11 10:47:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	130	85¢	$111	0x4c51ed…
05-11 10:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0xafdc74…
05-11 10:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x978ad5…
05-11 10:41:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xcd3917…
05-11 10:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x6c2a51…
05-11 10:39:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	SELL	50	15¢	$7	0xc759f9…
05-11 10:38:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	SELL	154	64¢	$98	0x2c928d…
05-11 10:37:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x927a99…
05-11 10:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xc1b203…
05-11 10:35:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	35	58¢	$20	0x7eb81c…
05-11 10:34:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	SELL	139	94¢	$131	0x7bce25…
05-11 10:31:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0x8c8d0b…
05-11 10:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	116	98¢	$114	0xe65d2f…
05-11 10:28:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x8421c2…
05-11 10:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x8c8f3a…
05-11 10:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	37	81¢	$30	0xfdacf0…
05-11 10:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	123	98¢	$121	0xea1957…
05-11 10:17:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0xc600f9…
05-11 04:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x949c4a…
05-11 04:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xd027ce…
05-11 04:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xda01ff…
05-11 04:29:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x769969…
05-11 04:07:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x2ea608…
05-10 15:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	146	68¢	$100	0xc454d8…
05-10 15:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	219	98¢	$215	0x5cc3df…
05-10 15:02:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	219	91¢	$200	0x2a854c…
05-10 14:56:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x255645…
05-10 14:56:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xff4fe6…
05-10 14:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x29b058…
05-10 14:47:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	118	95¢	$112	0xf1503d…
05-10 14:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0xd9d714…
05-10 14:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x2da99e…
05-10 14:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	138	85¢	$117	0x40ab43…
05-10 14:37:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	12	18¢	$2	0x24a65f…
05-10 14:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	138	73¢	$100	0x0000d8…
05-10 14:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x765c18…
05-10 14:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	141	98¢	$138	0xe4d046…
05-10 14:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x63ab1d…
05-10 14:32:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xbe4a73…
05-10 14:32:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x15ae2f…