Stale-Stimulation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

101

lifetime

Volume

$16.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$168

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 04-30 09:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

52% 0% $-1

Sports

35% — —

Crypto

13% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	6	$1.1K	568	568	+0	open	—	04-05 06:19
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	4	$860	431	431	+0	open	—	04-01 00:16
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$842	421	421	+0	open	—	03-18 00:03
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$778	390	390	+0	open	—	04-06 10:17
Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$760	380	380	+0	open	—	03-03 09:00
will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	2	$504	252	252	+0	open	—	03-12 12:42
will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$496	248	248	+0	open	—	03-23 16:14
will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	2	$486	243	243	+0	open	—	03-20 09:02
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$484	243	243	+0	No	$-0	03-28 05:08
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$484	243	243	+0	open	—	03-25 11:36
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	2	$482	242	242	+0	No	$-0	03-29 16:38
Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	3	$481	241	241	+0	open	—	02-15 02:21
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$466	233	233	+0	open	—	04-17 11:34
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$428	214	214	+0	No	$-0	03-22 15:31
will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	2	$426	213	213	+0	open	—	03-11 21:15
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	2	$410	206	206	+0	No	$-0	03-31 09:05
will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	2	$406	203	203	+0	open	—	03-27 00:44
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$400	201	201	+0	open	—	04-01 12:26
Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?	2	$396	199	199	+0	open	—	04-08 06:33
will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	2	$392	196	196	+0	open	—	03-26 12:24
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	2	$386	193	193	+0	open	—	03-18 21:40
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$382	191	191	+0	open	—	04-01 20:17
Will Real Sociedad win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$380	190	190	+0	open	—	03-04 13:01
will zach johnson win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$376	188	188	+0	open	—	03-23 03:49
Will Valencia win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$368	184	184	+0	open	—	02-14 14:03
Will the Chicago Bulls win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	2	$356	179	179	+0	open	—	02-27 15:51
Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$354	178	178	+0	open	—	02-10 20:48
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	2	$354	177	177	+0	No	$-0	04-05 14:13
will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	2	$352	176	176	+0	open	—	03-22 21:38
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 520 539	2	$350	175	175	+0	open	—	03-02 06:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-30 09:26:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x12618e…
04-28 22:25:38	Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in April?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xa67c59…
04-17 11:34:10	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	233	100¢	$233	0xf2ec6d…
04-17 09:53:24	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	233	100¢	$233	0x7338fe…
04-16 09:30:46	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	SELL	158	100¢	$158	0x9fa117…
04-16 05:00:00	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	158	100¢	$158	0xb78274…
04-15 16:59:08	Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	167	100¢	$166	0xcba6aa…
04-15 12:14:24	Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	167	100¢	$166	0xc02f41…
04-15 01:27:36	Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	158	100¢	$158	0xeee1b0…
04-14 21:35:42	Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	158	100¢	$158	0xe15be5…
04-08 06:33:13	Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	199	99¢	$198	0x045b02…
04-07 20:17:19	Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	199	100¢	$198	0x77ce61…
04-06 10:17:55	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	189	100¢	$188	0x72018f…
04-06 04:58:07	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	189	100¢	$188	0x5c0709…
04-05 14:13:07	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	177	100¢	$177	0xd843f9…
04-05 09:39:35	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	177	100¢	$177	0xfadbd5…
04-05 06:19:23	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	170	100¢	$170	0xbd7278…
04-05 02:33:11	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	170	100¢	$170	0xeadc2b…
04-04 03:12:31	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	201	100¢	$201	0xccc597…
04-04 00:17:27	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	201	100¢	$201	0x12f997…
04-04 00:17:09	Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	174	100¢	$173	0xaf988e…
04-03 19:08:19	Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	174	100¢	$173	0x0eac1d…
04-01 20:17:51	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	191	100¢	$191	0x33f994…
04-01 16:21:53	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	191	100¢	$191	0x63a4f7…
04-01 12:26:21	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	201	99¢	$200	0x1dc133…
04-01 08:20:27	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0x00e786…
04-01 00:16:59	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	184	100¢	$183	0x5f8d08…
03-31 20:24:53	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	184	100¢	$183	0xe9d8f1…
03-31 09:05:43	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	206	100¢	$205	0x10dda7…
03-31 05:04:27	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	206	100¢	$205	0xb74fe9…
03-30 14:07:33	will ethereum reach 2800 in march 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x982f82…
03-29 16:38:32	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	242	100¢	$241	0x03b3eb…
03-29 12:47:58	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	242	100¢	$241	0xce416a…
03-29 08:59:08	will fred couples win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	168	100¢	$168	0xefa3f3…
03-29 05:09:10	will fred couples win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	168	100¢	$168	0x6113f4…
03-28 05:08:45	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	243	100¢	$242	0xc5c699…
03-27 22:54:01	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	243	100¢	$242	0x1bf3e2…
03-27 12:58:09	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	202	99¢	$201	0x50f705…
03-27 06:50:25	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	202	100¢	$201	0x8bbf02…
03-27 00:44:17	will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	No	SELL	203	100¢	$203	0xc51440…
03-26 18:36:59	will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	No	BUY	203	100¢	$203	0xe14f2f…
03-26 12:24:43	will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	No	SELL	196	100¢	$196	0xf1ac76…
03-26 06:15:57	will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	No	BUY	196	100¢	$196	0x5c1e07…
03-25 11:36:39	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	243	100¢	$242	0xa86599…
03-25 05:25:57	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	243	100¢	$242	0x74172f…
03-24 10:45:07	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	197	100¢	$196	0x65d9c3…
03-24 04:37:55	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	197	100¢	$196	0x3ef3cd…
03-23 16:14:35	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	248	100¢	$248	0x857e47…
03-23 10:02:03	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	248	100¢	$248	0xbf4d75…
03-23 03:49:59	will zach johnson win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	188	100¢	$188	0x92064c…
03-22 21:38:29	will zach johnson win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	188	100¢	$188	0xf1f1f6…
03-22 21:38:11	will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	No	SELL	176	100¢	$176	0x5b7853…
03-22 15:32:15	will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	No	BUY	176	100¢	$176	0x92103b…
03-22 15:31:59	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	214	100¢	$214	0x1b4603…
03-22 09:21:55	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	214	100¢	$214	0xeb437c…
03-22 09:21:39	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	247	100¢	$247	0xec3cd4…
03-22 03:15:31	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	247	100¢	$247	0x1e063c…
03-20 09:02:01	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	SELL	243	100¢	$243	0xd99c44…
03-19 19:16:05	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	BUY	243	100¢	$243	0x632e3b…
03-18 21:40:15	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	No	SELL	193	100¢	$193	0x7cc32d…
03-18 07:14:05	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	No	BUY	193	100¢	$193	0x351107…
03-18 00:03:23	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	234	100¢	$234	0x85e196…
03-17 16:48:01	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	234	100¢	$234	0xa1653e…
03-12 20:27:53	nba phx ind 2026 03 12	Pacers	BUY	53	23¢	$12	0x028608…
03-12 12:42:25	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	SELL	252	100¢	$252	0x3e14a2…
03-12 04:34:27	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	BUY	252	100¢	$252	0x372618…
03-11 21:15:09	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	No	SELL	213	100¢	$213	0x797e96…
03-11 14:07:25	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	No	BUY	213	100¢	$213	0x08441d…
03-10 16:42:29	nba min lal 2026 03 10	Lakers	BUY	36	45¢	$16	0xc35b44…
03-08 20:53:09	nba orl mil 2026 03 08	Magic	BUY	48	65¢	$31	0xfd019a…
03-07 16:38:41	nba gsw okc 2026 03 07	Thunder	BUY	25	87¢	$22	0xdf5bd2…
03-05 12:57:57	nba bkn mia 2026 03 05	Nets	BUY	46	14¢	$6	0xc64767…
03-05 12:57:25	nba tor min 2026 03 05	Raptors	BUY	54	33¢	$18	0xa07cc5…
03-04 13:01:13	Will Real Sociedad win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	190	100¢	$190	0xe91907…
03-04 05:57:09	Will Real Sociedad win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	190	100¢	$190	0x9a3a92…
03-03 18:31:37	nba bkn mia 2026 03 03	Nets	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x0250c8…
03-03 18:31:03	nba nyk tor 2026 03 03	Knicks	BUY	49	57¢	$28	0xb50221…
03-03 18:30:31	nba dal cha 2026 03 03	Mavericks	BUY	34	15¢	$5	0xd9f0b7…
03-03 09:02:05	nba sas phi 2026 03 03	76ers	BUY	39	27¢	$10	0x03e69d…
03-03 09:01:33	nba phx sac 2026 03 03	Suns	BUY	35	80¢	$28	0x2b6956…
03-03 09:01:03	nba nyk tor 2026 03 03	Raptors	BUY	40	42¢	$17	0xa1cfb2…
03-03 09:00:49	Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	201	100¢	$201	0xc3437a…
03-03 00:53:15	Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	201	100¢	$201	0x6a34f2…
03-02 06:00:39	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 520 539	No	SELL	175	100¢	$175	0x83ca8a…
03-01 23:20:47	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 520 539	No	BUY	175	100¢	$175	0x89f2a2…
02-28 07:43:15	will ethereum dip to 1200 in february 2026	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x87a957…
02-28 07:42:55	ethereum above 2000 on february 28	No	BUY	123	99¢	$122	0x943738…
02-28 07:42:31	bitcoin above 68k on february 28	No	BUY	55	99¢	$55	0xcb4d91…
02-27 15:51:07	Will the Chicago Bulls win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	SELL	179	100¢	$178	0x3cd522…
02-27 08:30:09	Will the Chicago Bulls win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	BUY	179	100¢	$178	0x0e60b9…
02-15 02:21:37	Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	241	100¢	$240	0xa1b9ab…
02-14 14:18:33	Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0x55e321…
02-14 14:07:25	Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0x36b22a…
02-14 14:03:23	Will Valencia win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	184	100¢	$184	0x8f113f…
02-13 23:19:29	Will Valencia win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	184	100¢	$184	0xd35865…
02-12 10:43:33	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	187	100¢	$187	0xe2a0e9…
02-12 01:49:51	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	187	100¢	$187	0xb99139…
02-10 20:48:37	Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	178	100¢	$177	0x181509…
02-10 08:21:03	Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	178	100¢	$177	0x835fa0…
02-10 08:20:41	Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	179	100¢	$179	0xa22667…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	40	$4.99K	5,295	04-27 02:25
Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9	36	$111.1K	1,286	03-13 01:01
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	36	$28.2K	641	04-27 23:42
Spirited-Motion 0x70b6…aa2f	34	$518	721	04-07 02:38
Probable-Farrow 0x6814…a9e7	33	$493.4K	32,468	04-21 23:39
Lucky-Congressperson 0x5c0b…4d31	33	$1.34K	456	03-30 17:02
Real-Veteran 0xe8dd…ec86	30	$3.61M	53,210	04-28 09:54
Well-Documented-Hit 0x30ce…6b2b	30	$744.4K	48,209	04-09 19:47