Sad-Spine — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.0%

Resolved

Trades

378

lifetime

Volume

$644

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 05-18 15:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 16% +$12

Other

1% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 75 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	2	$112	1,913	1,777	+136	open	—	04-17 14:09
btc updown 5m 1776445800	2	$29	18	18	+1	open	—	04-17 17:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	2	$17	17	17	+0	Down	+$16	05-13 19:15
btc updown 5m 1776096900	2	$14	13	13	+1	open	—	04-13 16:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	3	$12	10	10	+0	open	—	04-29 18:21
btc updown 5m 1776447000	2	$12	16	0	+16	open	—	04-17 17:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	2	$12	11	11	+0	Up	+$10	05-13 19:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	5	$11	8	8	+0	open	—	04-29 19:20
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	1	$11	73	0	+73	open	—	04-17 20:29
btc updown 5m 1776443700	1	$11	13	0	+13	open	—	04-17 16:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	4	$11	8	8	+0	open	—	05-02 15:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	10	$10	23	0	+23	open	—	05-04 16:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	8	$8	119	0	+119	open	—	05-04 17:03
btc updown 5m 1776629100	7	$8	23	0	+23	open	—	04-19 20:08
btc updown 5m 1776093300	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	04-13 15:20
btc updown 5m 1776097500	2	$7	7	6	+0	open	—	04-13 16:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	7	$7	142	0	+142	open	—	05-04 16:54
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?	2	$6	9	9	+0	open	—	04-22 15:36
eth updown 5m 1776093900	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	04-13 15:30
btc updown 5m 1776436800	3	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	04-17 14:45
btc updown 5m 1776098700	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	04-13 16:50
btc updown 5m 1776449100	3	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	04-17 18:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	5	$5	58	0	+58	open	—	05-04 16:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	4	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	05-01 15:17
btc updown 5m 1776098400	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-13 16:45
btc updown 5m 1776435600	3	$4	15	2	+13	open	—	04-17 14:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	4	$4	56	0	+56	open	—	05-04 16:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	4	$4	19	0	+19	open	—	05-01 16:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	4	$4	11	0	+11	open	—	04-29 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-02 13:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-18 15:12:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0xc2a332…
05-18 15:03:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xfe6e17…
05-18 14:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x4b1d31…
05-18 14:47:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x37f530…
05-17 19:43:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xa56e12…
05-17 19:41:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xa1c14a…
05-17 19:40:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x6107bb…
05-17 19:24:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x4713bc…
05-17 19:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xb99273…
05-17 19:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x7a27be…
05-17 18:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xb817ed…
05-17 18:38:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x442b75…
05-17 18:27:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xc903f0…
05-17 18:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xe3a722…
05-16 20:54:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x555446…
05-15 20:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x9a289d…
05-15 20:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xf1ec5c…
05-15 20:30:05	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x473d38…
05-15 20:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x1fe363…
05-15 20:21:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x08848c…
05-15 20:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x97d030…
05-15 20:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x3a4cb6…
05-15 19:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x267b53…
05-15 19:42:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x2ab100…
05-15 19:31:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xd88d3e…
05-15 19:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x2e0982…
05-15 19:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x1b98b4…
05-15 19:23:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xa5be51…
05-15 18:12:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x0456b2…
05-15 18:08:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x6157ef…
05-14 21:38:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x618e43…
05-14 20:39:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x149065…
05-14 20:27:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xb0c92e…
05-14 20:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xec80e0…
05-14 20:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x3e3b7c…
05-14 20:12:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x6288ed…
05-14 19:58:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xefcd27…
05-14 19:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x4f2cfa…
05-14 19:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x4f10b2…
05-14 19:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x0fc7dd…
05-14 19:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x4b167f…
05-14 19:32:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x1f176a…
05-14 19:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x3f4dbc…
05-14 19:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xb5581d…
05-14 19:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xcf2214…
05-14 18:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x9952db…
05-14 18:13:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x6f1076…
05-14 11:33:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x0a86e1…
05-14 11:27:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x540150…
05-14 11:22:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xaefc09…
05-14 11:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x3efa4f…
05-13 19:52:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x0b6412…
05-13 19:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x2b2108…
05-13 19:37:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x325cfa…
05-13 19:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	17	99¢	$16	0x02f41e…
05-13 19:14:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x0fcb42…
05-13 18:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x0f80be…
05-13 18:32:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xd5c1b6…
05-13 18:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xa2a7c7…
05-13 18:02:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x417171…
05-13 17:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xaf624f…
05-13 16:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x225196…
05-12 18:48:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x23bcec…
05-12 18:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xf33fc4…
05-12 18:36:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xed1640…
05-12 18:32:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xcd809b…
05-12 18:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	75	1¢	$1	0x248b74…
05-12 18:05:36	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0xbb77a9…
05-12 18:05:10	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xdfbdf2…
05-12 18:04:47	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x62e526…
05-12 17:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc6ad40…
05-12 13:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x1efd1f…
05-12 09:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x3b3b8f…
05-12 09:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xf85bbf…
05-12 09:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa0a6da…
05-12 09:03:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0xceedc7…
05-07 16:53:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xe93ee8…
05-04 18:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x72fdb6…
05-04 18:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xe6603c…
05-04 17:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xc3000c…
05-04 17:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xbacb5b…
05-04 17:30:12	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0x054dc0…
05-04 17:30:08	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x823212…
05-04 17:13:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x652259…
05-04 17:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xf27aae…
05-04 17:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x2bfd1a…
05-04 17:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x64e920…
05-04 17:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xc97312…
05-04 17:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x00fece…
05-04 17:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x5f01c7…
05-04 17:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x3432bc…
05-04 17:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x02e94f…
05-04 17:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x864e51…
05-04 17:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x046e1c…
05-04 16:58:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x5353eb…
05-04 16:57:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x8a883d…
05-04 16:57:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xe18a2e…
05-04 16:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xf79026…
05-04 16:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x5561b3…
05-04 16:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x220587…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	219	$136.0K	5,492	05-25 16:23
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	206	$67.2K	18,700	05-18 15:13
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	206	$62.6K	9,444	05-18 15:13
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	205	$58.1K	16,897	05-18 15:13
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	204	$69.1K	10,770	05-18 15:13
Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08	203	$17.4K	4,518	05-18 15:12
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	200	$58.3K	4,060	05-18 15:12
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	198	$142.0K	8,575	05-18 15:11