Major-Derby-Silicon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$61

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

43.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$353

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-14 12:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

65% 21% $-41

Politics

35% 0% $-20

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$100	1,149	0	+1,149	open	—	05-04 17:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	2	$32	21	21	+0	Up	+$10	05-12 13:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	2	$28	24	24	+0	open	—	05-14 11:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	2	$27	19	19	+0	open	—	05-14 12:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	2	$27	17	17	+0	open	—	05-14 12:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	3	$23	40	40	+0	Up	+$3	05-12 13:39
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	1	$20	20,000	0	+20,000	Yes	$-20	05-09 09:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	3	$12	42	0	+42	open	—	05-14 12:07
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 9?	1	$10	6,076	0	+6,076	Yes	$-10	05-09 10:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	1	$10	125	0	+125	open	—	05-14 11:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	1	$10	59	0	+59	Down	$-10	05-12 13:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	05-14 11:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	1	$10	27	0	+27	Down	$-10	05-12 13:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	1	$10	33	0	+33	Down	$-10	05-12 13:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	1	$8	400	0	+400	Down	$-8	05-09 08:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	+$1	05-12 13:25
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$3	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	05-13 10:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	2	$2	7	0	+7	Up	$-1	05-12 13:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	2	$2	110	0	+110	Down	$-2	05-09 09:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	2	$2	9	0	+9	Down	$-1	05-09 09:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	1	$1	50	0	+50	Up	$-1	05-09 08:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	05-09 09:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	1	$1	6	0	+6	Down	$-1	05-09 09:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 12:07:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x01b2b4…
05-14 12:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xbaafeb…
05-14 12:07:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x3fb1f6…
05-14 12:02:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	19	91¢	$17	0x2c593a…
05-14 12:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xb4a4a6…
05-14 12:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x655b4d…
05-14 11:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	17	56¢	$10	0x9882c5…
05-14 11:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x8afbb0…
05-14 11:48:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	24	85¢	$20	0xb42923…
05-14 11:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	24	34¢	$8	0x5a1d20…
05-14 11:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0xea3a52…
05-13 10:40:11	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0x2139e5…
05-12 13:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xc6014f…
05-12 13:51:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xbe5f98…
05-12 13:48:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xe04793…
05-12 13:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xfdceac…
05-12 13:41:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	21	53¢	$11	0x5e9891…
05-12 13:39:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0xedd926…
05-12 13:38:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0x079682…
05-12 13:36:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x19c469…
05-12 13:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xe6c503…
05-12 13:32:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x48132a…
05-12 13:25:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xa3e862…
05-09 10:54:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	6,076	0¢	$10	0x0e51ff…
05-09 09:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xd31088…
05-09 09:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x052dcf…
05-09 09:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8caac6…
05-09 09:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x369e53…
05-09 09:44:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcbe7c2…
05-09 09:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xabf23c…
05-09 09:38:40	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20,000	0¢	$20	0x2a0d28…
05-09 08:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	400	2¢	$8	0x537bd0…
05-09 08:39:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x08db1e…
05-04 17:30:48	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	BUY	1,149	9¢	$100	0x599687…