Quarterly-Differential — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

14.5%

Resolved

Trades

250

lifetime

Volume

$1.26K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-02

last 05-28 02:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

75% — —

Other

13% 20% +$2

Politics

11% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 173 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	27	$131	202	0	+202	open	—	05-02 13:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	12	$113	99	99	+0	open	—	05-02 14:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	16	$79	164	0	+164	open	—	05-02 15:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	8	$71	82	82	+0	open	—	05-02 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	18	$64	126	0	+126	open	—	05-02 14:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	13	$62	116	0	+116	open	—	05-02 13:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	5	$59	44	44	+0	open	—	05-02 14:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	14	$58	164	0	+164	open	—	05-02 15:43
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	8	$56	81	81	+0	open	—	05-02 17:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	4	$53	33	33	+0	open	—	05-02 14:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	11	$53	66	0	+66	open	—	05-02 13:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	9	$49	75	75	+0	open	—	05-02 16:17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	4	$45	0	90	-90	open	—	05-06 11:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	5	$40	40	40	+0	open	—	05-02 16:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	8	$33	44	0	+44	open	—	05-02 14:38
UK Cabinet Minister resigns by May 31, 2026?	14	$32	0	75	-75	open	—	05-13 14:29
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?	8	$31	0	65	-65	open	—	05-08 07:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	3	$30	33	0	+33	open	—	05-02 13:43
Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	4	$24	0	46	-46	open	—	05-07 10:11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	2	$22	0	42	-42	open	—	05-06 11:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	7	$18	36	0	+36	open	—	05-02 13:31
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	5	$18	0	36	-36	open	—	05-10 23:01
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	3	$11	0	20	-20	open	—	05-21 00:10
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	2	$11	0	22	-22	Yes	$-0	05-07 08:21
Will Putin visit China by May 31?	3	$10	0	20	-20	open	—	05-13 02:23
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?	4	$10	0	20	-20	open	—	05-13 11:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	4	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	05-02 14:50
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	3	$9	0	14	-14	open	—	05-13 10:27
NHL Playoffs: Canadiens vs. Hurricanes Total Games O/U 5.5	4	$8	0	16	-16	open	—	05-28 02:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	1	$6	11	0	+11	open	—	05-02 11:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-28 02:10:31	NHL Playoffs: Canadiens vs. Hurricanes Total Games O/U 5.5	Under 5.5	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0x31143a…
05-23 22:38:56	NHL Playoffs: Canadiens vs. Hurricanes Total Games O/U 5.5	Under 5.5	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x9cc025…
05-22 02:08:13	NHL Playoffs: Canadiens vs. Hurricanes Total Games O/U 5.5	Over 5.5	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0x174358…
05-21 21:17:49	NHL Playoffs: Canadiens vs. Hurricanes Total Games O/U 5.5	Under 5.5	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0xc600db…
05-21 00:10:59	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	No	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0x16f3d2…
05-20 21:18:24	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25?	Yes	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0xa75d1f…
05-20 20:52:57	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x767cd6…
05-20 20:07:02	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x10b454…
05-20 19:46:51	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0xfac144…
05-13 14:29:26	UK Cabinet Minister resigns by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0xb1758f…
05-13 11:39:34	Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	13¢	$0	0xf60ef0…
05-13 10:27:07	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x0a571c…
05-13 10:26:55	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x790cae…
05-13 10:19:13	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0x62a272…
05-13 10:13:47	UK Cabinet Minister resigns by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x82dbf2…
05-13 10:13:30	UK Cabinet Minister resigns by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x890bf7…
05-13 10:12:56	UK Cabinet Minister resigns by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x2e8c52…
05-13 09:59:54	UK Cabinet Minister resigns by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x2ec420…
05-13 02:23:35	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0x42677a…
05-12 23:19:19	UK Cabinet Minister resigns by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	49¢	$6	0xe3ea60…
05-12 20:48:05	Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0xb8a056…
05-12 19:42:24	Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x3768e3…
05-12 19:40:09	Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x79af29…
05-12 19:16:06	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	No	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x1335e8…
05-12 19:11:38	UK Cabinet Minister resigns by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0xa58412…
05-12 19:11:26	UK Cabinet Minister resigns by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x794f47…
05-12 19:06:40	UK Cabinet Minister resigns by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x7b8d6d…
05-12 19:02:16	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	No	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x24658b…
05-12 18:51:46	UK Cabinet Minister resigns by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x0446c8…
05-12 18:51:30	UK Cabinet Minister resigns by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x46d392…
05-12 18:48:14	UK Cabinet Minister resigns by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x9e601b…
05-12 18:48:14	UK Cabinet Minister resigns by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	69¢	$0	0x4c10b5…
05-12 18:37:13	UK Cabinet Minister resigns by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0xe8cc00…
05-11 18:45:22	Lillestrøm SK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 1.5	Under	SELL	3	15¢	$0	0x41946b…
05-10 23:01:56	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x6c333f…
05-10 22:33:57	Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	90k	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x95870e…
05-10 22:26:45	Will Solana reach $100 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0xd23dae…
05-10 22:07:27	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x3e1741…
05-10 22:01:19	Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	70k	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x2ad87f…
05-10 21:36:23	Will Solana reach $100 in May?	No	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0xfe2eae…
05-10 16:51:52	Lillestrøm SK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0x105a2b…
05-09 16:16:54	Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?	No	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0xe2ebc1…
05-09 14:23:04	Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Cirstea (+1.5)	Cirstea	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x2a18b9…
05-09 14:22:11	Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Cirstea (+1.5)	Sabalenka	SELL	4	71¢	$3	0x0f3127…
05-09 14:18:36	Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x2a4cad…
05-09 13:40:59	Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Beijing Ducks	Beijing Ducks	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0xa6e0e6…
05-08 11:27:01	KBO: LG Twins vs. Hanwha Eagles	LG Twins	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x15f633…
05-08 11:26:57	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x42bc1b…
05-08 11:25:40	KBO: LG Twins vs. Hanwha Eagles	Hanwha Eagles	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x236f0b…
05-08 10:53:14	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x26d8d2…
05-08 07:43:09	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?	No	SELL	35	34¢	$12	0x1cd63c…
05-07 20:09:31	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?	No	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x03077d…
05-07 20:08:07	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0x957ba2…
05-07 19:56:30	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x3b078c…
05-07 19:56:29	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0xca9093…
05-07 19:56:06	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?	Yes	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x2e4b5a…
05-07 19:55:48	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?	Yes	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0xd0c5bb…
05-07 19:55:13	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	70¢	$3	0x33d556…
05-07 10:11:31	Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	7	68¢	$5	0xd3dbe8…
05-07 08:21:42	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	SELL	11	39¢	$4	0x431d8c…
05-07 08:11:49	Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	5	68¢	$4	0x3e4041…
05-06 11:46:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	21	58¢	$12	0x76ede8…
05-06 11:26:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	21	49¢	$10	0x724e22…
05-06 11:04:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	19	80¢	$16	0xe154af…
05-06 11:03:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0x96b0a5…
05-06 11:02:42	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	No	SELL	11	57¢	$6	0x37a121…
05-06 11:01:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	21¢	$9	0x228ebe…
05-06 11:00:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	22	80¢	$18	0x1423ee…
05-06 09:08:10	Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	37¢	$8	0xac077b…
05-06 08:57:22	Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0x73719c…
05-06 08:04:38	Wuxi: Andre Ilagan vs Dane Sweeny	Andre Ilagan	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0x963be6…
05-06 08:01:26	Wuxi: Andre Ilagan vs Dane Sweeny	Dane Sweeny	SELL	3	66¢	$2	0xbf74ff…
05-05 21:20:06	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	61¢	$0	0xd017d4…
05-05 21:18:54	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	39¢	$0	0xc38ce8…
05-05 19:10:54	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	8	38¢	$3	0x1b0e0d…
05-05 18:31:04	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	13	60¢	$8	0x32d507…
05-05 18:25:22	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x6102d9…
05-02 17:12:50	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	No	SELL	59	17¢	$10	0x85317d…
05-02 17:11:32	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	Yes	SELL	11	80¢	$9	0x4ce7fa…
05-02 17:10:24	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	No	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x2c4243…
05-02 17:08:38	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	No	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0x621db0…
05-02 17:08:16	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	No	BUY	29	18¢	$5	0x354ba2…
05-02 17:06:30	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	Yes	BUY	11	80¢	$9	0xdf0b42…
05-02 17:04:30	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	Yes	SELL	11	79¢	$9	0xd10b32…
05-02 17:03:54	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	Yes	BUY	11	82¢	$9	0x23d831…
05-02 16:32:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	SELL	18	23¢	$4	0x8c1525…
05-02 16:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	SELL	22	71¢	$16	0x04cd67…
05-02 16:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	68¢	$7	0x028264…
05-02 16:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	71¢	$8	0x77712d…
05-02 16:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xbbdb98…
05-02 16:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	75	29¢	$22	0x354ca3…
05-02 16:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	17	28¢	$5	0x372b5b…
05-02 16:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0x277ab9…
05-02 16:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xd1aed0…
05-02 16:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xb59325…
05-02 16:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x643872…
05-02 16:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x2b5fed…
05-02 16:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0x26fdf8…
05-02 16:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x72210f…
05-02 16:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	11	51¢	$6	0xeef312…