Bogus-Mentor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$770

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 05-22 23:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

77% 67% +$21

Crypto

16% 38% $-17

Politics

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the february meeting	11	$524	4,960	0	+4,960	open	—	01-10 13:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	6	$28	22	22	+0	Up	+$2	05-10 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	4	$24	25	25	+0	Down	$-6	05-10 18:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	7	$19	31	25	+6	Up	+$1	05-10 19:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	3	$17	19	19	+0	Down	+$3	05-10 18:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$16	10	10	+0	open	—	05-05 01:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	3	$15	21	9	+12	Up	$-5	05-10 18:47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	2	$11	6	6	+0	Yes	+$1	05-11 03:42
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	05-09 06:51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	2	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	05-13 01:04
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	04-28 02:12
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	04-28 02:12
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?	1	$10	34	0	+34	Yes	+$24	04-25 04:16
will khamenei leave iran by jan 16 974	1	$10	83	0	+83	open	—	01-09 23:32
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	1	$10	27	0	+27	open	—	01-08 01:30
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	2	$9	102	102	+0	open	—	05-09 06:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	2	$7	30	0	+30	Down	$-7	05-10 19:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	5	$6	18	9	+8	Up	$-0	05-10 19:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	2	$6	14	14	+0	Up	$-4	05-10 19:16
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on May 6?	1	$5	7	0	+7	No	$-5	05-05 16:38
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	1	$5	29	0	+29	open	—	01-09 20:49
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	05-22 23:23
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-22 23:23
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	05-22 23:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 23:23:53	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x62ea6d…
05-22 23:23:44	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xf9d4fd…
05-22 23:23:27	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x187e4d…
05-13 01:04:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	SELL	7	80¢	$6	0x627256…
05-11 03:43:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x82d1c1…
05-11 03:42:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x935303…
05-10 19:31:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xc32584…
05-10 19:30:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xc3d601…
05-10 19:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xba30c4…
05-10 19:27:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x51fc6d…
05-10 19:26:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x9e98b7…
05-10 19:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	12	32¢	$4	0xe59549…
05-10 19:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x9984c5…
05-10 19:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	11	44¢	$5	0x623d0b…
05-10 19:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x416409…
05-10 19:24:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x4e3fed…
05-10 19:23:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x358938…
05-10 19:23:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	3	11¢	$0	0xc2dcae…
05-10 19:22:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x6306ab…
05-10 19:22:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	11	64¢	$7	0xdf4fd8…
05-10 19:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x8e1c4b…
05-10 19:16:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	14	6¢	$1	0x0ec639…
05-10 19:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xdc43be…
05-10 19:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xf85493…
05-10 19:07:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x277324…
05-10 19:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x27eb7a…
05-10 19:06:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xab7b83…
05-10 19:05:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x0581fe…
05-10 18:58:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	19	51¢	$10	0x544ded…
05-10 18:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x919e70…
05-10 18:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x00bab2…
05-10 18:52:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	8	92¢	$7	0xd62525…
05-10 18:51:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	17	11¢	$2	0xe515d4…
05-10 18:51:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x581ff6…
05-10 18:49:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x5c384a…
05-10 18:47:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xc5dfd9…
05-10 18:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	9	56¢	$5	0xb040e8…
05-10 18:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x0147e4…
05-09 06:51:27	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	102	3¢	$4	0x71620a…
05-09 06:51:06	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x165730…
05-08 13:20:07	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	102	5¢	$5	0xa44010…
05-08 03:55:53	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x8c7c5b…
05-08 03:51:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x410635…
05-05 16:38:24	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x33ec95…
05-05 01:45:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0xbd292c…
05-04 01:30:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xa2ee7a…
04-28 02:12:52	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0x02ce84…
04-28 02:12:44	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x7e955d…
04-25 19:06:46	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x67624b…
04-25 19:06:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x18347c…
04-25 04:16:24	Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x5ef2ba…
01-10 13:28:18	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the february meeting	Yes	BUY	190	10¢	$19	0xbd44c8…
01-09 23:32:50	will khamenei leave iran by jan 16 974	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x24f4a7…
01-09 20:49:48	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x5bd62a…
01-09 20:49:24	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the february meeting	Yes	BUY	191	10¢	$20	0xdbad3a…
01-09 20:48:48	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the february meeting	Yes	BUY	620	10¢	$62	0x2ac89f…
01-09 11:18:58	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the february meeting	Yes	BUY	87	11¢	$10	0x31dda0…
01-08 14:30:18	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the february meeting	Yes	BUY	183	11¢	$21	0x87ab2f…
01-08 12:54:55	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the february meeting	Yes	BUY	62	11¢	$7	0x3fb8a0…
01-08 12:48:55	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the february meeting	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xd596d4…
01-08 02:43:19	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the february meeting	Yes	BUY	743	13¢	$100	0x393551…
01-08 02:23:43	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the february meeting	Yes	BUY	774	13¢	$100	0x1a4844…
01-08 02:22:49	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the february meeting	Yes	BUY	973	10¢	$100	0x2b2cff…
01-08 01:43:17	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the february meeting	Yes	BUY	1,047	7¢	$75	0xb9bea5…
01-08 01:30:23	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xf835ea…