Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.56K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.3%

Resolved

102

Trades

418

lifetime

Volume

$40.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$97

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 08-21 21:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Politics

45% 62% $-2,280

Other

42% 67% +$61

Crypto

12% 76% $-342

Tech

1% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	30	$5.3K	6,704	6,704	+0	No	$-797	03-03 21:03
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	17	$3.0K	1,581	1,581	+0	No	$-6	03-30 20:14
khamenei seen in public by february 28 888 166	8	$2.5K	1,307	1,307	+0	No	+$115	02-28 20:47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	17	$2.2K	1,727	1,892	-165	No	$-338	04-08 05:16
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	4	$2.1K	2,273	100	+2,173	Yes	$-1,924	02-26 21:31
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	4	$1.8K	1,592	1,592	+0	No	+$37	03-30 20:47
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	4	$1.6K	894	894	+0	Yes	+$200	03-30 19:44
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	4	$1.5K	762	762	+0	No	+$23	02-22 03:37
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	1	$1.3K	1,343	0	+1,343	No	+$26	02-24 19:49
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	7	$1.2K	1,317	0	+1,317	No	+$105	02-20 23:47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?	5	$1.2K	620	620	+0	No	+$52	06-15 21:25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $110 in April?	5	$958	2,302	380	+1,922	Yes	$-334	04-07 19:46
iran leadership change by march 31	6	$929	939	0	+939	No	+$10	03-30 23:02
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	3	$848	986	0	+986	No	+$138	02-22 17:36
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	11	$837	480	480	+0	No	+$24	03-25 17:57
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	8	$743	450	450	+0	No	$-5	03-01 21:20
Iran leadership change by April 30?	2	$661	372	372	+0	No	+$0	04-06 11:38
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	1	$577	696	0	+696	Yes	+$118	03-03 21:04
will trump say nato during address to the nation 235	3	$552	300	300	+0	No	+$6	04-02 00:26
will wti reach 110 in june 2026 658 257 353	6	$470	245	245	+0	No	+$14	06-20 23:18
btc updown 15m 1770678000	4	$438	460	0	+460	Up	+$22	02-09 23:14
btc updown 15m 1770681600	6	$435	480	10	+470	Up	$-433	02-10 00:13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	6	$426	520	0	+520	No	+$94	05-20 14:42
will wti dip to 85 in august 2026	2	$400	220	220	+0	Yes	+$39	08-02 21:37
btc updown 15m 1770680700	5	$395	430	30	+400	Down	+$5	02-09 23:54
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	8	$390	203	203	+0	No	+$6	02-21 01:03
will wti reach 95 in june 2026 from june 10	2	$386	200	200	+0	No	+$10	06-22 21:13
will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	2	$348	400	400	+0	open	—	08-21 21:18
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	9	$340	187	187	+0	Yes	+$1	02-22 17:19
will trump say oil or gas 3 times during address to the nation	7	$318	200	200	+0	Yes	+$2	04-02 01:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-21 21:26:39	btc updown 5m 1787347500	Up	SELL	19	57¢	$11	0xbf1e84…
08-21 21:24:40	btc updown 5m 1787347500	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xd4bb93…
08-21 21:24:40	btc updown 5m 1787347500	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x8ef5d7…
08-21 21:21:55	btc updown 5m 1787347200	Down	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0x650450…
08-21 21:21:28	btc updown 5m 1787347200	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xa8453e…
08-21 21:18:21	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	Yes	SELL	400	7¢	$28	0xa416e0…
08-09 03:42:54	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	Yes	BUY	400	80¢	$320	0xa85d0b…
08-03 09:59:30	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	330	71¢	$234	0xd15244…
08-02 21:37:08	will wti dip to 85 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	220	100¢	$220	0x438bc0…
07-31 21:25:48	will wti dip to 85 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	220	82¢	$180	0x009ae1…
07-05 08:52:37	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	Brazil	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0xa1843c…
06-22 21:18:53	will wti reach 80 in june 2026 from june 16	Yes	SELL	80	26¢	$20	0xdaf4f5…
06-22 21:13:49	will wti reach 95 in june 2026 from june 10	No	SELL	200	99¢	$198	0xabed1c…
06-22 21:12:08	will wti reach 80 in june 2026 from june 16	Yes	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0x34cf8d…
06-21 05:55:02	will wti reach 80 in june 2026 from june 16	Yes	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0xba7a76…
06-20 23:18:58	will wti reach 110 in june 2026 658 257 353	No	SELL	245	99¢	$242	0xb9bb77…
06-16 23:57:02	will wti reach 95 in june 2026 from june 10	No	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0x5fb95f…
06-16 00:48:15	will wti crude oil wti hit low 75 in june 987	Yes	BUY	41	51¢	$21	0x12b129…
06-15 22:26:58	will wti crude oil wti hit low 75 in june 987	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xac5a02…
06-15 21:54:22	will wti crude oil wti hit low 75 in june 987	Yes	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xe3d806…
06-15 21:25:39	will wti reach 120 in june 2026 243	No	SELL	155	99¢	$153	0xb39706…
06-14 21:08:25	will wti reach 110 in june 2026 658 257 353	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x2ebfb5…
06-14 20:20:40	will wti reach 110 in june 2026 658 257 353	No	BUY	143	93¢	$133	0xfc135d…
06-14 19:52:18	will wti reach 110 in june 2026 658 257 353	No	BUY	39	93¢	$37	0x384aa7…
06-14 18:42:22	will wti reach 110 in june 2026 658 257 353	No	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0x5fbfec…
06-14 18:17:12	will wti reach 110 in june 2026 658 257 353	No	BUY	41	93¢	$38	0xbbaa53…
06-13 23:32:36	will wti reach 120 in june 2026 243	No	SELL	465	97¢	$450	0x927a3c…
05-31 22:11:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?	No	BUY	556	89¢	$494	0x6cc56f…
05-31 21:21:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x7c935b…
05-31 19:46:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?	No	BUY	14	89¢	$13	0x69bad1…
05-24 00:11:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	SELL	60	89¢	$53	0xb645e8…
05-23 12:46:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	BUY	60	78¢	$47	0xa5dc7e…
05-20 14:42:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	70	82¢	$58	0x15f458…
05-20 14:41:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	14	82¢	$11	0x545b5c…
05-20 14:41:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	44	82¢	$36	0x4b326c…
05-20 14:41:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x0e8001…
05-20 14:41:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	193	82¢	$158	0x973790…
05-20 14:37:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	193	82¢	$158	0x888f76…
05-03 19:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	39	11¢	$4	0x8dfc8e…
05-03 19:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	109	23¢	$25	0xcc698d…
05-03 19:27:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	53	51¢	$27	0xc68d18…
05-03 19:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0xa06b4f…
05-03 19:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	58	81¢	$47	0xddf6cb…
05-03 19:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0x09ba99…
05-03 19:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	36	27¢	$10	0x5b9a7e…
05-03 19:21:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xb4c89a…
05-03 19:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	6	91¢	$6	0x17cb64…
05-03 19:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x878055…
05-03 14:43:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x35b042…
05-03 14:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x7101d9…
04-08 05:18:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	Yes	BUY	395	53¢	$209	0x574d1b…
04-08 05:16:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	SELL	929	22¢	$204	0x94a1a8…
04-07 19:46:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $110 in April?	No	BUY	1,718	16¢	$275	0x3010fa…
04-07 16:35:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $110 in April?	No	BUY	204	18¢	$37	0x7da696…
04-07 16:35:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $110 in April?	Yes	SELL	335	82¢	$275	0x7da696…
04-07 16:31:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $110 in April?	Yes	SELL	45	82¢	$37	0x074019…
04-07 15:56:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	482	79¢	$381	0x037b0e…
04-07 13:09:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x55db3a…
04-07 13:08:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	300	79¢	$237	0x403f43…
04-07 13:05:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	88	79¢	$70	0xf20ccb…
04-07 13:04:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	46	79¢	$36	0xd118e5…
04-07 02:21:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	SELL	875	78¢	$682	0x8010c3…
04-07 02:21:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	SELL	66	78¢	$52	0x2512b8…
04-06 23:23:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	380	88¢	$335	0x888c90…
04-06 11:38:25	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	SELL	372	89¢	$331	0xbb2f21…
04-02 23:27:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	542	69¢	$374	0x6d7ebf…
04-02 23:19:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	32	69¢	$22	0x7b3cbd…
04-02 23:18:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x847cc8…
04-02 23:15:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	12	69¢	$9	0x129853…
04-02 23:15:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	37	69¢	$26	0xb1b9d8…
04-02 23:13:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	100	69¢	$69	0x05bdd0…
04-02 23:11:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	50	69¢	$35	0xfdcd45…
04-02 20:06:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	SELL	22	33¢	$7	0x9c7986…
04-02 02:11:47	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	BUY	372	89¢	$331	0x78191a…
04-02 01:01:25	will trump say oil or gas 3 times during address to the nation	Yes	SELL	12	80¢	$10	0x8e8a11…
04-02 01:01:25	will trump say oil or gas 3 times during address to the nation	Yes	SELL	65	80¢	$52	0x6c3d15…
04-02 01:01:17	will trump say oil or gas 3 times during address to the nation	Yes	SELL	73	80¢	$59	0x7e34ae…
04-02 00:59:23	will trump say oil or gas 3 times during address to the nation	Yes	SELL	49	80¢	$39	0x38cd8f…
04-02 00:26:15	will trump say nato during address to the nation 235	Yes	SELL	300	93¢	$279	0xf1cb33…
04-01 21:47:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	22	63¢	$14	0xea27ac…
04-01 17:54:13	will trump say nato during address to the nation 235	Yes	BUY	290	91¢	$263	0x9c9c3e…
04-01 17:53:51	will trump say nato during address to the nation 235	Yes	BUY	10	91¢	$10	0x48bb7c…
04-01 17:49:43	will trump say oil or gas 3 times during address to the nation	Yes	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x4b908f…
04-01 17:46:27	will trump say oil or gas 3 times during address to the nation	Yes	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x4e56c7…
04-01 17:45:59	will trump say oil or gas 3 times during address to the nation	Yes	BUY	170	79¢	$134	0x2e4afb…
04-01 17:39:27	will trump say hormuz during address to the nation	Yes	BUY	200	80¢	$160	0x0b3081…
03-30 23:02:39	iran leadership change by march 31	No	BUY	361	99¢	$357	0x28d308…
03-30 23:01:31	iran leadership change by march 31	No	BUY	217	99¢	$215	0x0245ae…
03-30 22:58:35	iran leadership change by march 31	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x69cab2…
03-30 21:41:51	iran leadership change by march 31	No	BUY	183	99¢	$181	0x94cdc5…
03-30 21:31:13	iran leadership change by march 31	No	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0xbe05de…
03-30 21:05:27	iran leadership change by march 31	No	BUY	65	99¢	$64	0x2329d1…
03-30 20:47:57	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	SELL	253	56¢	$142	0xfbf8ed…
03-30 20:43:41	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	SELL	1,339	59¢	$787	0xcc08de…
03-30 20:17:25	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	84	56¢	$47	0x3d31ef…
03-30 20:15:53	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	1,508	56¢	$844	0x3da8cd…
03-30 20:14:21	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	SELL	907	98¢	$891	0x96faa6…
03-30 19:56:13	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	BUY	401	99¢	$395	0xdbecea…
03-30 19:51:59	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	BUY	506	98¢	$498	0xb40f3f…
03-30 19:44:59	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	894	100¢	$893	0x30e98a…