Deficient-Adaptation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$236

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

88.7%

Resolved

1,503

Trades

2,932

lifetime

Volume

$14.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-05

last 05-13 08:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 87% $-203

Other

5% 85% $-34

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 958 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1771177500	2	$310	200	200	+0	open	—	02-15 17:55
btc updown 5m 1771179300	1	$200	500	0	+500	open	—	02-15 18:18
btc updown 15m 1770642000	1	$190	200	0	+200	open	—	02-09 13:14
btc updown 15m 1770639300	6	$186	110	110	+0	open	—	02-09 12:27
btc updown 15m 1770641100	2	$183	100	100	+0	open	—	02-09 13:00
btc updown 15m 1771179300	1	$99	110	0	+110	open	—	02-15 18:28
btc updown 15m 1771180200	1	$58	90	0	+90	open	—	02-15 18:35
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 9AM ET	10	$47	50	0	+50	Up	+$3	05-11 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	8	$38	40	0	+40	Down	+$2	05-11 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	7	$33	35	0	+35	Down	+$2	05-12 23:09
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	6	$28	30	0	+30	Up	+$2	05-10 21:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	6	$28	30	0	+30	Down	+$2	05-11 13:25
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	6	$28	30	0	+30	Up	+$2	05-12 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	5	$24	25	0	+25	Up	+$1	05-11 09:57
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 11?	5	$24	25	0	+25	Down	+$1	05-11 19:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	5	$24	25	0	+25	Down	+$1	05-12 02:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	5	$24	25	0	+25	Down	+$1	05-12 10:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	6	$24	25	0	+25	Down	+$1	05-13 05:04
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 10AM ET	5	$24	25	0	+25	Down	+$1	05-11 14:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	5	$24	25	0	+25	Down	+$1	05-10 09:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	5	$24	25	0	+25	Up	$-24	05-11 21:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	5	$24	25	0	+25	Up	+$1	05-10 22:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	5	$24	25	0	+25	Up	+$1	05-12 22:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	5	$24	25	0	+25	Up	$-24	05-13 04:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	5	$24	25	0	+25	Up	+$1	05-13 02:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	6	$24	25	0	+25	Down	+$2	05-12 12:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	5	$24	25	0	+25	Down	+$2	05-12 11:08
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $220 on May 11?	5	$23	25	0	+25	No	+$2	05-11 19:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	5	$23	25	0	+25	Up	+$2	05-11 22:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	6	$23	25	0	+25	Up	+$2	05-12 14:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 08:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x8fc467…
05-13 08:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x4228af…
05-13 08:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x1bbe78…
05-13 08:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x010834…
05-13 08:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa8568c…
05-13 08:12:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xeca15a…
05-13 08:12:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xbe1f6e…
05-13 08:12:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xdca5f8…
05-13 08:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xbe8cd6…
05-13 08:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x9b5f16…
05-13 08:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf86126…
05-13 08:08:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xdb924b…
05-13 08:08:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x7f2032…
05-13 08:07:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x72e4d0…
05-13 08:07:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x37a5bc…
05-13 08:04:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x9af925…
05-13 08:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa4951f…
05-13 08:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x005592…
05-13 07:47:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x75ec7a…
05-13 07:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x2931a8…
05-13 07:41:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x934add…
05-13 07:39:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xa0a638…
05-13 07:39:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x7d1e37…
05-13 07:38:55	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8697f4…
05-13 07:38:46	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa40e2d…
05-13 07:38:41	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2b1727…
05-13 07:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xee8195…
05-13 07:01:08	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x793ef7…
05-13 07:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x5a13e0…
05-13 07:00:54	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x8594b9…
05-13 06:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x422d94…
05-13 06:53:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x8a4510…
05-13 06:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xbbb643…
05-13 06:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x6c52a9…
05-13 06:51:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xcefc5c…
05-13 06:51:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x3e6271…
05-13 06:49:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x9f8d78…
05-13 06:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe09aab…
05-13 06:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xd00554…
05-13 06:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xcd5c9c…
05-13 06:49:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xf84a0d…
05-13 06:44:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xcce5e3…
05-13 06:44:13	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2ee415…
05-13 06:44:08	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x59e410…
05-13 06:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x5d801b…
05-13 06:41:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x16f979…
05-13 06:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x906b51…
05-13 06:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x47709d…
05-13 06:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x279353…
05-13 06:38:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc0130b…
05-13 06:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2c772f…
05-13 06:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xa557e5…
05-13 06:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x3f0709…
05-13 06:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x19cdce…
05-13 06:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x7bfe84…
05-13 06:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x2eaaa3…
05-13 06:24:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x974ca0…
05-13 06:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa3a59a…
05-13 06:24:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x92c59e…
05-13 06:24:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xee5bcf…
05-13 06:24:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x36f61e…
05-13 06:24:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xfd907e…
05-13 06:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x9b8022…
05-13 06:24:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x0d92eb…
05-13 06:21:30	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x2c4636…
05-13 06:21:21	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x4c0b63…
05-13 06:21:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x862a27…
05-13 06:20:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xb91c27…
05-13 06:19:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xa30f11…
05-13 06:19:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x485200…
05-13 06:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x4eab14…
05-13 06:09:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xa01a9e…
05-13 06:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x931cb4…
05-13 06:09:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x8f73d8…
05-13 06:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x63d9b1…
05-13 06:07:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x662bde…
05-13 05:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xb61bd6…
05-13 05:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x3ff084…
05-13 05:59:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x9e5216…
05-13 05:59:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x89883b…
05-13 05:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x645b00…
05-13 05:39:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x32d923…
05-13 05:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x728ccf…
05-13 05:37:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x858e61…
05-13 05:37:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xecdcd8…
05-13 05:37:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xe13e42…
05-13 05:35:36	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xc5c688…
05-13 05:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xd1c9ad…
05-13 05:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x847b8a…
05-13 05:32:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x5b8765…
05-13 05:29:37	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x86f118…
05-13 05:29:37	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x558f66…
05-13 05:28:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x0e6e6d…
05-13 05:28:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xb9b03e…
05-13 05:27:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x95b101…
05-13 05:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xd94f12…
05-13 05:24:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xd7424f…
05-13 05:24:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x66fe8c…
05-13 05:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x5bb771…
05-13 05:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x634f39…