Reasonable-Broad — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$31

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$383

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 06-12 18:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 75% +$28

Other

2% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	4	$58	100	+100	open	—	06-03 08:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	1	$25	46	+46	Down	+$21	05-12 12:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	1	$25	49	+49	Up	+$24	05-12 12:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	1	$25	109	+109	Down	$-25	05-12 13:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	1	$14	40	+40	open	—	05-23 21:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	1	$10	20	+20	open	—	05-24 18:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	4	$10	32	+32	open	—	06-02 19:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	1	$10	109	+109	open	—	05-23 20:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	1	$10	20	+20	open	—	05-23 20:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	2	$10	20	+20	open	—	05-23 20:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	1	$10	20	+20	open	—	05-23 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	1	$10	956	+956	open	—	05-23 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	6	$9	50	+50	open	—	06-01 18:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	3	$9	20	+20	open	—	05-23 18:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	2	$8	20	+20	open	—	06-02 19:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	1	$8	30	+30	open	—	05-25 01:42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	1	$8	10	+10	Yes	+$2	05-09 03:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$7	10	+10	open	—	05-29 20:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	1	$7	30	+30	open	—	05-26 19:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	1	$7	100	+100	open	—	05-29 19:57
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	1	$7	10	+10	open	—	05-20 04:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	3	$7	20	+20	open	—	06-02 19:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	1	$6	100	+100	open	—	05-24 18:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	1	$6	20	+20	open	—	05-25 05:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	9	$5	50	+50	open	—	05-25 19:33
btc updown 5m 1781290500	1	$5	500	+500	open	—	06-12 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	1	$5	500	+500	open	—	05-29 19:54
btc updown 5m 1780683300	1	$5	500	+500	open	—	06-05 18:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	1	$5	10	+10	open	—	05-24 19:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	1	$5	14	+14	open	—	05-25 07:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 18:59:48	btc updown 5m 1781290500	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x66fc21…
06-10 04:02:51	btc updown 5m 1781064000	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xc6c19f…
06-08 12:49:37	btc updown 5m 1780922700	Up	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0xfee718…
06-08 12:49:37	btc updown 5m 1780922700	Up	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0x6536c6…
06-06 19:03:43	btc updown 5m 1780772400	Up	BUY	19	7¢	$1	0x9537e8…
06-06 19:03:43	btc updown 5m 1780772400	Up	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x1f079c…
06-05 18:41:55	btc updown 5m 1780684800	Up	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xe59918…
06-05 18:29:52	btc updown 5m 1780683900	Up	BUY	400	1¢	$4	0xd0798f…
06-05 18:19:58	btc updown 5m 1780683300	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xb1e835…
06-05 17:59:37	btc updown 5m 1780682100	Up	BUY	9	28¢	$3	0xf9e06e…
06-05 17:59:37	btc updown 5m 1780682100	Up	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x3b477d…
06-05 14:18:52	btc updown 5m 1780668900	Up	BUY	10	5¢	$1	0xf3a77e…
06-05 14:18:52	btc updown 5m 1780668900	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x97a971…
06-05 14:18:52	btc updown 5m 1780668900	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x59133a…
06-03 08:27:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	19	58¢	$11	0xf66304…
06-03 08:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	36	58¢	$21	0xf66efe…
06-03 08:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	25	58¢	$14	0xef5c01…
06-03 08:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xb3bdb3…
06-03 07:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x4060e6…
06-02 19:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	42¢	$7	0xa1aa65…
06-02 19:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	42¢	$1	0x4fefe6…
06-02 19:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	34¢	$4	0xd0d5b9…
06-02 19:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x601b43…
06-02 19:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0x5c3b71…
06-02 19:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xb6af39…
06-02 19:06:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x53146e…
06-02 19:06:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0xb0668e…
06-02 19:06:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x37ca2b…
06-02 19:06:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x124deb…
06-01 18:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xebea87…
06-01 18:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xeafbae…
06-01 18:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	19¢	$0	0x8bdb99…
06-01 18:03:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0x9ebb4a…
06-01 18:03:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	19¢	$1	0x74e843…
06-01 18:03:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	19¢	$1	0x584f26…
05-29 20:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0xd53888…
05-29 19:57:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0xdba551…
05-29 19:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x846ae4…
05-26 19:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	30	24¢	$7	0x76c758…
05-25 19:33:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xefb566…
05-25 19:33:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xe6ee1b…
05-25 19:33:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xbea53a…
05-25 19:33:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	11¢	$0	0xa27c7c…
05-25 19:33:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0x98eac6…
05-25 19:33:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x8a9dda…
05-25 19:33:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x3b117b…
05-25 19:33:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x34649c…
05-25 19:33:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x05619f…
05-25 07:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x486f7a…
05-25 05:06:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x066577…
05-25 03:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x2fd1ba…
05-25 01:42:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	27¢	$8	0x2fa0a5…
05-24 19:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xd89c18…
05-24 18:32:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x059def…
05-24 18:13:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xeb6669…
05-24 18:09:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x21b856…
05-23 21:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	956	1¢	$10	0xbc9932…
05-23 21:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	40	34¢	$14	0x864ee0…
05-23 20:50:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0x30bf74…
05-23 20:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0xb28975…
05-23 20:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	109	9¢	$10	0xe2e43e…
05-23 20:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x80fb36…
05-23 20:13:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x09cece…
05-23 18:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	16	47¢	$8	0xcb9bba…
05-23 18:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xc0c9ac…
05-23 18:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x50d8ce…
05-20 04:13:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xb8d354…
05-20 03:32:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xf023d2…
05-20 03:32:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x6c1f3a…
05-19 19:17:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xb023f6…
05-19 18:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x8c73e0…
05-19 13:24:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x686ea8…
05-12 13:25:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	109	23¢	$25	0x60bb32…
05-12 12:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x328172…
05-12 12:56:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0xf93cc5…
05-09 03:58:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x60e1ca…
05-08 19:37:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x18babe…