Perfect-Misrepresentation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.79K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$71

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 05-16 09:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

53% 0% $-9

Politics

37% — —

Other

10% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	4	$1.4K	1,563	1,563	+0	open	—	05-15 13:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	4	$523	623	623	+0	open	—	05-15 13:14
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)	1	$387	656	0	+656	open	—	05-16 09:13
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 16?	5	$314	1,932	1,033	+898	open	—	05-16 07:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	2	$207	167	167	+0	open	—	05-15 12:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	2	$198	278	278	+0	open	—	05-15 12:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	3	$186	189	134	+56	open	—	05-15 06:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	7	$178	173	138	+34	open	—	05-15 07:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	1	$100	201	0	+201	open	—	05-15 13:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	1	$100	228	0	+228	open	—	05-15 13:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	2	$62	323	323	+0	open	—	05-15 12:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	1	$37	46	0	+46	open	—	05-15 06:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	1	$20	62	0	+62	open	—	05-15 06:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	1	$15	29	0	+29	open	—	05-15 06:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	1	$10	50	0	+50	open	—	05-15 07:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	1	$10	39	0	+39	open	—	05-15 12:34
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$10	108	0	+108	open	—	05-15 06:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	1	$10	77	0	+77	open	—	05-15 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	1	$5	250	0	+250	open	—	05-15 08:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	1	$5	125	0	+125	open	—	05-15 13:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	1	$5	95	0	+95	open	—	05-16 07:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	1	$5	19	0	+19	open	—	05-16 07:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	1	$5	14	0	+14	Down	$-5	05-12 06:26
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$5	330	0	+330	open	—	05-15 06:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	1	$4	6	0	+6	Up	$-4	05-12 08:41
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$3	73	0	+73	open	—	05-15 07:02
Will Trump say "North Korea" or "Kim Jong Un" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$2	227	0	+227	open	—	05-15 07:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Down	$-0	05-11 21:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	1	$1	138	0	+138	open	—	05-15 07:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-15 07:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 09:13:40	Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)	MOUZ	BUY	656	59¢	$387	0xc5a9ed…
05-16 07:43:38	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 16?	Up	BUY	898	11¢	$100	0x176cb5…
05-16 07:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 16?	Up	SELL	833	11¢	$92	0x7c7bfc…
05-16 07:41:25	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 16?	Up	BUY	833	12¢	$100	0x5f569c…
05-16 07:38:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xcd7a98…
05-16 07:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 16?	Up	SELL	200	6¢	$12	0x12307b…
05-16 07:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 16?	Up	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x39e864…
05-16 07:07:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	95	5¢	$5	0x8c8355…
05-16 07:02:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xa11bff…
05-15 13:23:12	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	1,000	25¢	$249	0x9dbac4…
05-15 13:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	228	44¢	$100	0xa5a151…
05-15 13:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	205	82¢	$168	0x735f0b…
05-15 13:12:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	205	49¢	$100	0xe55d84…
05-15 13:12:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	419	37¢	$155	0x78ae6a…
05-15 13:11:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	419	24¢	$100	0x569ffa…
05-15 13:05:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	201	50¢	$100	0x082da9…
05-15 13:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x363312…
05-15 12:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0xc32c74…
05-15 12:41:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	278	35¢	$98	0x600405…
05-15 12:40:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	278	36¢	$100	0xa79492…
05-15 12:36:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	167	64¢	$107	0x30c387…
05-15 12:36:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0x207e20…
05-15 12:34:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	39	26¢	$10	0xed562d…
05-15 12:09:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	323	17¢	$56	0x5e05ef…
05-15 12:09:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	323	2¢	$6	0x38049c…
05-15 11:54:41	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1,000	20¢	$200	0xb24341…
05-15 11:51:53	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	563	80¢	$451	0x2d0e24…
05-15 08:12:27	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	563	85¢	$479	0x387981…
05-15 08:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xb8d791…
05-15 07:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xeb9960…
05-15 07:32:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xe0e0d4…
05-15 07:22:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xd27456…
05-15 07:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	26	66¢	$17	0xf07ed8…
05-15 07:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xee51d6…
05-15 07:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	74	71¢	$52	0x4b5086…
05-15 07:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0x7c5abd…
05-15 07:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	39	61¢	$24	0xc92f32…
05-15 07:16:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	39	38¢	$15	0xa6484b…
05-15 07:12:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	138	1¢	$1	0xa71241…
05-15 07:02:41	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	73	4¢	$3	0x8fb8e8…
05-15 07:01:19	Will Trump say "North Korea" or "Kim Jong Un" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	227	1¢	$2	0x34c7ff…
05-15 06:58:35	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	330	2¢	$5	0x5fec36…
05-15 06:57:05	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	108	9¢	$10	0x4c6118…
05-15 06:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0x9bcc90…
05-15 06:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0x4ddf30…
05-15 06:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x57b47f…
05-15 06:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	134	79¢	$106	0xf90e40…
05-15 06:36:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	134	52¢	$70	0xd5a5fe…
05-15 06:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	46	81¢	$37	0x28299d…
05-12 08:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x11e180…
05-12 06:26:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x0d92e4…
05-11 21:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x8355ca…
05-11 21:12:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x6a97f7…