Elliptical-Chalice — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$8.45K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$98

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-25

last 04-28 22:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

58% 0% $-1

Sports

31% — —

Crypto

10% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	6	$816	409	409	+0	open	—	04-20 08:14
Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?	4	$574	288	288	+0	open	—	04-26 18:13
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	4	$488	245	245	+0	open	—	04-18 13:44
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$454	228	228	+0	open	—	04-24 18:22
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$440	220	220	+0	open	—	04-15 09:13
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$424	212	212	+0	open	—	04-01 18:21
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	2	$308	154	154	+0	open	—	04-04 04:02
Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$308	154	154	+0	No	$-0	04-03 13:40
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	2	$302	151	151	+0	No	$-0	04-04 15:40
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	2	$302	151	151	+0	open	—	04-07 02:30
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$290	145	145	+0	open	—	04-05 06:07
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$286	144	144	+0	open	—	04-17 22:38
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$272	136	136	+0	open	—	03-28 07:35
will fred couples win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$256	128	128	+0	open	—	04-08 12:25
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	2	$252	126	126	+0	No	$-0	04-12 04:52
will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	2	$250	125	125	+0	open	—	03-26 19:35
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$242	121	121	+0	open	—	03-31 15:52
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$240	120	120	+0	open	—	04-17 17:41
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	2	$214	107	107	+0	open	—	04-14 22:23
will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	2	$212	106	106	+0	open	—	03-22 21:16
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?	2	$210	105	105	+0	open	—	04-22 06:48
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	2	$208	104	104	+0	open	—	04-07 21:57
will charl schwartzel win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$174	87	87	+0	open	—	03-26 09:28
will danny willett win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$168	84	84	+0	open	—	03-22 00:18
will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$164	82	82	+0	open	—	03-23 12:57
will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	2	$164	82	82	+0	open	—	03-23 02:28
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$104	52	52	+0	No	$-0	03-24 05:08
nba bkn gsw 2026 03 25	1	$39	46	0	+46	open	—	03-25 23:15
nba den phx 2026 03 24	1	$37	54	0	+54	open	—	03-24 21:10
nba tor uta 2026 03 23	1	$30	35	0	+35	open	—	03-23 18:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-28 22:49:46	Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in April?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xb40760…
04-26 18:13:22	Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	137	99¢	$136	0x9941e6…
04-26 12:55:18	Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	137	99¢	$136	0x49e143…
04-24 18:22:28	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	99	99¢	$98	0x3132e1…
04-24 14:47:10	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	99	99¢	$98	0x1f527e…
04-22 06:48:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?	No	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0xf13c36…
04-22 02:51:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xd735cb…
04-20 08:14:12	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	144	100¢	$144	0x019323…
04-20 04:38:24	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	144	100¢	$144	0x55654c…
04-18 13:44:22	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	140	100¢	$140	0xb784c2…
04-18 07:35:06	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0xa46d79…
04-17 22:38:00	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	144	100¢	$143	0x7b5850…
04-17 21:00:14	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	144	100¢	$143	0x5b0d02…
04-17 17:41:32	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	120	100¢	$120	0x7b7542…
04-17 04:50:42	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xfed9b3…
04-16 15:17:22	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0x2c5eaa…
04-16 13:08:10	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x8dce67…
04-15 09:13:42	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	151	100¢	$151	0x017e6c…
04-15 05:02:44	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	151	100¢	$151	0x6b3fd6…
04-14 22:23:22	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	107	100¢	$107	0x5ca536…
04-14 18:14:58	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0xaa107c…
04-12 21:16:07	Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	152	99¢	$151	0x524665…
04-12 19:16:23	Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	152	100¢	$151	0x01ad75…
04-12 04:52:51	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	126	100¢	$126	0xd08cdf…
04-12 03:24:27	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0xe56c31…
04-08 12:25:37	will fred couples win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	128	100¢	$128	0x8412da…
04-08 07:06:25	will fred couples win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0xe93a5f…
04-07 21:57:07	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	No	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0x74a2cf…
04-07 16:52:41	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0xdc6a87…
04-07 02:30:29	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	151	100¢	$151	0xd08719…
04-06 23:00:25	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	151	100¢	$151	0x866bd7…
04-05 17:34:15	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	129	100¢	$129	0xdcb745…
04-05 13:45:41	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	129	100¢	$129	0xe6d649…
04-05 06:07:07	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	145	100¢	$145	0xbcd33a…
04-05 01:40:07	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	145	100¢	$145	0xf6ec3c…
04-04 15:40:53	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	151	100¢	$151	0x338f92…
04-04 09:39:25	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	151	100¢	$151	0xdf4a83…
04-04 04:02:07	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	154	100¢	$154	0xa5cc2f…
04-03 23:50:51	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	154	100¢	$154	0x878dbc…
04-03 13:40:23	Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	154	100¢	$154	0xf3ef66…
04-03 06:26:29	Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	154	100¢	$154	0x2a7b1a…
04-01 18:21:41	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	133	100¢	$133	0xf7992b…
04-01 14:27:15	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0x26211d…
04-01 06:29:23	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	145	99¢	$144	0xa90210…
04-01 02:28:23	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	145	100¢	$144	0x6073be…
03-31 19:29:41	nba cha bkn 2026 03 31	Nets	BUY	36	7¢	$2	0x1f54cd…
03-31 19:29:07	nba tor det 2026 03 31	Raptors	BUY	26	41¢	$11	0x65b19f…
03-31 15:52:27	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	121	100¢	$121	0x03df7c…
03-31 12:01:31	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0xdab77a…
03-30 22:59:39	nba was lal 2026 03 30	Wizards	BUY	40	9¢	$4	0x005d02…
03-29 07:27:18	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	120	100¢	$120	0xa8ab00…
03-29 03:39:20	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x2b07f0…
03-28 07:35:11	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	136	100¢	$136	0xbc8eba…
03-28 01:54:51	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0x6aff95…
03-27 21:05:37	nba hou mem 2026 03 27	Grizzlies	BUY	37	12¢	$4	0x06bfc6…
03-27 21:05:01	nba uta den 2026 03 27	Nuggets	BUY	31	95¢	$29	0xe7b8ac…
03-26 19:35:41	will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	No	SELL	125	100¢	$125	0x71184d…
03-26 14:53:19	will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	No	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0x77f99c…
03-26 09:28:17	will charl schwartzel win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	87	100¢	$87	0x243348…
03-26 04:08:47	will charl schwartzel win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0xf66cc7…
03-25 23:15:21	nba bkn gsw 2026 03 25	Warriors	BUY	46	85¢	$39	0x43c278…
03-25 10:48:01	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	69	100¢	$69	0xbef3f8…
03-25 05:33:35	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0x4e3da7…
03-25 05:33:17	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	79	100¢	$79	0x7f81bb…
03-25 00:23:59	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x4cf569…
03-24 21:10:03	nba den phx 2026 03 24	Nuggets	BUY	54	69¢	$37	0x2357a9…
03-24 21:09:33	nba orl cle 2026 03 24	Cavaliers	BUY	26	81¢	$21	0x26c0a1…
03-24 05:08:09	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0xaf8558…
03-23 23:56:43	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0xe755f3…
03-23 18:18:35	nba tor uta 2026 03 23	Raptors	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0x47327b…
03-23 18:18:05	nba gsw dal 2026 03 23	Warriors	BUY	43	53¢	$23	0xb073f9…
03-23 12:57:35	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	82	100¢	$82	0x14c3c5…
03-23 07:44:23	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0xffe438…
03-23 02:28:03	will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	No	SELL	82	100¢	$82	0x6326fa…
03-22 21:17:15	will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x0b923a…
03-22 21:16:59	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	SELL	106	100¢	$106	0x0cb3ae…
03-22 16:11:09	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x0f20c6…
03-22 00:18:43	will danny willett win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	84	100¢	$84	0xb8cf3b…
03-21 19:54:59	will danny willett win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0x394edf…
03-12 22:23:37	nba was orl 2026 03 12	Magic	BUY	33	89¢	$29	0x463fee…
03-12 22:23:07	nba mil mia 2026 03 12	Heat	BUY	38	70¢	$27	0xa150a5…
03-07 20:48:29	will ethereum dip to 1500 march 2 8	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xbe9bb8…
03-04 18:59:41	nba uta phi 2026 03 04	76ers	BUY	30	76¢	$23	0x80fa93…
02-25 10:08:10	us strikes iran by february 25 2026	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x21e525…
02-25 10:07:50	Based FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf2d59c…
02-25 10:07:30	bitcoin above 70k on february 25	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2506cf…