Surprised-Pants — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$14.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$169

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-10

last 06-24 16:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

53% 0% $-1

Sports

26% — —

Crypto

16% — —

Politics

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	4	$985	494	494	+0	open	—	03-16 01:30
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	4	$952	478	478	+0	open	—	04-04 13:00
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	4	$950	476	476	+0	open	—	04-01 05:49
will taylor pendrith win the 2026 masters tournament	4	$739	371	371	+0	open	—	03-24 10:09
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$550	276	276	+0	open	—	04-02 09:37
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$540	271	271	+0	open	—	03-20 12:51
will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	2	$524	262	262	+0	open	—	03-13 14:10
will brian harman win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$516	259	259	+0	open	—	04-07 08:09
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	2	$506	254	254	+0	open	—	04-08 17:07
will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$472	236	236	+0	open	—	03-22 11:28
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	2	$468	234	234	+0	open	—	03-14 16:23
Will the New York Rangers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$448	225	225	+0	open	—	02-10 11:02
will baidu have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 986	2	$434	217	217	+0	open	—	03-19 03:15
will ethereum reach 3600 in march 2026	2	$420	210	210	+0	open	—	03-28 07:22
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$414	207	207	+0	open	—	04-04 04:57
will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	2	$414	207	207	+0	open	—	03-25 13:06
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	2	$400	200	200	+0	No	$-0	03-21 16:13
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	2	$400	201	201	+0	open	—	04-02 03:21
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$390	196	196	+0	open	—	03-30 11:37
Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$376	188	188	+0	No	$-0	04-03 21:24
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	2	$370	185	185	+0	open	—	02-11 08:44
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$368	185	185	+0	No	$-0	03-30 23:26
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	2	$368	184	184	+0	open	—	02-27 18:10
will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	2	$364	182	182	+0	open	—	03-27 05:30
Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$364	182	182	+0	open	—	03-01 21:56
Will Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$350	175	175	+0	open	—	02-28 01:24
Will Elche win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$342	171	171	+0	open	—	02-12 02:31
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$340	170	170	+0	open	—	02-17 22:04
Will Alaves win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$334	167	167	+0	open	—	02-10 20:49
Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$220	0	220	-220	open	—	02-22 21:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-24 16:58:11	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xfa81b6…
06-24 16:57:44	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x46963b…
06-24 16:57:20	will wti reach 140 in june 2026 374	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x4b1cbb…
04-28 22:56:44	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x330cd7…
04-08 17:07:09	Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	254	100¢	$253	0x5c0dc5…
04-08 14:24:33	Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	254	100¢	$253	0x87fd37…
04-07 08:09:47	will brian harman win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	259	100¢	$258	0x5d7f43…
04-07 04:30:33	will brian harman win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	259	100¢	$258	0xfbf6b8…
04-04 13:00:59	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	240	100¢	$239	0x335fc8…
04-04 08:38:47	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	240	100¢	$239	0x92e554…
04-04 04:57:41	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	207	100¢	$207	0x6b1a1f…
04-04 01:25:51	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	207	100¢	$207	0x2ec778…
04-03 21:24:37	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	188	100¢	$188	0x7a3224…
04-03 20:07:37	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	188	100¢	$188	0xe0cdcf…
04-02 09:37:25	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	276	99¢	$275	0xa3a46c…
04-02 07:51:11	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	276	100¢	$275	0x0bcf4d…
04-02 03:21:49	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	201	99¢	$200	0xa6c0a5…
04-02 00:13:11	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0xf3504d…
04-01 05:49:21	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	226	100¢	$225	0xd4c60d…
04-01 04:13:57	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	226	100¢	$225	0x30c0c6…
03-31 14:57:03	will solana dip to 70 in march 2026	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x2b74f3…
03-31 11:07:51	will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xd898df…
03-30 23:26:05	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	185	100¢	$184	0x1b7ab8…
03-30 15:56:35	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	185	100¢	$184	0x3260e0…
03-30 11:37:34	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	196	100¢	$195	0xc0f3eb…
03-30 07:20:50	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	196	100¢	$195	0xa077b9…
03-28 07:22:15	will ethereum reach 3600 in march 2026	No	SELL	210	100¢	$210	0xcb917c…
03-28 02:10:31	will ethereum reach 3600 in march 2026	No	BUY	210	100¢	$210	0xa80f47…
03-27 05:30:59	will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	No	SELL	182	100¢	$182	0xe2b14c…
03-26 22:50:03	will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	No	BUY	182	100¢	$182	0xee5701…
03-26 02:42:09	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	238	100¢	$237	0xeae0c6…
03-25 20:00:19	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	238	100¢	$237	0x9644b9…
03-25 13:06:09	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	SELL	207	100¢	$207	0xb12fff…
03-25 06:29:07	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	BUY	207	100¢	$207	0xdf0b20…
03-24 10:09:41	will taylor pendrith win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	184	100¢	$184	0xb4584e…
03-24 03:29:35	will taylor pendrith win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	184	100¢	$184	0xf84da4…
03-22 18:04:59	will taylor pendrith win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	186	100¢	$186	0xa75909…
03-22 11:28:47	will taylor pendrith win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	186	100¢	$186	0xe7c02e…
03-22 11:28:27	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	236	100¢	$236	0x69e9a1…
03-22 04:52:25	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	236	100¢	$236	0x8f4e92…
03-21 16:13:49	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x6c79ae…
03-21 09:27:43	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x3b8619…
03-20 12:51:51	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	271	100¢	$270	0x9266c9…
03-19 23:22:49	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	271	100¢	$270	0x964fd2…
03-19 16:37:07	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	250	100¢	$250	0xc7f7c4…
03-19 09:53:51	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	251	100¢	$250	0xb67861…
03-19 03:15:01	will baidu have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 986	No	SELL	217	100¢	$217	0xe46013…
03-18 20:32:19	will baidu have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 986	No	BUY	217	100¢	$217	0x2dc2fb…
03-16 01:30:43	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	SELL	258	100¢	$257	0x7a81ff…
03-15 18:48:57	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	BUY	258	100¢	$257	0xeef520…
03-14 22:55:43	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	SELL	236	100¢	$236	0x2072de…
03-14 16:23:19	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	BUY	236	100¢	$236	0x1167e1…
03-14 16:23:03	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	No	SELL	234	100¢	$234	0xeaf1cf…
03-14 09:51:53	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	No	BUY	234	100¢	$234	0x0cc525…
03-13 14:10:25	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	SELL	262	100¢	$262	0xbd1856…
03-13 05:52:49	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	BUY	262	100¢	$262	0xc12fba…
03-10 19:06:43	nba min lal 2026 03 10	Lakers	BUY	35	45¢	$16	0xc629a4…
03-10 19:06:11	nba det bkn 2026 03 10	Nets	BUY	28	11¢	$3	0xbae463…
03-07 16:21:49	nba gsw okc 2026 03 07	Thunder	BUY	53	87¢	$46	0x2e6a3d…
03-07 16:21:15	nba phi atl 2026 03 07	Hawks	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0xd4287b…
03-05 13:59:21	nba nop sac 2026 03 05	Pelicans	BUY	33	65¢	$21	0x296a6c…
03-05 13:59:03	nba chi phx 2026 03 05	Bulls	BUY	54	18¢	$10	0x3d21fa…
03-05 13:58:27	nba det sas 2026 03 05	Pistons	BUY	45	41¢	$18	0xc73bb4…
03-04 21:44:47	nba uta phi 2026 03 04	76ers	BUY	30	77¢	$23	0x7e74b0…
03-03 23:28:49	nba nyk tor 2026 03 03	Raptors	BUY	37	44¢	$16	0x605673…
03-03 14:20:17	nba mem min 2026 03 03	Grizzlies	BUY	32	14¢	$4	0xcb8783…
03-03 14:19:43	nba was orl 2026 03 03	Wizards	BUY	34	11¢	$4	0xf71172…
03-01 21:56:51	Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	182	100¢	$182	0xd846c7…
03-01 14:51:55	Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	182	100¢	$182	0xb19ba5…
02-28 10:33:03	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x59f5ad…
02-28 10:32:39	ethereum above 2000 on february 28	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x0e5d5d…
02-28 01:24:01	Will Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	175	100¢	$175	0x98d5e4…
02-27 18:10:41	Will Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	175	100¢	$175	0xd8b2e0…
02-27 18:10:15	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	184	100¢	$184	0x0dacb4…
02-27 11:15:51	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	184	100¢	$184	0x30d546…
02-26 14:39:46	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x5988be…
02-22 21:11:12	Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	220	100¢	$220	0x730043…
02-22 00:01:56	Based FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xc71dc6…
02-17 22:04:33	Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	170	100¢	$170	0xa1e5c5…
02-12 23:41:19	Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	170	100¢	$170	0x62d1b5…
02-12 02:31:31	Will Elche win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	171	100¢	$171	0xbeb85e…
02-11 08:44:45	Will Elche win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	171	100¢	$171	0x8833c5…
02-11 08:44:27	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	185	100¢	$185	0x2604fd…
02-10 20:49:27	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	185	100¢	$185	0x5cdb45…
02-10 20:49:07	Will Alaves win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	167	100¢	$167	0x13820d…
02-10 11:02:43	Will Alaves win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	167	100¢	$167	0x54585b…
02-10 11:02:25	Will the New York Rangers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	225	100¢	$224	0x816717…
02-10 08:11:29	Will the New York Rangers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	225	100¢	$224	0xf8b5f4…