Sick-Toy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$99

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

31.6%

Resolved

Trades

145

lifetime

Volume

$1.28K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-01

last 05-22 23:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 30% $-88

Politics

5% — —

Other

4% 14% $-11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1776984300	1	$105	206	+206	open	—	04-23 22:46
btc updown 5m 1775218200	1	$63	606	+606	open	—	04-03 12:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	1	$30	107	+107	Down	$-30	05-06 22:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$30	64	+64	Down	$-30	05-06 22:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	2	$30	58	+58	Down	+$28	05-06 21:43
btc updown 5m 1776994500	2	$30	93	+93	open	—	04-24 01:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	2	$30	69	+69	Down	$-30	05-06 22:13
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	2	$30	226	+226	open	—	05-22 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	2	$25	52	+52	Up	+$27	05-06 19:16
btc updown 5m 1776993900	2	$22	56	+56	open	—	04-24 01:27
btc updown 5m 1772380800	11	$22	228	+228	open	—	03-01 16:04
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	2	$21	210	+210	open	—	05-07 05:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	1	$20	31	+31	Down	+$11	05-06 21:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	1	$20	42	+42	Down	+$22	05-06 20:20
btc updown 5m 1776989400	1	$20	34	+34	open	—	04-24 00:10
btc updown 5m 1776991800	1	$20	42	+42	open	—	04-24 00:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	1	$20	54	+54	Up	$-20	05-06 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	2	$20	43	+43	Up	+$23	05-06 20:53
btc updown 5m 1776993600	2	$20	35	+35	open	—	04-24 01:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	2	$20	117	+117	Up	$-20	05-06 21:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	3	$20	30	+30	open	—	04-24 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	3	$16	48	+48	Up	+$32	05-06 17:01
btc updown 5m 1772469900	1	$16	36	+36	open	—	03-02 16:48
BNB Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	3	$15	536	+536	Up	$-15	05-06 20:04
btc updown 5m 1776986400	1	$15	19	+19	open	—	04-23 23:22
BNB Up or Down - May 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	1	$15	29	+29	Up	$-15	05-06 21:00
btc updown 5m 1777044300	2	$15	44	+44	open	—	04-24 15:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	2	$15	91	+91	Up	$-15	05-06 21:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	2	$15	48	+48	Up	$-15	05-06 20:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	3	$14	362	+362	open	—	04-24 21:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 23:29:08	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	BUY	75	13¢	$10	0x8fec97…
05-22 23:28:19	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	BUY	150	13¢	$20	0x7cf4fe…
05-22 23:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x3657e1…
05-07 05:26:33	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x32a30a…
05-06 22:27:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x69b914…
05-06 22:21:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	64	47¢	$30	0x4ec78a…
05-06 22:16:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	107	28¢	$30	0x1b5a70…
05-06 22:13:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x3f1270…
05-06 22:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x39e687…
05-06 22:08:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x0bfb5f…
05-06 22:01:04	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0xd8fdcc…
05-06 21:58:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xe2a923…
05-06 21:55:49	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	175	6¢	$10	0xceb988…
05-06 21:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xc37897…
05-06 21:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xc235ab…
05-06 21:43:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xb85d72…
05-06 21:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x9d6fd0…
05-06 21:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x61772e…
05-06 21:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xef8241…
05-06 21:32:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xbf21d0…
05-06 21:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0xf8230d…
05-06 21:08:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xabc6a5…
05-06 21:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x6a9507…
05-06 21:00:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0xfd4ea5…
05-06 21:00:13	BNB Up or Down - May 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0xe113ba…
05-06 20:58:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x504c40…
05-06 20:57:34	BNB Up or Down - May 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x0b8030…
05-06 20:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xe87890…
05-06 20:50:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xc93996…
05-06 20:44:28	BNB Up or Down - May 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x5a68a3…
05-06 20:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x4e2b95…
05-06 20:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x95ae38…
05-06 20:26:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xbf2c2d…
05-06 20:20:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0xf4b0d7…
05-06 20:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x54a73d…
05-06 20:15:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x5346aa…
05-06 20:13:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x50ec57…
05-06 20:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x5a53e8…
05-06 20:04:32	BNB Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	438	1¢	$5	0x2ba4d4…
05-06 20:03:52	BNB Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	9¢	$0	0x937f8f…
05-06 20:03:43	BNB Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	95	11¢	$10	0xf75e3f…
05-06 20:00:06	BNB Up or Down - May 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x3d0747…
05-06 19:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x34a79a…
05-06 19:51:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xbfe44a…
05-06 19:33:50	BNB Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	41	12¢	$5	0x6b1eec…
05-06 19:22:27	BNB Up or Down - May 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x5c1681…
05-06 19:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xb1ba2b…
05-06 19:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x4644a5…
05-06 19:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	106	5¢	$5	0x7f12f6…
05-06 19:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xacc8a7…
05-06 18:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x71cdab…
05-06 17:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	270	4¢	$10	0x013a51…
05-06 17:06:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x87b886…
05-06 17:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x85bdd6…
05-06 17:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x93859e…
05-06 17:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x0a24f3…
05-06 16:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x2bb4f3…
05-05 11:01:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0x6ef8f9…
04-28 21:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xae7bcd…
04-24 21:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	233	2¢	$5	0xbcdeeb…
04-24 21:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	67	6¢	$4	0xae9ac1…
04-24 21:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x7b38af…
04-24 21:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x4cc5b2…
04-24 21:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x7924e2…
04-24 21:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xa3c79c…
04-24 20:57:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xf1920c…
04-24 20:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xfff8a2…
04-24 15:58:32	btc updown 5m 1777046100	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x2e8246…
04-24 15:56:10	btc updown 5m 1777046100	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x42164d…
04-24 15:45:10	btc updown 5m 1777045500	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xdf64b9…
04-24 15:42:48	btc updown 5m 1777045200	Down	BUY	46	11¢	$5	0x6eef5d…
04-24 15:42:24	btc updown 5m 1777045200	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x581b93…
04-24 15:31:54	btc updown 5m 1777044600	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x457e6c…
04-24 15:28:58	btc updown 5m 1777044300	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x25d128…
04-24 15:27:46	btc updown 5m 1777044300	Down	BUY	21	49¢	$10	0xe5fc6f…
04-24 01:42:38	btc updown 5m 1776994800	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x3febc7…
04-24 01:37:34	btc updown 5m 1776994500	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xe7a4d8…
04-24 01:37:16	btc updown 5m 1776994500	Down	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x86d84f…
04-24 01:30:24	btc updown 5m 1776994200	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x205ba3…
04-24 01:27:08	btc updown 5m 1776993900	Down	BUY	25	28¢	$7	0x85331d…
04-24 01:25:28	btc updown 5m 1776993900	Down	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0x1eb871…
04-24 01:20:58	btc updown 5m 1776993600	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xfdb24a…
04-24 01:20:20	btc updown 5m 1776993600	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x65f0c7…
04-24 01:17:58	btc updown 5m 1776993300	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x9d49a7…
04-24 01:11:54	btc updown 5m 1776993000	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xd7b3c4…
04-24 01:05:32	btc updown 5m 1776992700	Up	BUY	21	34¢	$7	0x5774af…
04-24 00:50:12	btc updown 5m 1776991800	Down	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x32bbbb…
04-24 00:45:56	btc updown 5m 1776991500	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xde139b…
04-24 00:39:06	btc updown 5m 1776990900	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x881e1b…
04-24 00:31:36	btc updown 5m 1776990600	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x96b5a2…
04-24 00:20:12	btc updown 5m 1776990000	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xfc9867…
04-24 00:15:18	btc updown 5m 1776989700	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x30428d…
04-24 00:10:10	btc updown 5m 1776989400	Down	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0xfb6964…
04-24 00:05:08	btc updown 5m 1776988800	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xb57a06…
04-23 23:54:34	btc updown 5m 1776988200	Down	SELL	19	35¢	$7	0x68fbb7…
04-23 23:50:46	btc updown 5m 1776988200	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xddc0b6…
04-23 23:45:10	btc updown 5m 1776987900	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x87e290…
04-23 23:36:30	btc updown 5m 1776987300	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xcc1c5e…
04-23 23:33:00	btc updown 5m 1776987000	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x1ba183…
04-23 23:27:52	btc updown 5m 1776986700	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x9f5ad7…