Untidy-Pitching — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

100

lifetime

Volume

$19.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$195

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-11

last 04-29 16:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

42% 0% $-2

Sports

30% — —

Crypto

21% — —

Politics

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	6	$1.3K	636	636	+0	No	$-1	04-05 06:56
will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	4	$1.0K	505	504	+0	open	—	03-26 13:13
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	4	$983	493	493	+0	open	—	03-31 03:57
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$952	478	478	+0	open	—	04-04 23:00
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$888	445	445	+0	No	$-0	04-06 16:12
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$866	434	434	+0	open	—	04-01 14:21
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	4	$824	413	413	+0	No	$-0	04-07 02:47
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	3	$796	279	519	-239	open	—	02-25 10:22
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	4	$788	395	395	+0	open	—	04-05 23:53
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	3	$731	503	229	+274	open	—	04-04 07:09
Will the Vancouver Canucks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$582	291	291	+0	open	—	02-24 18:11
will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	2	$560	281	281	+0	open	—	03-14 07:04
will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 924	2	$542	271	271	+0	open	—	03-13 18:04
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	2	$536	269	268	+0	open	—	04-10 17:17
will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	2	$522	261	261	+0	open	—	03-22 21:55
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	2	$520	261	261	+0	open	—	04-12 18:18
Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	2	$506	253	253	+0	open	—	03-17 01:17
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$506	253	253	+0	open	—	03-11 19:10
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$488	244	244	+0	open	—	02-28 08:57
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$474	237	237	+0	open	—	04-12 13:09
Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$472	236	236	+0	open	—	02-11 23:32
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$470	235	235	+0	open	—	04-11 17:50
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	2	$436	218	218	+0	No	$-0	04-05 15:20
will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 712	2	$422	211	211	+0	open	—	03-22 15:13
will ethereum dip to 600 in march 2026	2	$410	205	205	+0	open	—	03-27 10:11
will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	2	$404	203	203	+0	open	—	03-12 15:14
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	2	$396	198	198	+0	open	—	03-25 10:14
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$390	196	196	+0	open	—	03-28 07:51
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$342	171	171	+0	open	—	03-01 15:22
will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$338	169	169	+0	open	—	03-04 13:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-29 16:01:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0xbc9d79…
04-12 18:18:59	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	SELL	261	100¢	$260	0xe26701…
04-12 16:41:27	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	261	100¢	$260	0xdb3906…
04-12 13:09:11	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	237	100¢	$237	0xd8f487…
04-12 09:29:21	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	237	100¢	$237	0xa85d28…
04-11 17:50:15	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	235	100¢	$235	0x63aa9e…
04-10 17:17:29	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	235	100¢	$235	0x901d35…
04-10 17:17:09	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	SELL	268	100¢	$268	0xfa629a…
04-08 20:13:47	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	BUY	269	100¢	$268	0x081b8c…
04-07 02:47:37	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	193	100¢	$192	0x812f85…
04-06 22:26:49	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	193	100¢	$192	0xcf79b9…
04-06 16:12:55	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	236	100¢	$236	0xe5c745…
04-06 14:06:33	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	236	100¢	$236	0x6d960e…
04-05 23:53:19	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	198	100¢	$197	0x33f383…
04-05 19:44:35	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	198	100¢	$197	0xe583a6…
04-05 15:20:43	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	218	100¢	$218	0x097d3f…
04-05 09:58:09	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	218	100¢	$218	0x62f2de…
04-05 06:56:11	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	217	100¢	$217	0xcefaba…
04-05 01:30:35	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	217	100¢	$217	0x6172c4…
04-04 23:00:37	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	254	100¢	$254	0x762b61…
04-04 20:41:21	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	255	100¢	$254	0x166132…
04-04 07:09:29	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	229	100¢	$229	0xf22876…
04-04 01:35:19	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	229	100¢	$229	0xe9a2ad…
04-02 19:12:19	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	208	100¢	$208	0x3adf0e…
04-02 18:04:37	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	208	100¢	$208	0x43db30…
04-01 14:21:45	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	224	100¢	$224	0x987d38…
04-01 09:59:45	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	224	100¢	$224	0xe92d50…
03-31 16:20:17	EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x666175…
03-31 08:19:57	EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x92d627…
03-31 08:19:39	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	221	100¢	$220	0x035221…
03-31 03:58:01	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	221	100¢	$220	0x8db456…
03-31 03:57:31	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	243	100¢	$242	0xf245b8…
03-30 23:30:09	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	243	100¢	$242	0xa192a4…
03-30 07:17:54	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	198	100¢	$197	0x155b21…
03-30 03:03:48	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	198	100¢	$197	0x98aa52…
03-29 22:46:02	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	225	100¢	$224	0x2eb66e…
03-29 18:22:52	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	225	100¢	$224	0xffdc0c…
03-29 00:21:14	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	209	100¢	$209	0x24fb34…
03-28 20:03:26	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	209	100¢	$209	0x45866d…
03-28 07:51:29	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	196	100¢	$195	0xf94fba…
03-27 23:27:57	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	196	100¢	$195	0x4fe83c…
03-27 10:11:55	will ethereum dip to 600 in march 2026	No	SELL	205	100¢	$205	0xcf9dbe…
03-27 09:16:15	will ethereum dip to 600 in march 2026	No	BUY	205	100¢	$205	0x8e9519…
03-26 13:13:33	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	SELL	229	100¢	$229	0x1fb7fd…
03-26 06:29:45	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	BUY	229	100¢	$229	0x40a7e8…
03-25 16:56:41	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	194	100¢	$193	0x234834…
03-25 10:14:59	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	194	100¢	$193	0x7f71f1…
03-25 10:14:41	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	SELL	198	100¢	$198	0x317ca6…
03-25 03:34:13	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	198	100¢	$198	0xb32457…
03-24 07:16:49	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	274	100¢	$273	0x88aff3…
03-24 00:36:53	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	SELL	275	100¢	$274	0x982869…
03-23 17:56:07	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	BUY	275	100¢	$275	0x83bd5f…
03-22 21:55:35	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	No	SELL	261	100¢	$261	0xcfafa4…
03-22 15:13:29	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	No	BUY	261	100¢	$261	0x581d17…
03-22 15:13:11	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 712	No	SELL	211	100¢	$211	0x8f396f…
03-22 08:35:41	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 712	No	BUY	211	100¢	$211	0xe4faa0…
03-20 16:46:11	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	250	100¢	$250	0x924140…
03-20 09:54:25	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	251	100¢	$250	0x2d2f6c…
03-17 21:15:51	Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	229	100¢	$229	0x2d6bcb…
03-17 01:17:45	Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	253	100¢	$253	0xdf9e1e…
03-16 18:38:45	Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	253	100¢	$253	0x7c1ce2…
03-14 07:04:43	will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	No	SELL	281	100¢	$280	0x43d140…
03-14 00:34:35	will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	No	BUY	281	100¢	$280	0x06b5a2…
03-13 18:04:29	will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 924	No	SELL	271	100¢	$271	0x5e31f9…
03-13 09:36:17	will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 924	No	BUY	271	100¢	$271	0x1e8154…
03-12 15:14:35	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	SELL	203	100¢	$202	0x78a96f…
03-12 07:27:19	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	BUY	203	100¢	$202	0xb5f232…
03-11 19:10:47	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	253	100¢	$253	0x76c1f6…
03-11 12:33:33	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	253	100¢	$253	0x227278…
03-10 21:13:17	nba det bkn 2026 03 10	Pistons	BUY	51	90¢	$46	0xd76a7b…
03-08 23:18:09	nba orl mil 2026 03 08	Bucks	BUY	52	36¢	$19	0x3e1bff…
03-08 23:17:37	nba ind por 2026 03 08	Pacers	BUY	32	23¢	$7	0x34109a…
03-07 14:42:11	will bitcoin dip to 52k march 2 8	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x9f83ab…
03-05 21:23:19	nba tor min 2026 03 05	Timberwolves	BUY	28	65¢	$18	0xd62532…
03-05 21:22:47	nba dal orl 2026 03 05	Magic	BUY	35	74¢	$26	0xad391c…
03-05 12:44:39	Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x5020d3…
03-04 20:24:51	nba ind lac 2026 03 04	Clippers	BUY	46	86¢	$40	0x1e3bbb…
03-04 20:24:15	nba okc nyk 2026 03 04	Thunder	BUY	26	62¢	$16	0x2246df…
03-04 20:23:53	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	223	100¢	$222	0x0e4f02…
03-04 14:56:11	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	223	100¢	$222	0x778210…
03-04 13:40:43	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	169	100¢	$169	0x7a7c2e…
03-04 05:36:31	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	169	100¢	$169	0x1cd366…
03-03 22:34:45	nba mem min 2026 03 03	Timberwolves	BUY	47	88¢	$41	0x5e9b2e…
03-03 22:34:09	nba nop lal 2026 03 03	Pelicans	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x88805d…
03-03 22:33:37	nba dal cha 2026 03 03	Hornets	BUY	55	86¢	$47	0x694512…
03-03 13:20:31	nba phx sac 2026 03 03	Kings	BUY	35	21¢	$7	0xa4d34f…
03-01 15:22:39	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	171	100¢	$171	0xbf4bc6…
03-01 03:06:19	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	171	100¢	$171	0xc5adbc…
02-28 08:58:13	will bitcoin dip to 45k in february 2026 429 933 793	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0xfe4259…
02-28 08:57:51	will bnb reach 1200 in february	Yes	BUY	2,735	1¢	$41	0x575cd4…
02-28 08:57:33	Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	244	100¢	$244	0xd4ffab…
02-27 23:57:25	Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	244	100¢	$244	0x968932…
02-25 10:22:02	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	279	100¢	$279	0x697a9a…
02-24 18:11:44	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	279	100¢	$279	0x228105…
02-24 18:11:16	Will the Vancouver Canucks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	291	100¢	$291	0xf8a0ac…
02-24 10:22:28	Will the Vancouver Canucks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	291	100¢	$291	0x23f7d4…
02-22 17:04:52	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	239	100¢	$239	0xd8b8b2…
02-14 18:28:03	Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	335	100¢	$335	0x547f3b…
02-11 23:32:21	Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	236	100¢	$236	0x5bd17a…
02-11 09:01:27	Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	236	100¢	$236	0x5370f8…