Glaring-Tolerance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$269

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-11

last 08-08 07:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

46% 0% —

Politics

26% — —

Sports

25% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	3	$34	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$0	03-30 10:56
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$24	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$0	03-30 07:06
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?	2	$22	842	842	+0	No	+$0	03-30 08:39
btc updown 5m 1775010300	1	$8	16	0	+16	open	—	03-31 07:20
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	1	$8	8	0	+8	open	—	05-22 05:16
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	1	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	05-25 03:49
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	1	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	06-08 08:07
nba mem bkn 2026 03 09	1	$7	14	0	+14	open	—	03-09 08:18
Will Iran strike Khurais Field by April 30?	1	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	04-27 03:40
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	1	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	06-29 05:37
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	1	$7	8	0	+8	open	—	06-01 03:10
iran military action against a gulf state on july 17 20260708212322942	1	$7	33	0	+33	open	—	07-13 02:24
will duke win the 2026 ncaa tournament	1	$7	8	0	+8	open	—	03-23 09:04
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 30 20260607234650335	1	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	06-22 09:30
nhl nj bos 2026 04 14	1	$6	12	0	+12	open	—	04-14 02:15
iran full airspace closure by july 21	1	$6	7	0	+7	open	—	07-20 09:02
will michigan win the 2026 ncaa tournament	1	$6	29	0	+29	open	—	03-26 05:48
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 12 2026	1	$6	7	0	+7	open	—	04-11 03:46
nba det tor 2026 02 11 spread away 1pt5	1	$6	12	0	+12	open	—	02-11 09:34
will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	1	$6	10	0	+10	open	—	03-19 11:03
nba dal por 2026 03 27	1	$6	28	0	+28	open	—	03-27 03:45
nba tor chi 2026 02 19 spread away 5pt5	1	$6	11	0	+11	open	—	02-18 11:52
nhl col dal 2026 04 04	1	$6	12	0	+12	open	—	04-04 13:17
nhl van cal 2026 03 28	1	$6	9	0	+9	open	—	03-28 07:01
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 240 259	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	03-03 02:57
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 300 319	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	03-16 03:18
nhl phi nj 2026 04 07	1	$6	12	0	+12	open	—	04-07 08:54
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	03-21 03:02
nhl bos fla 2026 04 02	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	04-02 05:54
iranhezbollah strike on cyprus by march 7	1	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	03-03 04:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-08 07:39:37	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	28	7¢	$2	0xbdb62c…
07-27 03:58:57	israel military action against greater beirut by july 31 20260708204650550	Yes	BUY	32	6¢	$2	0xcc64fa…
07-20 09:02:37	iran full airspace closure by july 21	No	BUY	7	93¢	$6	0xa71fd0…
07-13 02:24:44	iran military action against a gulf state on july 17 20260708212322942	Yes	BUY	33	20¢	$7	0xf3e75d…
07-06 07:08:04	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	BUY	31	9¢	$3	0x63ecce…
06-29 05:37:14	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0x67f3b4…
06-22 09:30:29	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 30 20260607234650335	No	BUY	7	91¢	$7	0x077012…
06-08 08:07:27	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0xc86d81…
06-01 03:10:07	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	8	82¢	$7	0xf5abe1…
05-25 03:49:29	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	Yes	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0xb6374a…
05-22 05:16:16	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	8	90¢	$8	0x286e0e…
05-11 06:33:57	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	5¢	$2	0xcb6359…
04-27 03:40:02	Will Iran strike Khurais Field by April 30?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x1f3d47…
04-21 03:29:36	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x9e9a6c…
04-18 09:11:16	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 19 2026	No	BUY	28	10¢	$3	0x98562e…
04-14 02:15:29	nhl nj bos 2026 04 14	Bruins	BUY	12	55¢	$6	0x9e256b…
04-11 03:46:37	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 12 2026	No	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x4a47d2…
04-07 08:54:51	nhl phi nj 2026 04 07	Flyers	BUY	12	47¢	$6	0xbbe144…
04-04 13:17:57	nhl col dal 2026 04 04	Stars	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0xa6f1ac…
04-02 05:54:37	nhl bos fla 2026 04 02	Bruins	BUY	9	59¢	$5	0xbcb70e…
03-31 07:20:53	btc updown 5m 1775010300	Down	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0xba1345…
03-30 10:56:30	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	11	2¢	$0	0xaa7339…
03-30 08:39:34	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	842	1¢	$11	0x51eac8…
03-30 08:38:46	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	989	2¢	$17	0xb0097b…
03-30 08:11:20	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1,000	2¢	$17	0x4d49ce…
03-30 08:09:32	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	842	1¢	$11	0xe81958…
03-30 07:06:18	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	1,000	1¢	$12	0xb9a68e…
03-30 07:02:38	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$12	0xc84856…
03-28 07:01:33	nhl van cal 2026 03 28	Flames	BUY	9	61¢	$6	0xe1627e…
03-27 03:45:05	nba dal por 2026 03 27	Mavericks	BUY	28	22¢	$6	0xd7bea7…
03-26 05:48:47	will michigan win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	29	22¢	$6	0x680300…
03-23 09:04:49	will duke win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	8	83¢	$7	0x2322a8…
03-21 03:02:45	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xfabfeb…
03-19 11:03:11	will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x23d24b…
03-16 03:18:51	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 300 319	No	BUY	6	88¢	$6	0x4acad9…
03-09 08:18:51	nba mem bkn 2026 03 09	Nets	BUY	14	48¢	$7	0x6bf852…
03-03 04:49:21	iranhezbollah strike on cyprus by march 7	No	BUY	12	44¢	$5	0xaf1cba…
03-03 02:57:09	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 240 259	No	BUY	6	91¢	$6	0x1c1ec5…
02-25 02:58:06	will the us not strike iran by february 28 2026	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x0b040b…
02-18 11:52:46	nba tor chi 2026 02 19 spread away 5pt5	Raptors	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x5906df…
02-11 09:34:09	nba det tor 2026 02 11 spread away 1pt5	Raptors	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x508693…