Personal-Decrease — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$32

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.6%

Resolved

Trades

220

lifetime

Volume

$4.19K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-10

last 06-09 12:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Other

57% 53% $-12

Crypto

22% 78% +$1

Sports

12% 100% +$0

Politics

9% 12% $-21

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	14	$275	138	138	+0	No	+$0	04-01 04:52
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?	10	$255	128	128	+0	No	$-0	04-11 06:59
Will Lyon win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	12	$161	81	81	+0	No	+$0	04-18 00:01
Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	7	$148	74	74	+0	No	+$0	04-01 04:56
will microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	6	$145	73	73	+0	No	+$0	03-20 08:36
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 320 339	9	$143	180	180	+0	Yes	$-1	03-20 10:18
Will Jenna Lewis-Dougherty win Survivor Season 50?	6	$142	71	71	+0	No	+$0	03-24 07:03
Will Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	9	$139	70	70	+0	No	$-0	04-11 06:57
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	4	$118	59	59	+0	No	+$0	02-24 06:25
will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	4	$116	58	58	+0	No	+$0	02-20 04:54
will joachim trier win best director at the 98th academy awards	4	$106	53	53	+0	No	+$0	03-15 21:48
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	4	$103	52	52	+0	No	+$0	03-03 07:49
will mrbeasts latest video get between 66 and 67 million views on day 4	3	$96	43	93	-50	Yes	$-11	04-08 06:28
Will Monaco win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	5	$86	43	43	+0	No	+$0	03-27 04:08
will the us invade iran by march 31	3	$63	200	200	+0	No	$-3	03-24 17:59
Will the Nashville Predators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	03-17 05:21
will player 194 win beast games season 2 924	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	02-20 04:57
Will the New York Rangers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	02-28 06:45
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	3	$56	38	18	+20	No	+$0	04-27 13:29
will the logan paul 1st edition charizard sale price be over 500k	2	$56	28	28	+0	Yes	+$0	02-16 03:40
will trn cm t be the next president of vietnam	3	$55	39	16	+23	No	+$0	04-05 12:40
will solana reach 190 in february 2026	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	02-28 06:44
Will Dee Valladares win Survivor Season 50?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	04-23 13:31
Katana FDV above $1B one day after launch?	3	$54	36	18	+18	No	+$0	03-17 11:40
Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	04-11 06:57
will mrbeast hit 125 billion views by march 31 882 196 242 539 666	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	$-0	03-20 08:35
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	$-0	04-23 13:33
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	03-17 05:24
will bugonia win best picture at the 98th academy awards	6	$48	24	24	+0	No	+$0	03-13 21:21
will player 148 win beast games season 2 673	2	$48	24	24	+0	No	+$0	02-24 06:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 12:37:57	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$2	0x987c9a…
06-08 11:31:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$3	0x32dc67…
06-07 22:15:33	will ethereum reach 2600 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	333	1¢	$3	0x0dadc8…
06-05 04:34:28	will ethereum reach 2600 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	333	1¢	$4	0x1fb8cf…
05-04 10:49:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 4?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x8b603f…
05-01 17:59:20	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0xb7df69…
04-27 13:29:12	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc21e5a…
04-23 14:04:46	highest temperature in nyc on april 23 2026 72 73f	Yes	SELL	17	61¢	$10	0xab0f89…
04-23 14:01:34	will the price of solana be between 90 100 on april 23	No	BUY	8	98¢	$7	0x0acfb6…
04-23 13:54:46	highest temperature in nyc on april 23 2026 72 73f	Yes	BUY	17	62¢	$11	0x512b2d…
04-23 13:36:56	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x152b7e…
04-23 13:35:12	Will Solana dip to $10 in April?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xf52ea0…
04-23 13:33:00	Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x738efc…
04-23 13:31:52	Will Dee Valladares win Survivor Season 50?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x04dac3…
04-20 05:32:34	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x47288b…
04-18 02:18:32	Will Solana dip to $10 in April?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x8b7e52…
04-18 00:01:12	Will Lyon win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x6db67b…
04-17 07:01:06	donald trump of truth social posts april 14 april 21 100 119	Yes	SELL	79	14¢	$11	0x0b6f5d…
04-16 08:51:18	Will Dee Valladares win Survivor Season 50?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xb16edf…
04-15 12:13:16	Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x311fa4…
04-15 04:39:28	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x7651dc…
04-15 04:38:06	Will Wells Fargo or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x890070…
04-15 02:17:50	donald trump of truth social posts april 14 april 21 100 119	Yes	BUY	81	37¢	$30	0xf0f80a…
04-12 09:47:05	Will Wells Fargo or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xe8341b…
04-12 03:01:55	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x420961…
04-11 12:31:53	will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on april 12	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x64d64d…
04-11 11:37:45	Will Lyon win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x2b42cf…
04-11 08:26:17	donald trump of truth social posts april 7 april 14 120 139	Yes	SELL	37	47¢	$18	0x0dd626…
04-11 07:18:19	donald trump of truth social posts april 7 april 14 120 139	Yes	BUY	37	48¢	$18	0xf80c09…
04-11 06:59:47	Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x7688e7…
04-11 06:59:21	Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x89e85c…
04-11 06:59:07	Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0xa43a64…
04-11 06:57:47	Will Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x54be8e…
04-11 06:57:19	Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x23f82a…
04-09 02:39:19	Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xae7895…
04-08 08:24:05	Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x08c826…
04-08 07:20:57	ethereum above 2500 on april 8	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x626a54…
04-08 06:28:11	will mrbeasts latest video get between 66 and 67 million views on day 4	Yes	SELL	43	71¢	$31	0x64f9ce…
04-08 06:19:31	will mrbeasts latest video get between 66 and 67 million views on day 4	Yes	SELL	50	73¢	$36	0x0a355c…
04-08 06:19:01	will mrbeasts latest video get between 66 and 67 million views on day 4	Yes	BUY	43	66¢	$28	0x80a85a…
04-08 04:58:49	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x83b5c3…
04-08 04:56:59	Will the Seattle Kraken win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xcb0451…
04-08 04:53:21	Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x5704bf…
04-07 02:15:11	Will the Seattle Kraken win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xfc3154…
04-06 14:52:11	Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0xc04831…
04-06 03:32:47	Will Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x574dc1…
04-05 14:42:43	bitcoin above 70k on april 5	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x6d6491…
04-05 13:51:21	Will Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x8d24ce…
04-05 12:40:25	will trn cm t be the next president of vietnam	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x896ae2…
04-05 12:13:11	will trn cm t be the next president of vietnam	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x8f83e7…
04-05 12:12:29	Will Lyon win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x2bacc9…
04-05 12:10:35	Will UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xcc0045…
04-01 10:05:27	will trn cm t be the next president of vietnam	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x150b23…
04-01 08:50:33	Will UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xfeb52b…
04-01 06:10:49	Will Lyon win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x3d3c82…
04-01 04:58:25	will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xdcedea…
04-01 04:57:59	Will Lyon win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x83f5bf…
04-01 04:56:33	Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xf66f12…
04-01 04:52:57	will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xb5df16…
04-01 04:51:15	Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0xed3a3c…
03-28 21:43:34	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x042a43…
03-28 16:35:17	Will Lyon win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xabf910…
03-28 11:36:35	donald trump of truth social posts march 27 april 3 80 99	Yes	SELL	50	32¢	$16	0xc27f2d…
03-28 05:35:45	will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x31f84c…
03-27 11:17:43	will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x5ab25c…
03-27 06:59:33	Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0xe13977…
03-27 06:03:09	Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xfbba51…
03-27 05:23:29	Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$10	0x0cbc6e…
03-27 04:19:17	will mrbeasts next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1 287	Yes	SELL	35	14¢	$5	0x01d34f…
03-27 04:11:45	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 260 279	Yes	SELL	50	40¢	$20	0xfa3884…
03-27 04:10:27	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 260 279	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x718e40…
03-27 04:08:45	Will Monaco win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x592fe8…
03-27 04:06:01	will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xadb69c…
03-27 04:05:19	will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x0fb6ae…
03-27 03:59:41	Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xf9ecb0…
03-27 03:59:09	Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0x603060…
03-27 03:52:03	will mrbeasts next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1 287	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x80d456…
03-27 03:52:03	will mrbeasts next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1 287	Yes	BUY	30	14¢	$4	0x700d15…
03-26 08:24:57	will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7be197…
03-26 08:11:05	will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xc4dfdf…
03-25 05:52:23	Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x6179ed…
03-25 02:23:41	will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x363ce5…
03-24 23:55:57	will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd73362…
03-24 21:19:41	donald trump of truth social posts march 27 april 3 80 99	Yes	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0xf9f1cc…
03-24 17:59:09	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	135	15¢	$20	0x0521a9…
03-24 13:10:55	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x3b600e…
03-24 11:59:27	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	65	15¢	$10	0x171876…
03-24 11:58:57	Will Monaco win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x23827f…
03-24 09:31:33	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	200	17¢	$33	0xf11489…
03-24 07:03:03	Will Jenna Lewis-Dougherty win Survivor Season 50?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x9c4709…
03-24 07:02:03	Will Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x14038d…
03-24 07:01:33	Will Monaco win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xb5ab34…
03-24 07:00:57	will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x68550b…
03-24 07:00:31	Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xc3f41a…
03-22 22:22:27	Will Monaco win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x678994…
03-22 19:04:57	Will Monaco win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdeab2c…
03-22 18:01:49	Will Jenna Lewis-Dougherty win Survivor Season 50?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x52b81d…
03-21 03:08:03	Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x9b3eec…
03-20 20:31:35	Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x24f13a…
03-20 10:38:47	donald trump of truth social posts march 13 march 20 100 119	No	SELL	36	13¢	$5	0x03673a…