Dramatic-Can — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.9%

Resolved

Trades

411

lifetime

Volume

$2.39K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-28

last 08-01 13:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

73% 60% $-29

Other

15% — —

Politics

12% 67% +$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1776949200	8	$218	164	160	+4	open	—	04-23 13:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	13	$168	231	131	+101	Up	$-22	05-09 13:00
btc updown 5m 1776949500	6	$135	107	104	+3	open	—	04-23 13:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	3	$90	61	61	+0	Up	+$30	05-09 12:50
btc updown 5m 1776948900	2	$84	50	50	+1	open	—	04-23 12:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	3	$55	48	34	+14	Down	$-5	05-09 12:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	2	$54	30	30	+0	Down	+$4	05-09 12:33
iran closes its airspace by june 8	5	$52	113	113	+0	open	—	06-08 07:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	6	$43	53	53	+0	Down	+$3	05-09 13:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	3	$42	38	32	+6	open	—	05-31 13:24
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	6	$42	64	64	+0	open	—	05-24 19:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	4	$40	150	9	+141	Down	$-30	05-09 13:03
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	2	$33	27	26	+1	open	—	04-07 15:16
btc updown 5m 1775074200	4	$32	31	30	+1	open	—	04-01 20:13
btc updown 5m 1776949800	1	$30	52	0	+52	open	—	04-23 13:11
btc updown 5m 1776948600	1	$30	35	0	+35	open	—	04-23 12:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	4	$28	16	16	+0	Down	+$4	05-09 13:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	4	$25	19	19	+0	open	—	05-14 08:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	4	$25	15	15	+0	open	—	05-16 09:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	5	$24	25	16	+9	Up	$-6	05-09 12:27
iran full airspace closure by august 15	3	$24	59	29	+30	open	—	08-01 13:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	5	$23	22	22	+0	open	—	05-18 19:14
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 220 239	2	$22	50	50	+0	open	—	04-12 04:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	5	$22	35	15	+20	Up	+$0	05-13 12:43
btc updown 5m 1775590500	4	$22	25	22	+3	open	—	04-07 19:39
spx up or down on april 2 2026	2	$21	21	21	+0	open	—	04-02 15:26
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	5	$20	15	15	+0	open	—	04-12 08:59
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 160 179	2	$20	667	333	+333	open	—	03-29 18:59
btc updown 5m 1775590800	3	$19	27	7	+20	open	—	04-07 19:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	4	$19	14	14	+0	open	—	05-14 08:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-01 13:30:14	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0x35d7b1…
08-01 04:47:23	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	SELL	29	31¢	$9	0xab02e2…
07-28 13:13:44	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x45c3e3…
07-23 17:59:15	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	SELL	18	32¢	$6	0xb9838d…
07-22 13:17:37	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	BUY	18	24¢	$4	0x4b05f0…
07-10 08:50:47	btc updown 5m 1783673400	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x8283e8…
07-10 08:48:44	btc updown 5m 1783673100	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x89af7d…
07-07 12:55:23	btc updown 5m 1783428900	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x00eaca…
07-07 12:50:43	btc updown 5m 1783428600	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xaf4df1…
07-05 09:54:38	btc updown 5m 1783245000	Down	SELL	10	72¢	$7	0xf2b356…
07-05 09:53:58	btc updown 5m 1783245000	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xe49cd7…
07-03 12:59:25	btc updown 5m 1783083300	Up	SELL	12	73¢	$9	0x19e4fb…
07-03 12:58:49	btc updown 5m 1783083300	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xe7f9d4…
06-23 18:04:28	btc updown 5m 1782237600	Up	SELL	8	94¢	$8	0x357dce…
06-23 18:00:10	btc updown 5m 1782237600	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xf56144…
06-12 05:35:24	btc updown 5m 1781242500	Up	BUY	12	46¢	$5	0x13c0fd…
06-12 05:32:12	btc updown 5m 1781242200	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x979b42…
06-12 05:32:12	btc updown 5m 1781242200	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x2ea684…
06-12 04:39:42	btc updown 5m 1781238900	Down	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x395139…
06-12 04:35:58	btc updown 5m 1781238900	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x2de600…
06-08 07:42:28	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	83	0¢	$0	0x65af77…
06-07 21:01:46	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x34c6ff…
06-07 20:55:43	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	30	92¢	$28	0x17e30a…
06-07 19:27:25	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0xb637fc…
06-07 19:20:28	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	19	64¢	$12	0x94e5c6…
06-07 14:41:09	btc updown 5m 1780843200	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xdd068d…
06-07 14:39:46	btc updown 5m 1780842900	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x516734…
06-07 14:10:55	btc updown 5m 1780841400	Down	SELL	11	49¢	$5	0x52a576…
06-07 14:10:33	btc updown 5m 1780841400	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x20e05f…
06-07 14:09:42	btc updown 5m 1780841100	Down	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0xbc1230…
06-07 14:06:37	btc updown 5m 1780841100	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xfd82a4…
06-07 13:50:30	btc updown 5m 1780840200	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x89d966…
06-07 13:33:37	btc updown 5m 1780839000	Down	SELL	8	78¢	$6	0x2c0403…
06-07 13:33:01	btc updown 5m 1780839000	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x783bd4…
06-07 13:24:27	btc updown 5m 1780838400	Up	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0x5ce11e…
06-07 13:21:40	btc updown 5m 1780838400	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xed767d…
06-07 12:32:09	btc updown 5m 1780835400	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x6b5126…
06-07 12:25:21	btc updown 5m 1780835100	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xad5f65…
06-07 12:25:00	btc updown 5m 1780834800	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x3e9046…
06-07 12:20:40	btc updown 5m 1780834800	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xc14555…
06-07 12:18:12	btc updown 5m 1780834500	Down	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x1bd94a…
06-07 12:16:00	btc updown 5m 1780834500	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xe71603…
05-31 13:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xc371ae…
05-31 13:24:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	32	39¢	$12	0x422a92…
05-31 13:20:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0x464367…
05-31 13:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x39ec87…
05-24 19:25:59	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	17	8¢	$1	0x754ec1…
05-24 12:23:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xe21984…
05-23 21:14:52	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	Yes	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xa22a9f…
05-23 12:41:36	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	33	70¢	$23	0x4b27f0…
05-23 07:16:13	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x7ec3a9…
05-23 06:39:33	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0x08a849…
05-21 15:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x461fb0…
05-21 15:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x715ade…
05-21 15:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	7	83¢	$5	0xda5525…
05-21 15:12:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x16120c…
05-21 15:11:48	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0xa8d129…
05-21 10:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	9	70¢	$6	0x7f16c5…
05-21 10:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xd5af6e…
05-21 09:58:33	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x34cf19…
05-20 07:24:04	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x47108e…
05-19 13:01:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	12	42¢	$5	0x87bbf3…
05-19 13:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xa12fb5…
05-18 19:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	9	58¢	$5	0xf42fe4…
05-18 19:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x2b1ff3…
05-18 19:12:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x0761fd…
05-18 19:11:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	8	57¢	$5	0xe0229a…
05-18 19:11:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x46759e…
05-18 19:06:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	8	27¢	$2	0xaccbc6…
05-18 19:05:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xeb1e9f…
05-18 19:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x155cc0…
05-18 19:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x358864…
05-18 13:46:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	12	51¢	$6	0xa432d5…
05-18 13:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x51f4ce…
05-18 13:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xdd08c5…
05-18 13:39:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd8f3ed…
05-16 10:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	SELL	7	98¢	$6	0x3116b9…
05-16 10:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xc5369b…
05-16 10:27:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	9	55¢	$5	0x9792d2…
05-16 10:26:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xc4732f…
05-16 10:19:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	12	87¢	$11	0xd39334…
05-16 10:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xb399aa…
05-16 10:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x91105e…
05-16 10:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xeadf14…
05-16 09:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xe165ce…
05-16 09:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x1ed98b…
05-16 09:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0x84ae92…
05-16 09:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x486ecc…
05-16 09:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	39	13¢	$5	0xb415a3…
05-16 09:38:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x9a1a05…
05-14 08:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$5	0x7de82f…
05-14 08:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xebf3ef…
05-14 08:27:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	8	47¢	$4	0x51d966…
05-14 08:25:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x50fc33…
05-14 08:22:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x41d478…
05-14 08:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x454429…
05-14 08:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	12	81¢	$9	0x5cd061…
05-14 08:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x220610…
05-14 08:17:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	8	70¢	$5	0xc1f3e0…
05-14 08:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x7d1809…