Miserly-Overload — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

509

lifetime

Volume

$8.28K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-21 03:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

56% 0% $-13

Other

34% 0% $-0

Crypto

6% — —

Pop-Culture

3% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 449 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	57	$3.6K	1,998	1,995	+3	open	—	05-20 23:29
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	57	$2.4K	1,266	1,216	+49	open	—	05-13 17:35
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	13	$331	184	150	+34	open	—	05-13 16:41
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?	57	$252	145	140	+5	open	—	05-13 17:55
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	51	$231	130	125	+5	open	—	05-13 17:45
Will Poland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	33	$141	84	80	+4	open	—	05-13 17:16
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	27	$131	70	65	+5	open	—	05-13 17:17
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	15	$120	41,490	36,595	+4,895	open	—	05-21 03:42
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026?	25	$111	62	60	+2	open	—	05-13 17:06
Will ICEMAN debut No.1 on Billboard 200?	12	$96	51	48	+3	open	—	05-13 16:37
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?	18	$90	45	45	+0	open	—	05-13 17:55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	4	$81	140	0	+140	Yes	$-2	05-09 04:36
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	12	$78	42	42	+0	open	—	05-20 23:29
Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	14	$76	45	37	+8	open	—	05-13 16:43
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	9	$60	34	26	+8	open	—	05-13 17:06
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 15?	11	$55	30	25	+5	open	—	05-13 16:41
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	11	$54	30	25	+5	open	—	05-13 16:43
Will Belgium be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	11	$53	30	25	+5	open	—	05-13 16:43
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	10	$41	25	25	+0	open	—	05-21 01:54
Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	9	$38	21	20	+1	open	—	05-13 17:09
Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	8	$34	20	15	+5	open	—	05-13 16:39
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	7	$34	20	15	+5	open	—	05-13 16:41
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	4	$31	24	10	+13	open	—	05-20 23:33
Will Trump insult MBS by May 15?	5	$25	15	10	+5	open	—	05-13 16:37
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	5	$19	217	216	+0	Yes	$-10	05-09 04:39
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	2	$17	10	10	+0	open	—	05-20 23:29
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	5	$13	19	11	+8	open	—	05-20 23:33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$12	25	19	+5	open	—	05-20 23:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	6	$12	108	98	+10	open	—	05-21 01:28
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-19 14:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 03:42:46	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	690	0¢	$1	0x595de7…
05-21 03:41:43	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2,830	0¢	$6	0xaf77b0…
05-21 03:40:40	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	10,050	0¢	$10	0xdbe9af…
05-21 03:39:23	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	11,425	0¢	$23	0xf9fbd6…
05-21 03:38:51	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	13,575	0¢	$14	0x327cd8…
05-21 03:38:20	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xf9f06f…
05-21 03:37:48	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	985	0¢	$2	0x6c5488…
05-21 03:36:45	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	1,220	0¢	$1	0x309d3d…
05-21 03:36:12	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xc07ec8…
05-21 03:35:39	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2,435	0¢	$5	0x37e089…
05-21 03:34:34	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	3,040	0¢	$3	0x543a55…
05-21 03:34:03	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	40	0¢	$0	0x506328…
05-21 03:33:31	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	6,090	0¢	$12	0xc7c5c8…
05-21 03:31:18	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	8,640	0¢	$9	0xc2c399…
05-21 03:29:05	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	17,035	0¢	$34	0xaa7563…
05-21 01:54:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xc59a0d…
05-21 01:28:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x99edd2…
05-20 23:33:25	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xffb20b…
05-20 23:33:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xc53cdd…
05-20 23:31:14	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x257679…
05-20 23:31:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0x8f4c69…
05-20 23:31:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x48e39d…
05-20 23:30:37	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x8b04d2…
05-20 23:30:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xff7772…
05-20 23:30:34	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	8	32¢	$2	0x9d6809…
05-20 23:30:34	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x3671df…
05-20 23:30:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	12	94¢	$12	0x02c2e4…
05-20 23:30:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	83	6¢	$5	0x9ba7da…
05-20 23:29:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	15	6¢	$1	0xed8856…
05-20 23:29:59	Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	57	98¢	$56	0xed0b97…
05-20 23:29:59	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	No	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0xa6d593…
05-20 23:29:59	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x7f0d51…
05-20 23:29:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x54b6fd…
05-20 22:47:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	38	6¢	$2	0x4d70a6…
05-20 22:46:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	39	6¢	$2	0x38cfc1…
05-20 17:58:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	23¢	$4	0xec01ee…
05-20 17:35:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xb16324…
05-20 17:33:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xd079c5…
05-20 17:33:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	26	7¢	$2	0x87fc25…
05-20 17:33:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	19¢	$3	0x577214…
05-19 15:35:08	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x827629…
05-19 14:43:34	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$4	0x8fd2ba…
05-19 14:43:32	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	6	97¢	$5	0x7eeb03…
05-19 14:43:32	Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	59	97¢	$58	0x79701b…
05-19 14:43:32	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	No	BUY	10	86¢	$8	0x575168…
05-13 17:55:31	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xfd2822…
05-13 17:55:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xccfb4d…
05-13 17:54:56	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0xfdd7f0…
05-13 17:54:23	Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	82	90¢	$74	0xa61b1b…
05-13 17:53:50	Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	82	92¢	$75	0x4a2a67…
05-13 17:53:15	Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	83	90¢	$75	0x82b97f…
05-13 17:53:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2f1554…
05-13 17:52:42	Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	83	92¢	$77	0x8582c4…
05-13 17:52:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xbf82e4…
05-13 17:52:40	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x2c28d3…
05-13 17:52:07	Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	92	90¢	$82	0x805d2a…
05-13 17:52:05	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0xc31843…
05-13 17:50:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x770f05…
05-13 17:49:41	Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	92	92¢	$84	0xf5cbc9…
05-13 17:49:40	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xde58e9…
05-13 17:49:06	Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	87	90¢	$78	0xf6b5f6…
05-13 17:49:06	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x2617a9…
05-13 17:48:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd7168f…
05-13 17:46:50	Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	87	92¢	$80	0x58bea5…
05-13 17:46:48	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xf3ac6c…
05-13 17:46:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0a4033…
05-13 17:45:40	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xe6a515…
05-13 17:44:47	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xf54a93…
05-13 17:44:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x3be481…
05-13 17:44:12	Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	86	90¢	$78	0x9b28b8…
05-13 17:44:12	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x4475a2…
05-13 17:42:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe13ad4…
05-13 17:42:29	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xc6d111…
05-13 17:41:56	Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	86	92¢	$79	0xa39582…
05-13 17:41:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x5d0cdd…
05-13 17:41:54	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xc60b38…
05-13 17:41:54	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x373f0b…
05-13 17:41:23	Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	89	90¢	$80	0xff80d8…
05-13 17:41:21	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x133b60…
05-13 17:39:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9e8579…
05-13 17:39:36	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x917f6b…
05-13 17:39:03	Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	89	92¢	$82	0xfc4cd8…
05-13 17:39:01	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xdd2bb8…
05-13 17:38:26	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xd7854d…
05-13 17:38:26	Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	109	90¢	$98	0xaeaacb…
05-13 17:38:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x983010…
05-13 17:38:26	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x15f71b…
05-13 17:36:09	Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0xb10400…
05-13 17:36:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb0eb25…
05-13 17:36:08	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xfbe1bd…
05-13 17:36:08	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x461a2a…
05-13 17:35:31	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xcf05b7…
05-13 17:35:31	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0xc7ff48…
05-13 17:35:29	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	49	97¢	$48	0x969980…
05-13 17:34:54	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	51	97¢	$50	0x9faa15…
05-13 17:32:52	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x4cbf10…
05-13 17:32:52	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x3cf7f0…
05-13 17:32:17	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x049cda…
05-13 17:32:15	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0x87f672…
05-13 17:32:15	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x1d30eb…