Whimsical-Terminal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$610.7K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.7%

Resolved

Trades

164,157

lifetime

Volume

$60.9M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$371

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-10 06:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Politics

70% 50% +$610,651

Other

26% — —

Tech

3% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 1336 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2,751	$1.55M	2,039,822	0	+2,039,822	open	—	02-28 06:12
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2,089	$1.28M	995,785	518,344	+477,442	open	—	03-31 02:20
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	1,653	$1.11M	1,263,978	243,976	+1,020,002	open	—	01-31 18:52
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	813	$1.08M	1,099,001	64,042	+1,034,959	open	—	02-28 03:35
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1,704	$900.2K	1,045,739	228,974	+816,765	open	—	03-31 16:45
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2,287	$870.3K	1,233,497	82,534	+1,150,964	open	—	04-01 01:50
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	690	$854.5K	881,754	0	+881,754	open	—	02-10 02:41
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	1,283	$833.7K	985,035	17,852	+967,183	open	—	01-31 19:51
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	790	$828.6K	576,488	311,337	+265,150	open	—	02-28 22:53
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	1,408	$784.3K	967,860	541,705	+426,155	open	—	04-08 22:21
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	791	$758.5K	318,444	533,407	-214,963	open	—	08-07 14:11
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	1,100	$731.1K	797,178	0	+797,178	open	—	02-21 03:21
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1,342	$715.6K	830,996	72,885	+758,111	open	—	04-29 18:51
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	1,625	$704.9K	856,194	18,870	+837,324	open	—	05-28 04:34
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	881	$681.0K	785,448	0	+785,448	open	—	06-01 00:37
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	1,322	$674.2K	795,706	0	+795,706	open	—	02-14 00:29
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	713	$609.5K	477,008	262,981	+214,027	open	—	03-11 19:19
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	514	$607.3K	645,557	0	+645,557	open	—	02-23 04:38
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	627	$589.3K	377,349	278,480	+98,869	open	—	01-31 04:37
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1,613	$579.7K	996,789	11,814	+984,975	open	—	04-08 05:47
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	461	$574.7K	280,266	314,755	-34,488	open	—	03-06 19:35
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	1,509	$569.7K	1,116,681	7,787	+1,108,894	open	—	02-28 00:53
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	1,307	$554.3K	630,995	0	+630,995	open	—	02-06 23:51
another us government shutdown by february 14	1,378	$540.9K	703,041	0	+703,041	open	—	02-15 01:59
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	500	$531.5K	563,511	0	+563,511	open	—	02-22 01:31
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	699	$515.3K	573,816	0	+573,816	open	—	05-15 11:05
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	1,729	$510.8K	931,039	6,369	+924,670	open	—	04-08 11:45
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	601	$500.0K	538,806	0	+538,806	open	—	02-25 02:29
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	1,052	$492.0K	765,560	10,275	+755,285	open	—	04-07 20:43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1,282	$485.6K	871,358	0	+871,358	open	—	06-01 00:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 08:52:19	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	Yes	BUY	125	7¢	$9	0xfb48d4…
08-10 08:51:58	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	220	5¢	$11	0x4514b6…
08-10 08:50:55	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x7673a7…
08-10 08:50:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0x23fafa…
08-10 08:50:30	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0x2cac96…
08-10 08:49:48	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xb4cc2e…
08-10 08:48:00	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	Yes	BUY	34	53¢	$18	0x5bec9b…
08-10 08:46:16	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	125	5¢	$6	0x9bfe4e…
08-10 08:46:03	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	86	5¢	$4	0xd21782…
08-10 08:44:54	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	Yes	BUY	57	2¢	$1	0xc09de6…
08-10 08:44:34	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	98	5¢	$5	0xeb43cb…
08-10 08:43:49	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	115	5¢	$5	0x12096c…
08-10 08:38:49	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	86	5¢	$4	0x655949…
08-10 08:37:52	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	79	5¢	$4	0x797db0…
08-10 08:36:16	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	95	5¢	$4	0x81910e…
08-10 08:35:49	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	59	5¢	$3	0x59d128…
08-10 08:34:18	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	78	5¢	$4	0x95a7ac…
08-10 08:30:45	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	Yes	BUY	108	7¢	$8	0xe920bf…
08-10 08:29:55	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x76ddb3…
08-10 08:29:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0x6c4db8…
08-10 08:29:07	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	45	5¢	$2	0x922f0f…
08-10 08:29:07	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x6fcb91…
08-10 08:29:04	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	101	5¢	$5	0xd292ea…
08-10 08:28:25	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x0b809e…
08-10 08:27:06	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	76	5¢	$4	0x09b8d5…
08-10 08:26:55	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0xec9ee3…
08-10 08:26:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0xe5c9c3…
08-10 08:23:39	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	92	5¢	$4	0x6d4aeb…
08-10 08:22:24	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	118	5¢	$6	0x01211a…
08-10 08:21:55	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	14	5¢	$1	0x3b8b10…
08-10 08:21:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x90b8d0…
08-10 08:21:49	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	27	5¢	$1	0xd18a19…
08-10 08:21:48	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0x26f1f2…
08-10 08:21:36	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0xbf609d…
08-10 08:21:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x73f562…
08-10 08:21:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0xce1ce8…
08-10 08:21:07	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0x4be3b5…
08-10 08:21:01	will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	No	BUY	110	27¢	$30	0x69b2a2…
08-10 08:19:31	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	1,080	5¢	$54	0xe40b84…
08-10 08:17:34	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0xb47655…
08-10 08:17:24	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0xeb83da…
08-10 08:16:48	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	120	5¢	$6	0xaca09f…
08-10 08:15:52	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	114	5¢	$5	0xc740ff…
08-10 08:13:57	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x3c6dbf…
08-10 08:12:49	will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x6a1a6d…
08-10 08:11:03	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	82	5¢	$4	0xd1f0b1…
08-10 08:11:03	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	Yes	BUY	600	53¢	$320	0x6bf7ed…
08-10 08:10:04	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	101	5¢	$5	0x81921c…
08-10 08:04:01	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x3dd872…
08-10 08:01:42	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0x6b1473…
08-10 07:52:51	will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	No	BUY	400	27¢	$108	0xd1b0a2…
08-10 07:51:36	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	BUY	59	3¢	$2	0x56cbbe…
08-10 07:51:12	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	BUY	589	3¢	$18	0x3fd84b…
08-10 07:33:48	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x411f33…
08-10 07:33:42	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	BUY	634	3¢	$19	0x911414…
08-10 07:31:31	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	Yes	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0xbb5965…
08-10 07:31:16	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	Yes	BUY	50	53¢	$27	0xe92eea…
08-10 07:22:18	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804000051471	Yes	BUY	184	25¢	$46	0x013676…
08-10 07:22:16	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	Yes	BUY	3,759	8¢	$301	0x9f6366…
08-10 07:21:16	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	7	13¢	$1	0x941d2b…
08-10 07:19:58	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	15	5¢	$1	0xcfe562…
08-10 07:05:03	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	Yes	BUY	800	2¢	$16	0x4b9b02…
08-10 07:03:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	1,366	11¢	$150	0xdcf6c8…
08-10 07:03:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	1,863	11¢	$205	0xf9a9e8…
08-10 07:03:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	902	11¢	$99	0xee4a4d…
08-10 07:03:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0xe28ad4…
08-10 07:03:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0x6e1b74…
08-10 07:03:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0x630955…
08-10 07:03:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0x445871…
08-10 07:03:45	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0x9c703c…
08-10 07:03:45	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	5,410	13¢	$703	0x2457e9…
08-10 07:03:45	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0x213c46…
08-10 07:02:51	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xe65df9…
08-10 06:46:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	3,466	4¢	$139	0xc688c6…
08-10 06:46:04	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	Yes	BUY	109	8¢	$9	0x5a8893…
08-10 06:46:01	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804000051471	Yes	BUY	133	25¢	$33	0xe75bc9…
08-10 06:45:34	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1 893	Yes	BUY	81	38¢	$31	0x7f3b10…
08-10 06:43:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	19	4¢	$1	0x74121f…
08-10 06:42:54	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	19	4¢	$1	0x5860dd…
08-10 06:42:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	19	4¢	$1	0x8de713…
08-10 06:40:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xb5593e…
08-10 06:36:58	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804000051471	Yes	BUY	400	25¢	$100	0x4d3492…
08-10 06:36:45	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	Yes	BUY	326	8¢	$26	0xc24f00…
08-10 06:35:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	1,176	4¢	$47	0xa525fb…
08-10 06:34:03	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x67e51f…
08-10 06:33:04	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xa288bd…
08-10 06:31:52	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0x2eef8f…
08-10 06:31:36	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0x7981fc…
08-10 06:31:27	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1 893	Yes	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x75bccb…
08-10 06:31:24	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0xd80281…
08-10 06:29:24	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	81	21¢	$17	0x5a940f…
08-10 06:28:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	506	4¢	$20	0xa1a90c…
08-10 06:25:18	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0xefb1bd…
08-10 06:10:43	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1 893	Yes	BUY	70	38¢	$27	0x0b4381…
08-10 06:05:45	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1 893	Yes	BUY	95	38¢	$36	0x5a371e…
08-10 06:05:33	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 15 20260807213124704	Yes	BUY	5,249	7¢	$367	0x7c23eb…
08-10 06:05:25	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	Yes	BUY	1,656	8¢	$132	0xde5c59…
08-10 06:01:36	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232 846	No	BUY	3	76¢	$3	0xc96440…
08-10 05:58:16	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb9dbc8…
08-10 05:58:16	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1,486	51¢	$758	0x6f13fc…