Finished-Halibut — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$231

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 05-24 20:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 70% $-1

Politics

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	2	$21	15	15	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 04:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	4	$21	20	20	+0	open	—	05-24 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	2	$17	12	12	+0	Down	+$7	05-08 05:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	3	$15	17	5	+11	Up	$-5	05-12 06:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	4	$12	9	9	+0	Down	+$0	05-09 22:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	2	$12	14	14	+0	Up	+$2	05-09 03:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	2	$12	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	05-09 03:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	05-10 01:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	2	$11	20	20	+0	Down	+$2	05-09 04:12
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	2	$10	42	42	+0	open	—	05-08 04:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	4	$8	8	8	+0	Down	+$2	05-08 13:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	4	$8	117	17	+100	Down	$-7	05-08 14:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	Down	+$3	05-08 13:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	6	$7	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 03:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	4	$6	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	05-10 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$6	6	6	+0	open	—	05-24 20:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	2	$6	50	50	+0	Up	+$2	05-08 13:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Down	$-5	05-08 12:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	05-08 06:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	4	$4	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-09 00:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	2	$3	5	5	+0	Down	$-3	05-10 23:29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	05-12 06:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-09 01:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-09 00:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	3	$2	3	2	+1	Down	$-1	05-09 00:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-08 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-10 01:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-09 00:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 02:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-24 20:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	6	24¢	$1	0xad9bc1…
05-24 20:20:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xc001e3…
05-24 20:19:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	7	20¢	$1	0x952cbf…
05-24 20:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xe33308…
05-24 20:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	14	69¢	$9	0x9f3ed8…
05-24 20:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xdccad2…
05-12 06:08:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x87023d…
05-12 06:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x165598…
05-12 06:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	83¢	$5	0xfe44b3…
05-12 06:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x13e70e…
05-12 02:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x125588…
05-12 02:58:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x26f089…
05-12 02:07:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x46b574…
05-12 02:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x0c7215…
05-10 23:35:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x62c445…
05-10 23:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x9e7e4e…
05-10 23:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x3a7604…
05-10 22:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0x0fedce…
05-10 22:53:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xf5aab1…
05-10 22:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0xda230f…
05-10 22:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x1f1e81…
05-10 01:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x3a10a7…
05-10 01:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xb8cb4b…
05-10 01:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	7	90¢	$6	0x42093f…
05-10 01:28:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xb127df…
05-09 22:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	7	72¢	$5	0xb42a8b…
05-09 22:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x7bc2df…
05-09 22:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x02e119…
05-09 22:52:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xd50129…
05-09 04:12:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0x5b3ec8…
05-09 04:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x4a94c7…
05-09 04:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	SELL	15	74¢	$11	0x0f5828…
05-09 04:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x0dabc1…
05-09 03:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	14	52¢	$7	0xa16ee6…
05-09 03:58:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xbcd48e…
05-09 03:54:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0xfd67e3…
05-09 03:53:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x0b006a…
05-09 03:53:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x1e2eb8…
05-09 03:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xcfeb6a…
05-09 03:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0x16b5f7…
05-09 03:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xf58bb8…
05-09 03:49:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	SELL	12	55¢	$7	0xe3a14e…
05-09 03:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x92bf77…
05-09 01:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0xe8560d…
05-09 01:47:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xd43975…
05-09 00:32:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xc4898e…
05-09 00:30:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xe9365f…
05-09 00:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb07413…
05-09 00:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	9¢	$0	0x986dbf…
05-09 00:26:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x2b93d3…
05-09 00:23:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xba3597…
05-09 00:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5e7311…
05-09 00:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x9508f9…
05-09 00:21:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xfb87e0…
05-09 00:19:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	93¢	$1	0x4e2cfe…
05-09 00:18:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xe3ee31…
05-08 23:59:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x032db4…
05-08 23:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x3ff95d…
05-08 18:26:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xe4fc5d…
05-08 18:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	12¢	$0	0xf7fead…
05-08 18:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x5dff38…
05-08 14:24:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x39e07f…
05-08 14:23:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	17	1¢	$0	0x7e5bd7…
05-08 14:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x8454d7…
05-08 14:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	50¢	$6	0xd679d4…
05-08 13:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xaceb47…
05-08 13:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x8bc581…
05-08 13:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x7b44bd…
05-08 13:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0xd9da85…
05-08 13:23:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xe38dbf…
05-08 13:21:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	7	56¢	$4	0x417f44…
05-08 13:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x153e0f…
05-08 13:18:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0x3cdfdb…
05-08 13:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xa86de5…
05-08 12:55:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x9f0b72…
05-08 06:02:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa67bf4…
05-08 05:55:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xf3343e…
05-08 05:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xd28ed8…
05-08 04:43:29	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	SELL	42	11¢	$5	0x47a88c…
05-08 03:49:18	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x47d70e…