Shrill-Gondola-Principle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

45.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$119

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 05-15 08:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Sports

50% 20% $-20

Crypto

43% 77% +$9

Politics

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewers	4	$39	32	32	+0	Milwaukee Brewers	$-5	05-10 21:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	2	$20	16	16	+0	Up	+$12	05-10 06:45
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles	1	$11	14	0	+14	Baltimore Orioles	$-11	05-11 23:21
Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jays	2	$4	3	3	+0	Toronto Blue Jays	+$1	05-09 01:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	1	$4	4	0	+4	Up	+$0	05-10 05:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	1	$4	4	0	+4	Up	+$0	05-10 06:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	1	$4	4	0	+4	Up	+$0	05-10 06:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	1	$4	4	0	+4	Up	+$0	05-10 05:09
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	2	$4	54	54	+0	open	—	05-10 04:47
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	2	$4	38	38	+0	open	—	05-10 04:47
New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewers	1	$3	6	0	+6	Milwaukee Brewers	$-3	05-09 21:57
Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jays	2	$2	5	5	+0	Los Angeles Angels	$-2	05-10 18:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Up	$-2	05-10 07:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	1	$2	14	0	+14	Down	$-2	05-10 09:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	Up	+$1	05-10 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	Down	+$0	05-10 08:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	Down	+$0	05-10 08:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	05-10 08:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	Down	+$0	05-11 06:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	1	$1	4	0	+4	Down	$-1	05-10 10:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	05-15 08:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 08:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xabaea9…
05-11 23:21:24	New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles	New York Yankees	BUY	14	78¢	$11	0xa85ff7…
05-11 06:34:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x207c10…
05-10 21:03:38	New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x588f3c…
05-10 20:03:33	New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0xc0a97e…
05-10 19:39:27	New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewers	New York Yankees	SELL	21	27¢	$6	0x1edac3…
05-10 19:09:25	New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewers	New York Yankees	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0x6c35ae…
05-10 18:57:52	Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Toronto Blue Jays	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x6128c3…
05-10 18:39:54	Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xe1540e…
05-10 10:19:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x52d5a1…
05-10 09:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x719149…
05-10 09:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x983e21…
05-10 08:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x387850…
05-10 08:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x39592c…
05-10 08:48:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xa64b5a…
05-10 07:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xaeaab0…
05-10 06:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xc1db1a…
05-10 06:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xce0200…
05-10 06:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0xc47022…
05-10 06:09:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x036a69…
05-10 05:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x278e6e…
05-10 05:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xf00a64…
05-10 04:47:57	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	SELL	38	5¢	$2	0x946ac2…
05-10 04:47:50	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	SELL	54	4¢	$2	0x7d19d9…
05-10 04:40:04	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	38	5¢	$2	0x69d244…
05-10 04:39:55	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	BUY	54	4¢	$2	0x5d328f…
05-09 21:57:10	New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewers	New York Yankees	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xc969e1…
05-09 01:45:33	Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Toronto Blue Jays	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xdf11f0…
05-08 22:50:24	Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xc8068a…