Outlying-Woodshed — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$799

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-10

last 05-22 20:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

60% 100% +$2

Other

38% 100% +$1

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Judge" or "Court" during events with the 2026 National Football Champions?	2	$101	51	51	+0	Yes	+$1	05-11 20:45
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	10	$99	50	50	+0	open	—	04-13 07:38
Will Trump or Melania say "Child" 5+ times at the Military Mothers event?	2	$71	36	36	+0	Yes	+$1	05-06 18:49
Will Starmer say "Deeply Concerning" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	2	$70	36	36	+0	open	—	05-20 11:35
Will Trump say "Turkey" or "Turkiye" in May?	2	$59	35	35	+0	open	—	05-11 20:22
Will Trump say "Cat" in May?	4	$53	31	31	+0	open	—	05-20 16:53
Will Trump say "Life" 13+ times during Coast Guard event?	2	$47	28	28	+0	open	—	05-20 16:52
Will JD Vance say "Manufacturing" in Des Moines?	2	$21	11	11	+0	Yes	+$1	05-05 22:29
Will Trump say "Percent" 20+ times at The Villages on May 1?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-01 23:20
Will Leavitt say "Historic" or "Historical" during the next White House press briefing?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-15 17:22
will trump say all over the place this week april 19	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	04-15 11:30
Will Trump say "Tax on Tips" 3+ times during Small Business Summit?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	05-04 20:18
Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" during Small Business Summit?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-04 20:17
Will Leavitt say "Tax cut" during the next White House press briefing?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-15 17:20
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-13 09:41
Will Trump say "Discombobulator" or "Discombobulated" in April?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-30 19:52
will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-13 09:32
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	2	$20	14	14	+0	open	—	04-10 17:38
Will Leavitt say "Nevada" or "Arizona" during the next White House press briefing?	2	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	04-15 17:21
will starmer say hundred or thousand 5 times during the next prime ministers questions event	2	$17	11	11	+0	open	—	04-15 11:07
will starmer say kanye or west during the next prime ministers questions event	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	04-15 11:30
will starmer say national security during the next prime ministers questions event	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	04-15 11:05
Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-22 20:44
will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$2	4	4	+0	open	—	04-10 17:37
btc updown 5m 1776084600	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-13 12:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 20:44:52	Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x466394…
05-22 20:44:45	Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x9116e4…
05-20 16:53:17	Will Trump say "Cat" in May?	Yes	SELL	21	89¢	$19	0x04fbf8…
05-20 16:52:52	Will Trump say "Life" 13+ times during Coast Guard event?	Yes	SELL	28	98¢	$27	0x28cb57…
05-20 16:33:13	Will Trump say "Life" 13+ times during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x667e34…
05-20 16:01:34	Will Trump say "Cat" in May?	Yes	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x3399be…
05-20 11:35:13	Will Starmer say "Deeply Concerning" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	SELL	36	99¢	$35	0xd68dfa…
05-20 11:28:24	Will Starmer say "Deeply Concerning" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0x265dc8…
05-11 20:45:56	Will Trump say "Judge" or "Court" during events with the 2026 National Football Champions?	Yes	SELL	51	99¢	$51	0x9e6128…
05-11 20:24:00	Will Trump say "Judge" or "Court" during events with the 2026 National Football Champions?	Yes	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xa63da0…
05-11 20:22:52	Will Trump say "Turkey" or "Turkiye" in May?	Yes	SELL	35	70¢	$24	0x3d9d5f…
05-11 15:38:17	Will Trump say "Turkey" or "Turkiye" in May?	Yes	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0xfbd944…
05-06 18:49:00	Will Trump or Melania say "Child" 5+ times at the Military Mothers event?	Yes	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x2fc19d…
05-06 16:53:00	Will Trump or Melania say "Child" 5+ times at the Military Mothers event?	Yes	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0xaecd16…
05-05 22:29:22	Will JD Vance say "Manufacturing" in Des Moines?	Yes	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x0b79a1…
05-05 22:20:34	Will JD Vance say "Manufacturing" in Des Moines?	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x272d6a…
05-05 20:06:08	Will Trump say "Cat" in May?	Yes	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0x86bfbe…
05-04 20:18:08	Will Trump say "Tax on Tips" 3+ times during Small Business Summit?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x2896c0…
05-04 20:17:44	Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" during Small Business Summit?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x7c9917…
05-04 20:16:56	Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" during Small Business Summit?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xfa230a…
05-04 19:57:50	Will Trump say "Tax on Tips" 3+ times during Small Business Summit?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x0ab3bb…
05-01 23:20:06	Will Trump say "Percent" 20+ times at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x819e9f…
05-01 21:12:12	Will Trump say "Cat" in May?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xcaedaf…
05-01 20:57:52	Will Trump say "Percent" 20+ times at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x8e69d1…
04-30 19:52:28	Will Trump say "Discombobulator" or "Discombobulated" in April?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xcd4007…
04-30 19:42:22	Will Trump say "Discombobulator" or "Discombobulated" in April?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x52a241…
04-15 17:22:20	Will Leavitt say "Historic" or "Historical" during the next White House press briefing?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xfa30c2…
04-15 17:21:34	Will Leavitt say "Nevada" or "Arizona" during the next White House press briefing?	Yes	SELL	10	77¢	$8	0x43f202…
04-15 17:20:34	Will Leavitt say "Tax cut" during the next White House press briefing?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xcad8b2…
04-15 17:20:34	Will Leavitt say "Historic" or "Historical" during the next White House press briefing?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x4fd030…
04-15 17:20:04	Will Leavitt say "Nevada" or "Arizona" during the next White House press briefing?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xcb1c99…
04-15 17:20:04	Will Leavitt say "Tax cut" during the next White House press briefing?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x84403a…
04-15 11:30:50	will starmer say kanye or west during the next prime ministers questions event	Yes	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xb9ff79…
04-15 11:30:40	will trump say all over the place this week april 19	Yes	SELL	11	96¢	$10	0x8562cb…
04-15 11:28:12	will starmer say kanye or west during the next prime ministers questions event	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x57cd82…
04-15 11:07:06	will starmer say hundred or thousand 5 times during the next prime ministers questions event	Yes	SELL	11	61¢	$7	0xfd72cd…
04-15 11:06:36	will starmer say hundred or thousand 5 times during the next prime ministers questions event	Yes	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x4933db…
04-15 11:05:06	will starmer say national security during the next prime ministers questions event	Yes	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0xb4643a…
04-15 11:04:50	will starmer say national security during the next prime ministers questions event	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x313e45…
04-15 10:20:04	will trump say all over the place this week april 19	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xb3d89b…
04-13 12:50:55	btc updown 5m 1776084600	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x82cee1…
04-13 09:41:17	Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x3549e0…
04-13 09:40:45	Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6a6b34…
04-13 09:32:43	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x1aaa83…
04-13 09:31:41	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xec0008…
04-13 07:38:41	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x851e4d…
04-13 07:33:41	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc76fbf…
04-12 23:41:09	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x00619a…
04-12 23:36:07	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x51755e…
04-12 23:31:07	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xe9454f…
04-12 23:26:07	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa6e18f…
04-12 23:16:07	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xc9caca…
04-12 23:11:07	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x68b7e3…
04-12 23:04:05	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xe5ad87…
04-12 22:56:41	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf284b3…
04-10 17:38:43	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	SELL	14	70¢	$10	0x9bbcba…
04-10 17:37:39	will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0xaa5627…
04-10 17:31:39	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x01bfbf…
04-10 15:10:23	will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xa4973b…