Frayed-Thermostat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

1.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.79K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$279

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-27

last 05-25 11:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

50% 0% —

Politics

49% — —

Other

1% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	2	$1.4K	729	729	+0	No	+$0	03-27 20:06
Will Alfonso López Chau finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$1.3K	700	700	+0	open	—	03-28 03:18
Will Gerry Hutch win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?	2	$52	638	638	+0	open	—	03-27 23:23
nba chi okc 2026 03 27	1	$17	18	0	+18	open	—	03-27 03:15
Spread: FBC Melgar (-2.5)	1	$15	16	0	+16	open	—	05-22 10:53
Spread: Getafe CF (-2.5)	1	$13	14	0	+14	RCD Mallorca	+$1	05-13 15:40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	1	$13	14	0	+14	open	—	05-25 11:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-25 11:11:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	14	92¢	$13	0xa66171…
05-22 10:53:29	Spread: FBC Melgar (-2.5)	ADC Juan Pablo II College	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x931b17…
05-13 15:40:32	Spread: Getafe CF (-2.5)	RCD Mallorca	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0xc56236…
03-28 03:18:11	Will Alfonso López Chau finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	700	94¢	$658	0x4f7e82…
03-28 03:08:51	Will Alfonso López Chau finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	BUY	700	93¢	$651	0x0731b9…
03-27 23:23:09	Will Gerry Hutch win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?	Yes	SELL	638	4¢	$26	0x56cbb3…
03-27 23:17:17	Will Gerry Hutch win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?	Yes	BUY	638	4¢	$27	0xe8eac0…
03-27 20:06:21	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	729	94¢	$686	0x87084e…
03-27 19:57:51	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	729	94¢	$686	0x71e4c5…
03-27 03:15:31	nba chi okc 2026 03 27	Thunder	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0xe5ee27…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	4	$10.9K	159	05-26 22:56
Spiffy-Happening 0xc971…a31d	4	$5.49K	16	03-28 04:47
Grizzled-Hunter 0x87f1…288f	4	$4.51K	14	05-25 05:16
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	4	$1.36K	1,066	04-11 17:23
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	4	$733	32	05-25 14:07
Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e	3	$60.1K	305	05-27 03:39
Scary-Edible 0x2005…75ea	3	$45.7K	398	05-22 20:04
Real-Veteran 0xe8dd…ec86	3	$33.3K	607	04-28 10:37