Frayed-Thermostat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

1.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.85K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$204

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-27

last 07-01 14:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

49% 0% —

Politics

48% — —

Other

3% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	2	$1.4K	729	729	+0	No	+$0	03-27 20:06
Will Alfonso López Chau finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$1.3K	700	700	+0	open	—	03-28 03:18
Will Gerry Hutch win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?	2	$52	638	638	+0	open	—	03-27 23:23
fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 total 5pt5	1	$18	19	0	+19	open	—	07-01 14:04
nba chi okc 2026 03 27	1	$17	18	0	+18	open	—	03-27 03:15
nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 spread away 18pt5	1	$17	18	0	+18	open	—	06-10 11:57
fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 team total home 0pt5	1	$16	18	0	+18	open	—	06-17 14:28
Spread: FBC Melgar (-2.5)	1	$15	16	0	+16	open	—	05-22 10:53
Spread: Getafe CF (-2.5)	1	$13	14	0	+14	RCD Mallorca	+$1	05-13 15:40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	1	$13	14	0	+14	open	—	05-25 11:11
fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 total 0pt5	1	$11	12	0	+12	open	—	06-28 06:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 14:04:08	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	19	93¢	$18	0x5e9868…
06-28 06:00:31	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x53f154…
06-17 14:28:11	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	18	91¢	$16	0xf97678…
06-10 11:57:03	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 spread away 18pt5	Knicks	BUY	18	94¢	$17	0x528a68…
05-25 11:11:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	14	92¢	$13	0xa66171…
05-22 10:53:29	Spread: FBC Melgar (-2.5)	ADC Juan Pablo II College	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x931b17…
05-13 15:40:32	Spread: Getafe CF (-2.5)	RCD Mallorca	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0xc56236…
03-28 03:18:11	Will Alfonso López Chau finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	700	94¢	$658	0x4f7e82…
03-28 03:08:51	Will Alfonso López Chau finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	BUY	700	93¢	$651	0x0731b9…
03-27 23:23:09	Will Gerry Hutch win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?	Yes	SELL	638	4¢	$26	0x56cbb3…
03-27 23:17:17	Will Gerry Hutch win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?	Yes	BUY	638	4¢	$27	0xe8eac0…
03-27 20:06:21	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	729	94¢	$686	0x87084e…
03-27 19:57:51	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	729	94¢	$686	0x71e4c5…
03-27 03:15:31	nba chi okc 2026 03 27	Thunder	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0xe5ee27…