Hot-Bay — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.8%

Resolved

Trades

140

lifetime

Volume

$864

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-26

last 05-26 02:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

54% 60% $-6

Sports

33% 100% +$6

Other

12% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago White Sox	2	$53	38	37	+1	open	—	04-28 04:05
Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	5	$40	22	22	+0	open	—	04-29 04:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	5	$37	31	31	+0	Down	$-3	05-12 04:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	4	$28	23	23	+0	Down	$-8	05-14 00:29
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	2	$28	24	24	+0	open	—	04-26 02:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	5	$26	25	14	+12	open	—	04-26 06:40
UFC Fight Night: Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal (Featherweight, Main Card)	2	$25	17	16	+0	open	—	04-26 03:17
Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royals	7	$25	18	18	+0	open	—	04-27 02:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	6	$24	20	20	+0	Up	$-2	05-14 00:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	4	$24	17	17	+0	Down	+$2	05-12 04:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	2	$24	21	21	+0	Down	+$4	05-14 00:15
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	4	$24	15	15	+0	open	—	04-30 01:07
Pistons vs. Magic	2	$24	15	15	+0	open	—	04-28 02:44
Kansas City Royals vs. Athletics	3	$23	39	39	+0	open	—	04-29 04:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	2	$22	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	05-12 04:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	2	$22	14	14	+0	Down	+$2	05-13 23:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	2	$22	18	18	+0	Up	+$2	05-12 05:17
Knicks vs. Cavaliers	2	$21	13	13	+0	open	—	05-26 00:44
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-04-25?	2	$21	13	13	+0	open	—	04-26 03:10
Knicks vs. 76ers	2	$20	17	17	+0	Knicks	+$6	05-09 01:13
Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-04-26?	2	$18	14	13	+0	open	—	04-27 02:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	5	$17	19	13	+5	open	—	04-26 06:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	2	$16	9	9	+0	Up	+$0	05-14 00:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	2	$16	13	13	+0	open	—	04-26 06:47
Jiujiang: Giles Hussey vs Jason Jung	2	$15	14	14	+0	open	—	04-29 12:00
Will Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Real Salt Lake end in a draw?	4	$13	14	14	+0	open	—	04-27 00:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	2	$13	9	9	+0	open	—	04-26 05:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	2	$13	10	10	+0	Down	+$3	05-13 21:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	2	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	04-26 05:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	2	$12	10	10	+0	Up	+$2	05-12 05:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-26 02:09:55	PortlandFire vs. New York Liberty	New York Liberty	SELL	15	10¢	$1	0x3d5a69…
05-26 02:01:51	PortlandFire vs. New York Liberty	New York Liberty	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xdd7f82…
05-26 00:44:49	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	SELL	13	86¢	$11	0xd8995e…
05-26 00:38:20	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xda5219…
05-14 00:31:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	9	91¢	$8	0xb351d8…
05-14 00:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0xfafe13…
05-14 00:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	9	96¢	$8	0x6a1d02…
05-14 00:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x8ff291…
05-14 00:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	14	14¢	$2	0x8df4a9…
05-14 00:25:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xa3e6eb…
05-14 00:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	SELL	21	66¢	$14	0x9b1799…
05-14 00:14:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x66a005…
05-14 00:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	7	81¢	$5	0x7ea4e1…
05-14 00:13:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xa9b6e8…
05-14 00:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	8	33¢	$3	0x4d64f7…
05-14 00:11:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x685f4d…
05-14 00:11:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	58¢	$3	0xb4c27a…
05-14 00:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xba7007…
05-14 00:07:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	8	76¢	$6	0x9eab80…
05-14 00:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x1fa9cf…
05-13 23:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	SELL	14	80¢	$12	0x7894da…
05-13 23:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x7e6ec2…
05-13 23:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	9	37¢	$3	0x68393f…
05-13 23:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xe107b9…
05-13 23:27:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x2bacc4…
05-13 23:15:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x9a8624…
05-13 23:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xd58482…
05-13 23:12:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0x358055…
05-13 23:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x600ca5…
05-13 23:07:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	SELL	4	32¢	$1	0x1fab44…
05-13 23:04:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x8d679e…
05-13 23:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	4	73¢	$3	0xe95497…
05-13 23:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x389c77…
05-13 22:15:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0xf22784…
05-13 22:15:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x2b606a…
05-13 22:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	26¢	$0	0x530c03…
05-13 22:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xbfe82d…
05-13 22:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	4	79¢	$3	0x356835…
05-13 22:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xb68c58…
05-13 22:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x7f891b…
05-13 21:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x4abde2…
05-13 21:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	4	45¢	$2	0x1548ce…
05-13 21:47:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x40715f…
05-13 21:43:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x1d8689…
05-13 21:41:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x28ae8d…
05-12 05:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	18	66¢	$12	0xa5e3ba…
05-12 05:15:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xaf0a87…
05-12 05:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0x471f44…
05-12 05:09:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xe0963a…
05-12 05:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x699651…
05-12 05:01:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	SELL	10	75¢	$7	0xc6eea3…
05-12 04:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb57730…
05-12 04:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	7	49¢	$4	0xf559cc…
05-12 04:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x491f8e…
05-12 04:46:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	SELL	7	76¢	$5	0xf4bbee…
05-12 04:45:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x2f5338…
05-12 04:43:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	7	81¢	$5	0x694f00…
05-12 04:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xa14efa…
05-12 04:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	74¢	$8	0x05c36a…
05-12 04:41:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xc15d3e…
05-12 04:34:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0x237956…
05-12 04:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x3fb100…
05-12 04:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x79b6b1…
05-12 04:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x5eb73c…
05-12 04:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x078dda…
05-12 04:11:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	7	80¢	$6	0xe436f4…
05-12 04:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x6dbd06…
05-12 04:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0x1cec92…
05-12 04:07:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x5c96cc…
05-12 04:01:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	SELL	31	57¢	$17	0x4bc7bd…
05-12 04:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x935fcd…
05-12 04:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x2caa8c…
05-12 04:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x28b74b…
05-12 04:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x0dc6b2…
05-09 01:13:47	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	SELL	17	78¢	$13	0x8f3ae6…
05-08 23:43:43	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	BUY	17	41¢	$7	0xe7b722…
04-30 01:07:10	St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	St. Louis Cardinals	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0xacec1f…
04-30 01:04:12	St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	St. Louis Cardinals	SELL	15	85¢	$12	0x44b60a…
04-30 00:58:04	St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0x9d5c17…
04-30 00:32:18	St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xcf7c4f…
04-29 12:00:14	Jiujiang: Giles Hussey vs Jason Jung	Giles Hussey	SELL	14	34¢	$5	0x0e410e…
04-29 05:02:50	Jiujiang: Giles Hussey vs Jason Jung	Giles Hussey	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x226bb2…
04-29 04:48:58	Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Miami Marlins	SELL	7	93¢	$6	0x31d93b…
04-29 04:48:54	Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Miami Marlins	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x22c363…
04-29 04:48:52	Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Miami Marlins	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xe8e7cb…
04-29 04:48:52	Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Miami Marlins	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0x3b4f91…
04-29 04:45:32	Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Miami Marlins	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x6d4475…
04-29 04:44:46	Kansas City Royals vs. Athletics	Athletics	SELL	14	9¢	$1	0xd1318c…
04-29 04:42:24	Kansas City Royals vs. Athletics	Athletics	SELL	25	7¢	$2	0xc48f8c…
04-29 04:33:24	Kansas City Royals vs. Athletics	Athletics	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xeb9077…
04-28 04:05:16	Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago White Sox	Los Angeles Angels	SELL	37	89¢	$33	0x43c07d…
04-28 02:52:08	Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago White Sox	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x66357d…
04-28 02:44:50	Pistons vs. Magic	Magic	SELL	15	93¢	$14	0xd2b003…
04-28 02:34:36	Pistons vs. Magic	Magic	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x3c7388…
04-27 11:48:28	Madrid Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Casper Ruud	Casper Ruud	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xbc9af4…
04-27 03:21:32	Madrid Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Casper Ruud	Casper Ruud	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x87e935…
04-27 02:45:54	Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royals	Kansas City Royals	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x681fd5…
04-27 02:45:44	Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xed6449…
04-27 02:22:52	Lakers vs. Rockets	Rockets	SELL	7	78¢	$5	0xeb1956…
04-27 01:12:52	Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royals	Los Angeles Angels	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x982ecf…