Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$644

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.64K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$53

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 04-28 02:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

78% 100% +$644

Other

22% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	2	$484	400	400	+0	open	—	02-28 19:52
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	2	$193	714	714	+0	open	—	01-12 20:49
will khamenei leave iran by jan 16 974	3	$186	2,952	0	+2,952	open	—	01-11 22:36
will another country recognize somaliland by march 31	2	$101	380	380	+0	open	—	03-31 21:29
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	2	$101	769	769	+0	open	—	03-31 21:29
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	1	$100	594	0	+594	open	—	04-16 02:19
Iran leadership change by May 31?	2	$90	238	238	+0	open	—	04-01 01:42
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	2	$53	292	292	+0	open	—	04-28 02:08
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	2	$50	208	208	+0	open	—	03-31 21:29
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	1	$50	152	0	+152	open	—	03-30 14:26
will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	1	$50	834	0	+834	open	—	02-28 20:30
Iran leadership change by April 30?	2	$45	179	179	+0	open	—	04-01 01:42
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$42	417	417	+0	open	—	04-01 01:42
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	2	$27	1,087	1,087	+0	open	—	04-28 02:07
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	1	$25	278	0	+278	Yes	+$253	04-02 01:36
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	1	$25	417	0	+417	Yes	+$392	04-02 01:35
Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	2	$10	212	212	+0	open	—	04-28 02:07
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?	1	$5	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	04-16 02:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-28 02:08:06	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	292	1¢	$3	0x0a48ea…
04-28 02:07:46	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,087	0¢	$2	0x4c8cff…
04-28 02:07:32	Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	212	0¢	$0	0x8ceb85…
04-16 02:19:04	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	594	17¢	$100	0x80f6bb…
04-16 02:05:14	Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0xddbc4e…
04-02 01:36:05	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	278	9¢	$25	0x0647e8…
04-02 01:35:43	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	417	6¢	$25	0xa4c894…
04-02 01:35:23	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,087	2¢	$25	0xc4703e…
04-02 00:39:21	Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	212	5¢	$10	0x6b97e1…
04-01 01:42:51	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	SELL	238	17¢	$40	0xf0f3c6…
04-01 01:42:39	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	SELL	179	11¢	$20	0x99298d…
04-01 01:42:23	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	SELL	417	4¢	$17	0x493ec2…
03-31 21:34:55	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	238	21¢	$50	0x3c4cc3…
03-31 21:34:13	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	179	14¢	$25	0x145179…
03-31 21:30:49	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	417	6¢	$25	0x2299dd…
03-31 21:29:41	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	Yes	SELL	208	0¢	$0	0x99153b…
03-31 21:29:31	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	Yes	SELL	769	0¢	$1	0xb55747…
03-31 21:29:13	will another country recognize somaliland by march 31	Yes	SELL	380	0¢	$1	0x812f5a…
03-30 14:26:53	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	292	17¢	$50	0x9bbb3f…
03-30 14:26:33	Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	152	33¢	$50	0x6164bd…
03-14 15:16:45	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	Yes	BUY	769	13¢	$100	0x61aabc…
02-28 20:30:13	will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	Yes	BUY	834	6¢	$50	0xb4778b…
02-28 20:01:47	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	Yes	BUY	208	24¢	$50	0x7b86ba…
02-28 19:52:25	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	SELL	400	96¢	$384	0x73e6ab…
01-12 20:49:25	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	714	13¢	$93	0xc3b405…
01-11 22:36:26	will khamenei leave iran by jan 16 974	Yes	BUY	1,173	4¢	$46	0xa8bf4d…
01-10 17:31:58	will khamenei leave iran by jan 16 974	Yes	BUY	668	6¢	$40	0xd973f1…
01-10 08:35:34	will khamenei leave iran by jan 16 974	Yes	BUY	1,111	9¢	$100	0x06cec0…
01-04 12:49:01	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	714	14¢	$100	0xe110d9…
01-04 12:47:05	will another country recognize somaliland by march 31	Yes	BUY	380	26¢	$100	0x33a158…
01-04 12:28:43	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	400	25¢	$100	0xd4d8a0…