Valuable-Game — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

35.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$579

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-06 19:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

54% 0% $-23

Crypto

46% 48% +$17

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	9	$190	412	412	+0	No	$-22	05-06 17:16
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	4	$80	56	56	+0	open	—	05-06 19:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	3	$45	45	15	+31	Down	$-5	05-06 12:09
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	2	$37	29	29	+0	open	—	05-04 16:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	1	$30	38	0	+38	Down	+$8	05-05 21:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	2	$23	13	13	+0	Up	+$3	05-06 17:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	3	$14	14	10	+4	Up	+$0	05-05 10:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	3	$13	20	17	+3	Down	+$1	05-06 16:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	1	$12	38	0	+38	Down	+$26	05-05 21:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	2	$11	31	0	+31	Down	+$4	05-05 21:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	1	$10	17	0	+17	Down	$-10	05-05 21:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	1	$10	15	0	+15	Up	+$6	05-05 10:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	1	$10	22	0	+22	Up	+$12	05-05 11:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	4	$5	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 14:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	05-05 10:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	1	$5	14	0	+14	Down	$-5	05-05 21:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	Down	$-5	05-05 10:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	2	$5	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 16:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Up	$-4	05-05 10:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	2	$4	24	0	+24	Up	$-4	05-05 10:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	2	$4	5	5	+0	Up	+$2	05-06 11:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	2	$3	5	5	+0	Up	$-1	05-06 16:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 12:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 13:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	2	$3	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 11:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	1	$3	38	0	+38	Up	$-3	05-05 10:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	1	$3	9	0	+9	Down	$-3	05-06 12:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 16:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	2	$3	4	4	+0	Up	+$2	05-06 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	2	$2	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 12:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 19:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xf5049c…
05-06 19:52:07	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0xe6c821…
05-06 19:52:00	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	SELL	7	13¢	$1	0x3cdc5a…
05-06 17:16:24	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	19	3¢	$1	0x8f0703…
05-06 17:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xccf7e9…
05-06 17:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xcc3414…
05-06 16:41:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0xd5e66a…
05-06 16:41:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x7945d7…
05-06 16:39:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x484143…
05-06 16:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x32a8b4…
05-06 16:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0xfe05e5…
05-06 16:26:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xf7c59d…
05-06 16:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x44eeaa…
05-06 16:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	17	40¢	$7	0x1ec3d6…
05-06 16:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x90acff…
05-06 15:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x0dc79f…
05-06 14:58:00	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	SELL	67	1¢	$1	0x43fa5c…
05-06 14:56:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?	Yes	SELL	2	14¢	$0	0xfadef9…
05-06 14:34:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?	Yes	SELL	2	29¢	$0	0xc83550…
05-06 14:29:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x2bba15…
05-06 14:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xa215f6…
05-06 14:19:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0xc64fcf…
05-06 14:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x2d0d27…
05-06 14:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	3	73¢	$2	0x6b0564…
05-06 14:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x06b9ab…
05-06 14:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0x4bd3dd…
05-06 14:11:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	11¢	$0	0x1381f1…
05-06 13:27:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x5a2edd…
05-06 13:27:10	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x9f9223…
05-06 13:27:02	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x0fb5f5…
05-06 13:26:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x34fe7e…
05-06 13:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0xffa696…
05-06 13:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xeeae65…
05-06 13:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xde9fc9…
05-06 12:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0x43c8b8…
05-06 12:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xdb74ba…
05-06 12:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x0fc7e1…
05-06 12:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xdb7788…
05-06 12:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xf88054…
05-06 12:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	15	35¢	$5	0xeac076…
05-06 12:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x0d0c87…
05-06 12:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x3482af…
05-06 11:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x676973…
05-06 11:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x5a5678…
05-06 11:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x659366…
05-06 11:38:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x9ddf6e…
05-06 11:36:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x7c0cc9…
05-06 11:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x317494…
05-06 11:34:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xa03a0f…
05-06 11:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xd41988…
05-06 11:27:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	52	75¢	$39	0xe2611c…
05-06 10:59:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	52	75¢	$39	0x470deb…
05-05 23:14:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 6?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x04e765…
05-05 22:49:54	Iran closes its airspace by May 6?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x0fa130…
05-05 21:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x5cdc38…
05-05 21:56:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x2263f0…
05-05 21:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x138162…
05-05 21:40:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	38	79¢	$30	0x6e732f…
05-05 21:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xd519ee…
05-05 21:27:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xdfa1b5…
05-05 21:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x801c4a…
05-05 21:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	38	32¢	$12	0x53e17b…
05-05 21:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x7cf4ac…
05-05 15:18:48	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	118	19¢	$22	0x437074…
05-05 12:25:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	118	17¢	$20	0x0ed700…
05-05 11:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xa2d5a6…
05-05 11:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x1a3d02…
05-05 11:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x2933df…
05-05 10:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xfcad65…
05-05 10:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	64¢	$10	0x99aa0f…
05-05 10:22:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xdbe496…
05-05 10:22:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	10	69¢	$7	0x1346ff…
05-05 10:21:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x0fd285…
05-05 10:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xf86356…
05-05 10:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x795727…
05-05 10:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x3113f4…
05-05 10:11:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xb04534…
05-05 10:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0xad6672…
05-05 10:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x94fce0…
05-05 09:55:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	121	17¢	$21	0x141b85…
05-04 21:47:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xf5e45b…
05-04 21:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd73129…
05-04 21:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x291baf…
05-04 21:38:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0xe49fca…
05-04 21:32:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x0aad27…
05-04 21:30:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	121	29¢	$35	0x181377…
05-04 20:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xae5298…
05-04 20:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x77d32a…
05-04 20:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xcffdc6…
05-04 20:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xac537a…
05-04 20:25:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	155	26¢	$40	0xaab8e9…
05-04 16:33:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x4c65d7…
05-04 16:33:30	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	29	68¢	$19	0xaf88a4…
05-04 15:53:52	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	29	63¢	$18	0x4ed578…
05-04 15:47:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	107	28¢	$30	0x1af003…