Trained-Backdrop — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$29

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

421

lifetime

Volume

$1.09K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$10

1 position

First seen

2026-01-26

last 06-10 20:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

66% 0% $-5

Other

21% — —

Politics

7% 0% $-12

Sports

4% 0% $-12

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 115 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No		+10	$10	98¢	$10	+$0	06-10 18:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	3	$111	65	65	+0	open	—	05-23 22:12
btc updown 5m 1776806100	2	$23	19	18	+1	open	—	04-21 21:21
btc updown 5m 1777031700	2	$22	11	11	+0	open	—	04-24 12:00
btc updown 5m 1776806700	2	$20	17	16	+1	open	—	04-21 21:28
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	2	$20	310	0	+310	open	—	05-23 22:20
btc updown 5m 1777034400	3	$20	29	27	+2	open	—	04-24 12:44
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$15	32	0	+32	open	—	04-24 11:30
btc updown 5m 1776978900	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	04-23 21:21
btc updown 15m 1771251300	4	$13	9	9	+0	open	—	02-16 14:24
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$12	38	0	+38	No	$-12	04-24 11:35
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	02-02 22:03
btc updown 5m 1777030500	2	$11	125	0	+125	open	—	04-24 11:39
btc updown 5m 1776979800	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	04-23 21:35
btc updown 5m 1771250400	3	$11	10	7	+3	open	—	02-16 14:02
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	4	$10	7	3	+4	open	—	03-02 22:16
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	04-24 11:33
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	1	$10	11	0	+11	Yes	$-10	05-04 21:08
btc updown 5m 1777030800	1	$10	56	0	+56	open	—	04-24 11:44
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	04-26 12:05
will the dravida munnetra kazhagam dmk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	1	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	04-24 17:46
will trump restart project freedom by june 30	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	06-10 18:57
btc updown 5m 1776371700	2	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	04-16 20:39
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	06-10 18:39
btc updown 5m 1776371400	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-16 20:33
btc updown 5m 1777032000	2	$9	8	8	+1	open	—	04-24 12:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	5	$8	8	3	+5	open	—	04-27 13:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	5	$8	7	4	+3	open	—	04-27 21:10
btc updown 15m 1771250400	3	$8	8	3	+6	open	—	02-16 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	5	$8	8	4	+5	open	—	04-27 13:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	5	$7	10	4	+6	open	—	04-27 13:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 20:55:21	btc updown 5m 1781124600	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x3265dc…
06-10 20:53:42	btc updown 5m 1781124600	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xa0359f…
06-10 20:48:24	btc updown 5m 1781124300	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x3eb6dc…
06-10 20:45:25	btc updown 5m 1781124000	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xcebbae…
06-10 20:43:49	btc updown 5m 1781124000	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x74141a…
06-10 20:30:45	btc updown 5m 1781123400	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xe8d5fe…
06-10 20:27:46	btc updown 5m 1781123100	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x857d1d…
06-10 20:13:09	btc updown 5m 1781122200	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x11056d…
06-10 19:24:19	btc updown 5m 1781119200	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x895fda…
06-10 19:12:48	btc updown 5m 1781118600	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x50eab7…
06-10 19:10:37	btc updown 5m 1781118600	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xd1f6f6…
06-10 19:05:21	btc updown 5m 1781118000	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x932c89…
06-10 19:02:57	btc updown 5m 1781118000	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xb7feed…
06-10 19:00:10	btc updown 5m 1781117700	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf98dfb…
06-10 18:58:54	btc updown 5m 1781117700	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x0c69fd…
06-10 18:57:37	will trump restart project freedom by june 30	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x7a46a2…
06-10 18:39:40	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc5e744…
06-09 22:28:07	btc updown 5m 1781043900	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x218fb9…
06-09 22:20:39	btc updown 5m 1781043600	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x05c955…
06-09 22:18:15	btc updown 5m 1781043300	Up	SELL	1	52¢	$1	0x7e8d7d…
06-09 22:17:45	btc updown 5m 1781043300	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xeb9d07…
06-09 22:16:21	btc updown 5m 1781043300	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xb15772…
06-09 22:10:40	btc updown 5m 1781043000	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x7b0a8b…
05-23 22:20:49	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x4e590d…
05-23 22:12:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	65	79¢	$51	0x2e9a31…
05-23 22:11:15	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0xf6375b…
05-18 21:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x4a5e7c…
05-18 21:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xafd097…
05-18 21:03:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xa48c08…
05-18 21:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x5e6bcf…
05-18 21:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x8902d1…
05-18 20:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	85¢	$3	0xdac269…
05-18 20:58:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0xf6b41d…
05-18 20:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xdf06aa…
05-18 20:55:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xa266c5…
05-18 20:53:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xe18717…
05-18 20:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x6a4212…
05-18 20:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x64dfe0…
05-18 20:48:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xe4a2ab…
05-18 20:47:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x9d55b4…
05-18 20:39:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x99fbab…
05-16 23:15:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x82e891…
05-16 23:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x8a66d5…
05-16 23:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x81bc2a…
05-16 23:09:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8cd0eb…
05-16 21:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xc77ec9…
05-16 21:43:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x1271d2…
05-16 21:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xeaa2c2…
05-04 21:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x73787e…
05-04 21:08:12	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x5faaa4…
05-04 21:07:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xb21969…
04-27 22:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xc1abec…
04-27 22:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x8eb699…
04-27 22:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf24fe2…
04-27 22:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x09bf09…
04-27 22:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x6268cf…
04-27 22:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xa3f5eb…
04-27 21:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xcf9738…
04-27 21:56:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x4df837…
04-27 21:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x77476e…
04-27 21:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x586ea9…
04-27 21:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xcaf44c…
04-27 21:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x2e2f00…
04-27 21:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x1f6413…
04-27 21:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x1d0d81…
04-27 21:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xf8083e…
04-27 21:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x095a85…
04-27 21:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xf7835c…
04-27 21:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x88be94…
04-27 21:40:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xcf3196…
04-27 21:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x09ab4c…
04-27 21:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x567f35…
04-27 21:37:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x85c655…
04-27 21:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x2dddce…
04-27 21:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xc2267d…
04-27 21:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x52da84…
04-27 21:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x5d26d3…
04-27 21:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	17	3¢	$1	0xb5a254…
04-27 21:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x7f54fb…
04-27 21:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x7dcace…
04-27 21:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xb6c31a…
04-27 21:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$2	0xbb2f81…
04-27 21:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x642a93…
04-27 21:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x645de4…
04-27 21:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x75aa76…
04-27 21:10:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xf116b7…
04-27 21:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xb0acbc…
04-27 21:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x89ee8e…
04-27 21:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xddf898…
04-27 21:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x90d288…
04-27 21:01:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x04bb3f…
04-27 21:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x1c7990…
04-27 21:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x878167…
04-27 20:58:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xc59b1f…
04-27 20:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xa72a1a…
04-27 20:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x007bbe…
04-27 20:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x3b8f5b…
04-27 20:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x448ae1…
04-27 20:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xc68e54…
04-27 20:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xc513a6…